EC Bahia vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 25 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 24 | 34 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 24 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Santos FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Apr | CR Flamengo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Mirassol FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | CR Flamengo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 May | CA Paranaense | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Apr | Coritiba FBC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #15 |
| 40 | Points | 28 |
| 25 | Played | 24 |
| 10 / 10 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 37 | Scored | 27 |
| 30 | Conceded | 32 |
| +7 | GD | -5 |
| 1.60 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 40% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
EC Bahia are 5th (40 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/4
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/3
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Jean Lucas | 3 G | 3 A |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between EC Bahia and Gremio FBPA is underway.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Gremio FBPA winning 0% of all matches.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and Gremio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' Luis Guedes is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
- 20' Leonel Perez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 25' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gremio FBPA backline.
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 36' The referee shows Gremio FBPA player a card on 36.
- 41' The 31-year-old David Duarte has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 46' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Willian exits the field as Gabriel Mec enters on 46.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 331 games and scored 354 goals.
- 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Everton Ribeiro, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Fonte Nova with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 57' Kanu was booked on 57.
- 59' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Marcos Rocha is replaced by Vitor Ramon.
- 60' Carlos Vinicius makes way for Martin Braithwaite at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
- 62' Viery doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 65' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Pedro Gabriel gets a card.
- 66' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 66.
- 67' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Everton Ribeiro exits the field as Rodrigo Nestor enters on 67.
- 72' Mateo Sanabria has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 72 minutes.
- 73' Mateo Sanabria adds to his 2 season tally! EC Bahia lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
- 75' The referee has no hesitation. Nicolas Acevedo is booked for EC Bahia — card on 75.
- 78' The crowd applauds Erick Noriega as he leaves the pitch. Bernardo Zortea steps in for Gremio FBPA.
- 79' Erick catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
- 80' The referee calls foul for Vitor Ramon. He receives a card.
- 84' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Gilberto is withdrawn and Caio Suassuna gets his opportunity.
- 89' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Andre gets a card.
- 90' A moment of madness from Gabriel Mec on 90 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — EC Bahia 1-1 Gremio FBPA.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Mateo Sanabria 60'
-
2
Gilberto ↓ Caio Suassuna 84'
- 4
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Everaldo 67'
- 22
- 14
- 33
-
46
Luciano Juba ↓ Iago Borduchi 60'
- 5
- 16
Bench
- 6
-
25
Iago Borduchi ↑ 60'
- 34
-
27
Everaldo ↑ 67'
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 67'
- 15
- 44
-
23
Mateo Sanabria ↑ 60'
- 3
- 43
- 31
-
90
Caio Suassuna ↑ 84'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Gremio FBPA Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1
-
14
Marcos Rocha ↓ Vitor Ramon 59'
-
10
Willian ↓ Gabriel Mec 46'
- 95
-
19
Erick Noriega ↓ Bernardo Zortea 78'
- 3
- 44
-
99
Jose Enamorado ↓ Francis Amuzu 59'
- 43
- 54
- 33
Bench
- 4
- 38
-
22
Martin Braithwaite ↑ 60'
-
9
Francis Amuzu ↑ 59'
- 21
- 77
- 11
- 24
-
32
Vitor Ramon ↑ 59'
- 39
-
50
Bernardo Zortea ↑ 78'
-
37
Gabriel Mec ↑ 46'
Coach
Luis Castro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Thaciano | 1 |
| Willian Jose | 1 |
| Alisson | 1 |
| Franco Cristaldo | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
77%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
51%
EC Bahia or Gremio FBPA
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.7%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 16% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 24% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.