Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Bayern München vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern Munchen vs FC St. Pauli 1910Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
16 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–1 W
26 Nov Arsenal FC A 1–3 L
22 Nov SC Freiburg H 6–2 W
08 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–2 D
04 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC A 2–1 W
01 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov FC Bayern München A 1–3 L
23 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–1 L
09 Nov SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
01 Nov Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–4 L
28 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 10–9 W
25 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–2 L

Season Stats

FC Bayern München FC St. Pauli 1910
#7 Position #3
0 Points 26
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 20
0 Scored 29
0 Conceded 60
+0 GD -31
PPG 0.76
Win % 18%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Bayern Munchen Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5 FC Bayern Munchen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.51 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 68% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern Munchen62% Draw26% FC St. Pauli 191012%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 2.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

FC Bayern Munchen or Draw
88%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
38%
FC Bayern Munchen or FC St. Pauli 1910
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern Munchen40% Draw52% FC St. Pauli 19108%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
19.3%
0 – 0
15.7%
2 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
7.2%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
2.7%
1 – 2
2.4%
2 – 2
2%
0 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern Munchen

Handicap FC Bayern Munchen covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 19% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 28% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 8% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
61%
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.