Friday , 16 October 2026

CA Paranaense vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 2 May 2026 · 23:30 UTC Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA Paranaense vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.

Match Details

  • Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Daniel da Silva Andrade (Brazil)
  • Assistant 2 Joverton Wesley de Souza Lima (Brazil)
8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Gremio FBPA H 0–0 D
26 Apr EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
19 Apr SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
12 Apr Chapecoense AF H 2–0 W
05 Apr CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
01 Apr EC Bahia A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May CA Paranaense A 0–0 D
26 Apr Coritiba FBC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–2 L
11 Apr SC Internacional A 0–0 D
05 Apr Clube do Remo H 0–0 D
03 Apr SE Palmeiras A 1–2 L

Season Stats

CA Paranaense Gremio FBPA
#3 Position #18
53 Points 31
30 Played 30
15 / 8 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
49 Scored 32
35 Conceded 40
+14 GD -8
1.77 PPG 1.03
50% Win % 23%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

CA Paranaense are 3rd (53 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Paranaense
0-15
7/4
16-30
4/5
31-45
6/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/4
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Paranaense
Kevin Viveros 21 G 3 A
Stiven Mendoza 5 G 1 A
Leozinho 5 G
Julimar 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for CA Paranaense to score. At the same time, Gremio FBPA does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Gremio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' Juan Ignacio Nardoni, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Paranaense in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Gremio FBPA's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 20' Kevin Viveros has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 20.
  • 25' CA Paranaense is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Paranaense and Gremio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 40' Juan Portilla is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gremio FBPA tonight.
  • 45' Gremio FBPA are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 55' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Paranaense is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 65' CA Paranaense are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Paranaense that had 383 games and scored 390 goals.
  • 75' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 80' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Gremio FBPA winning 0% of all matches.
  • 85' A quiet spell here at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia. Gremio FBPA seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 90' The 24-year-old Gustavo Martins has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.44 CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CA Paranaense47% Draw29% Gremio FBPA24%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

CA Paranaense or Draw
77%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
53%
CA Paranaense or Gremio FBPA
71%

Half-Time Result

CA Paranaense34% Draw51% Gremio FBPA15%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.1%
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.3%
4 – 0
1.8%

Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense

Handicap CA Paranaense covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 25% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
24% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.