Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Cardiff City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 14:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 28,985 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kenzo Goudmijn 28' 1–0
Ebou Adams 20' Y
Y 55' Joel Bagan
Y 61' Will Fish
Y 66' Joe Ralls

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Cardiff City FCChampionship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
31 Aug Bristol City FC H 3–0 W
24 Aug Watford FC A 1–2 L
17 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
09 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–4 L
27 Apr Carlisle United FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Derby County FC A 0–1 L
31 Aug Middlesbrough FC H 0–2 L
25 Aug Swansea City AFC A 1–1 D
17 Aug Burnley FC A 0–5 L
10 Aug Sunderland AFC H 0–2 L
04 May Rotherham United FC A 2–5 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Derby County FC and Cardiff City FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Kayden Jackson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 18 Yellow cards this season.
  • 20' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 20.
  • 25' The travelling Cardiff City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 28' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kenzo Goudmijn on 28.
  • 33' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 38' It looks like no one’s ball. Cardiff City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 48' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 49' Ben Osborn is replacing David Ozoh for the Derby County FC side.
  • 54' Curtis Nelson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 48 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 55' It’s a booking for Cardiff City FC player. Joel Bagan gets a card.
  • 60' Cardiff City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 61' It’s a booking for Cardiff City FC player. Will Fish gets a card.
  • 63' The Cardiff City FC manager makes a substitution. Perry Ng departs to be replaced by Will Fish.
  • 65' It is a substitution in Cardiff City FC team. Anwar El Ghazi is replaced by Chris Willock on 65 minute.
  • 66' Joe Ralls was booked on 66.
  • 70' Cardiff City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cian Ashford is hanging Wilfride Kanga on the field on 70 minute.
  • 75' It’s high time Erol Bulut made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is replaced by Marcus Harness.
  • 81' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Kenzo Goudmijn departs to be replaced by Nathaniel Phillips.
  • 86' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC50% Draw28% Cardiff City FC22%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
50%
Derby County FC or Cardiff City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC33% Draw50% Cardiff City FC17%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 24% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.