Saturday , 14 November 2026

Mansfield Town FC vs Cardiff City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 2 May 2026 · 14:00 UTC One Call Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Ryan Sweeney 2' 1–0
Lucas Akins 23' 2–0
Lucas Akins 26' 3–0
3–1 61' Isaak Davies
Rhys Oates 63' 4–1
4–2 66' Omari Kellyman
Oliver Irow 79' 5–2
5–3 86' Ronan Kpakio
5–4 90+3' Omari Kellyman

Overview

Match Preview

Mansfield Town FC vs Cardiff City FC — League One at One Call Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Charles Breakspear
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Malton (England)
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Aylott

Head-to-Head

1
1
Mansfield Town FC 2 games · Avg 6.0 goals Cardiff City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Cardiff City FC H 5–4 W
28 Apr Peterborough United FC A 0–0 D
25 Apr Huddersfield Town AFC A 4–1 W
21 Apr Stockport County FC A 1–0 W
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 2–2 D
14 Apr Leyton Orient FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Mansfield Town FC A 4–5 L
25 Apr Northampton Town FC H 5–1 W
22 Apr Port Vale FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr Reading FC A 3–1 W
14 Apr Huddersfield Town AFC A 1–1 D
11 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Mansfield Town FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mansfield Town FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
7/4
31-45
2/5
46-60
5/3
61-75
3/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mansfield Town FC
Michael Smith 6 G 2 A
Jonathan Russell 3 G 3 A
Nathan Moriah-Welsh 3 G 2 A
Louis Reed 2 G
Rhys Oates 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Mansfield Town FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 2' Goal! Ryan Sweeney scores his 8 goal in 119 matches.
  • 7' Supporters expect more eagerness from David Turnbull, as he is very good at scoring at One Call Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 12' Rubin Colwill is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Mansfield Town FC tonight.
  • 17' Mansfield Town FC are deployed in a 3-1-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Cardiff City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 22' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Mansfield Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 23' Magnificent from Lucas Akins! That is 41 goals in 384 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 26' Against the run of play, Lucas Akins has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 31' It’s high time Nigel Clough made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 36' It looks surprising Cardiff City FC does not make any changes. Kyle Knoyle has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 41' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' Wales international Will Evans has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 61' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Isaak Davies makes no mistake. 3-1!
  • 63' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rhys Oates makes no mistake. 4-1!
  • 65' That is a card for Cardiff City FC. Omari Kellyman will be fuming at that decision.
  • 66' What a moment for Omari Kellyman! That strike on 66 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 71' Mansfield Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 76' Dylan Lawlor has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 79' Oliver Irow adds to his 3 season tally! Mansfield Town FC lead 5-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 82' Controversy at the stadium! Regan Hendry argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 86' A stunning finish from Ronan Kpakio — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Oliver Irow.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Mansfield Town FC 5-4 Cardiff City FC.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.23 Mansfield Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mansfield Town FC44% Draw21% Cardiff City FC35%
Actual: Mansfield Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

Mansfield Town FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
56%
Mansfield Town FC or Cardiff City FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mansfield Town FC32% Draw36% Cardiff City FC32%
Actual: Mansfield Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–4 not predicted
5 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.5%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Mansfield Town FC

Handicap Mansfield Town FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 12% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 17% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 17% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 12% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Mansfield Town FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.