Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart, DFB-Pokal 2025-26 FINAL

DFB-Pokal · 2025-26
Sat 23 May 2026 · 18:00 UTC Olympiastadion 74,036 HT 45' · FT 45'
Harry Kane 55' 1–0
Harry Kane 80' 2–0
Harry Kane pen 90+2' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern Munchen vs VfB StuttgartDFB-Pokal at Olympiastadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 1.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May VfB Stuttgart H 3–0 W
16 May 1. FC Köln H 5–1 W
09 May VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
06 May Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–1 D
02 May 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 3–3 D
28 Apr Paris Saint-Germain FC A 4–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
16 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 2–2 D
09 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–1 W
02 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–3 D
26 Apr SV Werder Bremen H 1–1 D
23 Apr SC Freiburg H 2–1 W

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Olympiastadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sebastian Hoeneß might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Bayern München must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 25' FC Bayern München currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 35' It looks surprising VfB Stuttgart does not make any changes. Michael Olise has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 40' Jamal Musiala has been relatively quiet despite scoring 73 goals in his last 540 appearances.
  • 45' VfB Stuttgart is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 50' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 54' A moment of madness from Chris Fuhrich on 54 minutes earns him a card. VfB Stuttgart will be frustrated.
  • 55' Against the run of play, Harry Kane has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 60' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jonas Urbig is clearly more than just a goal scorer for VfB Stuttgart.
  • 65' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Bayern München and VfB Stuttgart are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 70' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 75' A quiet spell here at Olympiastadion. VfB Stuttgart seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 80' Harry Kane adds to his 16 season tally! FC Bayern Munchen lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 82' The referee has no hesitation. Julian Chabot is booked for VfB Stuttgart — card on 82.
  • 87' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Bayern München 3-0 VfB Stuttgart.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.34 FC Bayern Munchen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + FC Bayern Munchen to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern Munchen64% Draw20% VfB Stuttgart16%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

FC Bayern Munchen or Draw
84%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
36%
FC Bayern Munchen or VfB Stuttgart
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern Munchen47% Draw39% VfB Stuttgart14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern Munchen

Handicap FC Bayern Munchen covers Push VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 19% 57%
-1.5 43% 57%
-1 43% 22% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
36%
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.