VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at MHPArena.
- VfB Stuttgart 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Schroder
- Assistant 1 Jan Neitzel
- Assistant 2 Stefan Lupp
3 games this season
🟨 7.3/game
⚽ 7.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 3–1 | W |
| 02 May | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Apr | SV Werder Bremen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Apr | SC Freiburg | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Apr | FC Bayern München | A | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Apr | Hamburger SV | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 02 May | RB Leipzig | H | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | 1. FC Köln | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | FC Augsburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #5 |
| 3 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 1 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 1 |
| 6 | Scored | 10 |
| 9 | Conceded | 5 |
| -3 | GD | +5 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 25% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
| Josha Vagnoman | 2 G | 1 A |
| Ermedin Demirovic | 1 G | |
| Grischa Promel | 1 G | |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 1 G |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Patrik Schick | 4 G | 1 A |
| Christian Kofane | 2 G | |
| Ibrahim Maza | 1 G | 1 A |
| Facundo Medina | 1 G | |
| Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at MHPArena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between VfB Stuttgart and Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
- 1' Goal! Aleix Garcia scores his 17 goal in 205 matches.
- 5' What a strike from Ermedin Demirovic! The score is 1-1.
- 6' Ermedin Demirovic adds to his 4 season tally! VfB Stuttgart lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
- 11' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 16' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sebastian Hoeneß might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 21' It’s high time Sebastian Hoeneß made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 26' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is showing some good football. However, Bayer 04 Leverkusen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 31' Julian Chabot has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 36' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfB Stuttgart and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 41' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bayer 04 Leverkusen backline.
- 46' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfB Stuttgart side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 52' The Germany Maximilian Mittelstadt breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 3-1!
- 57' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfB Stuttgart needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 58' Goal! Deniz Undav scores his 72 goal in 241 matches.
- 63' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 68' The 27-year-old Exequiel Palacios has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 73' VfB Stuttgart are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against Bayer 04 Leverkusen's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 78' VfB Stuttgart currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 80' Chris Fuhrich picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 85' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jamie Leweling is clearly more than just a goal scorer for VfB Stuttgart.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Tiago Tomas argues furiously but the card stands.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for VfB Stuttgart players.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 24
- 9
- 7
- 33
- 28
- 10
- 18
- 26
- 6
- 3
- 30
Bench
- 4
- 23
- 15
- 1
- 8
- 22
- 27
- 11
- 14
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 8
- 24
- 14
- 25
- 20
- 12
- 4
- 30
- 35
- 42
Bench
- 28
- 7
- 21
- 5
- 10
- 6
- 19
- 13
- 17
Coach
Kasper Hjulmand
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patrik Schick | 4 |
| Florian Wirtz | 4 |
| Robert Andrich | 3 |
| Amine Adli | 3 |
| Sasa Kalajdzic | 3 |
| Chris Fuhrich | 3 |
| Orel Mangala | 2 |
| Ermedin Demirovic | 2 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2026-05-09
VfB Stuttgart
3–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2026-05-02
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4–1
RB Leipzig
W
2026-04-25
1. FC Köln
1–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2026-04-22
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–2
FC Bayern München
L
2026-04-18
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–2
FC Augsburg
L
2026-04-11
Borussia Dortmund
0–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
VfB Stuttgart or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 78% + Over 2.5 goals 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: VfB Stuttgart win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
62%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
61%
VfB Stuttgart or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
5.6%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
3.5%
0 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 9% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 15% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 19% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

