Monday , 12 October 2026

Derby County FC vs Cardiff City FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2026-27
Sat 22 Aug 2026 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Cian Ashford
Carlton Morris 26' 1–1
1–2 39' Yousef Salech
Bobby Clark 49' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Cardiff City FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ruebyn Ricardo (England)
  • Assistant 1 Darren Williams (England)
  • Assistant 2 Nigel Lugg
4 games this season 🟨 4.5/game ⚽ 13.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug Cardiff City FC H 2–2 D
15 Aug Charlton Athletic FC A 1–2 L
02 May Sheffield United FC H 1–2 L
25 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–2 W
21 Apr Norwich City FC A 1–2 L
18 Apr Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug Derby County FC A 2–2 D
17 Aug Wrexham AFC H 1–1 D
02 May Mansfield Town FC A 4–5 L
25 Apr Northampton Town FC H 5–1 W
22 Apr Port Vale FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Reading FC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Derby County FC Cardiff City FC
#23 Position #21
6 Points 7
9 Played 9
1 / 3 / 5 W / D / L 1 / 4 / 4
8 Scored 11
15 Conceded 14
-7 GD -3
0.67 PPG 0.78
11% Win % 11%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (6 pts). Cardiff City FC are 21st (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cardiff City FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
2/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Cardiff City FC
Jack Moylan 3 G 2 A
Yousef Salech 2 G 1 A
Cian Ashford 2 G 1 A
Rubin Colwill 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Cardiff City FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC33% Draw27% Cardiff City FC40%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
67%
Derby County FC or Cardiff City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC25% Draw44% Cardiff City FC31%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 1
7%
0 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 17% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 20% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.