Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, DFB-Pokal 2025-26 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2025-26
10 9
8 – 7 pen
Full Time
Tue 28 Oct 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimDFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Schlager
20 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 8.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 10–9 W
25 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–2 L
19 Oct TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 0–3 L
04 Oct SV Werder Bremen A 0–1 L
27 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–2 L
19 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 9–10 L
25 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 3–1 W
19 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W
03 Oct 1. FC Koln H 0–1 L
28 Sep SC Freiburg A 1–1 D
20 Sep FC Bayern München H 1–4 L

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.77 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.81 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 90% + Both teams to score 87%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191042% Draw20% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim38%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes87% 0% No13%
Avg goals/match: 5.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 90%
10%
± 3.5 79%
21%
± 4.5 64%
36%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
63%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
58%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191034% Draw31% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim35%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 10–9 not predicted
10 – 9
Actual
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 3
4.7%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 4
3.6%
4 – 2
3.5%
1 – 1
3.5%
3 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 12% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 15% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 16% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 12% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
7%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.