VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

VfB Stuttgart

3 – 1

Full Time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Sat 9 May 2026 · 13:30 UTC MHPArena 60,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 1' Aleix Garcia

Ermedin Demirovic 5' 1–1

Maximilian Mittelstadt pen 45+7' 2–1

Deniz Undav 58' 3–1

Chris Fuhrich 80' Y

Tiago Tomas 90' Y

Y 90' Exequiel Palacios

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at MHPArena.

VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Robert Schroder
Assistant 1 Jan Neitzel
Assistant 2 Stefan Lupp

13 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

VfB Stuttgart 23 games · Avg 3.7 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-09 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2026-01-10 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–4 VfB Stuttgart 2025-03-16 VfB Stuttgart 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2024-11-01 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–0 VfB Stuttgart 2024-04-27 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 May	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	3–1	W
02 May	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	3–3	D
26 Apr	SV Werder Bremen	H	1–1	D
23 Apr	SC Freiburg	H	2–1	W
19 Apr	FC Bayern München	A	2–4	L
12 Apr	Hamburger SV	H	4–0	W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 May	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–3	L
02 May	RB Leipzig	H	4–1	W
25 Apr	1. FC Koln	A	2–1	W
22 Apr	FC Bayern München	H	0–2	L
18 Apr	FC Augsburg	H	1–2	L
11 Apr	Borussia Dortmund	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart		Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#4	Position	#6
62	Points	59
34	Played	34
18 / 8 / 8	W / D / L	17 / 8 / 9
71	Scored	68
49	Conceded	47
+22	GD	+21
1.82	PPG	1.74
53%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)

61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

2/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/1

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to MHPArena that hosts another battle between VfB Stuttgart and Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
1' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is taking the lead after the goal scored by Aleix Garcia on 1.
5' What an equalizer from Ermedin Demirovic!
6' Sensational shot from Ermedin Demirovic. VfB Stuttgart is back in the lead.
11' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
16' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with VfB Stuttgart winning 100% of all matches.
21' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfB Stuttgart that had 438 games and scored 440 goals.
26' Bayer 04 Leverkusen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
36' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Exequiel Palacios suffering a number of foals already.
41' It looks like no one’s ball. Bayer 04 Leverkusen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
46' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
52' What a strike from Maximilian Mittelstadt! The score is 3-1.
57' Supporters expect more eagerness from Chema Andres, as he is very good at scoring at MHPArena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
58' Goal! Deniz Undav scores his 70 goal in 231 matches.
63' VfB Stuttgart is showing some good football. However, VfB Stuttgart are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
68' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
73' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
78' It’s high time Kasper Hjulmand made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
80' It’s a booking for VfB Stuttgart player. Chris Fuhrich gets a card.
85' Bayer 04 Leverkusen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 85.
90' It’s gonna be a card for Tiago Tomas.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for VfB Stuttgart players.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kasper Hjulmand

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Florian Wirtz	4
Patrik Schick	4
Chris Fuhrich	3
Robert Andrich	3
Amine Adli	3
Sasa Kalajdzic	3
Kerem Demirbay	2
Deniz Undav	2

Head to Head

VfB Stuttgart Form

2026-05-09 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2026-05-02 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–3 VfB Stuttgart D 2026-04-26 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 SV Werder Bremen D 2026-04-23 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 SC Freiburg W 2026-04-19 FC Bayern München 4–2 VfB Stuttgart L 2026-04-12 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburger SV W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2026-05-09 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2026-05-02 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 RB Leipzig W 2026-04-25 1. FC Koln 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2026-04-22 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–2 FC Bayern München L 2026-04-18 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 FC Augsburg L 2026-04-11 Borussia Dortmund 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.17 VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfB Stuttgart53% Draw22% Bayer 04 Leverkusen25%

Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.69

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw

75%

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

47%

VfB Stuttgart or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfB Stuttgart39% Draw39% Bayer 04 Leverkusen22%

Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.1%

2 – 1

8.6%

2 – 2

6.5%

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

6.1%

2 – 0

5.9%

1 – 0

4.9%

3 – 2

4.7%

3 – 0

4.2%

0 – 0

3.8%

4 – 1

3.4%

2 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap	VfB Stuttgart covers	Push	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	15%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	20%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	14%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.