Saturday , 22 August 2026

FC Bayern München vs Manchester United FC, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Wed 20 Sep 2023 · 19:00 UTC Allianz Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Leroy Sane 28' 1–0
Serge Gnabry 32' 2–0
2–1 49' Rasmus Hojlund
Harry Kane pen 53' 3–1
3–2 88' Casemiro
Mathys Tel 90+2' 4–2
4–3 90+5' Bruno Fernandes

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern Munchen vs Manchester United FCChampions League at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Glenn Nyberg
  • Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
  • Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
17 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 4.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

2
FC Bayern München 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Manchester United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Manchester United FC H 4–3 W
15 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
02 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–1 W
27 Aug FC Augsburg H 3–1 W
18 Aug SV Werder Bremen A 4–0 W
27 May 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Harry Kane 14 G 2 A
Luis Diaz 7 G 3 A
Michael Olise 5 G 6 A
Lennart Karl 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Allianz Arena that hosts another battle between FC Bayern Munchen and Manchester United FC.
  • 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' The 27-year-old Diogo Dalot has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Bayern Munchen and Manchester United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 28' The deadlock is broken! Leroy Sane gets on the scoresheet on 28 minutes.
  • 32' The deadlock is broken! Serge Gnabry gets on the scoresheet on 32 minutes.
  • 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 42' Christian Eriksen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 47' FC Bayern Munchen is showing some good football. However, FC Bayern Munchen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 49' What composure from Rasmus Hojlund! The Denmark international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 53' What a moment for Harry Kane! That strike on 53 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 58' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 62' Lisandro Martinez is having his name booked by the referee on 62.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Serge Gnabry as he leaves the pitch. Kingsley Coman steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 68' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Bayern Munchen needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 69' It is a substitution in Manchester United FC team. Christian Eriksen is replaced by Scott McTominay on 69 minute.
  • 74' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 75' Maxim Choupo-Moting gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Jamal Musiala and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joshua Kimmich suffering a number of foals already.
  • 81' Another change for Manchester United FC made on 81 minute. Rasmus Hojlund leaves to be changed by Anthony Martial.
  • 86' Jamal Musiala needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 87' Mathys Tel gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Leroy Sane and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' What a strike from Casemiro! The score is 3-2.
  • 4-3 the final result. Manchester United FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.45 FC Bayern Munchen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 Manchester United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern Munchen56% Draw20% Manchester United FC24%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

FC Bayern Munchen or Draw
76%
Draw or Manchester United FC
44%
FC Bayern Munchen or Manchester United FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern Munchen40% Draw36% Manchester United FC24%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 0
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern Munchen

Handicap FC Bayern Munchen covers Push Manchester United FC covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 15% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 19% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 13% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
19%
Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.