Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Cardiff City FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 7 May 2022 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 69' Perry Ng
Y 81' Mark Harris

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 May Cardiff City FC H 0–1 L
30 Apr Blackpool FC A 2–0 W
23 Apr Bristol City FC H 1–3 L
18 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–1 L
15 Apr Fulham FC H 2–1 W
09 Apr Swansea City AFC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 May Derby County FC A 1–0 W
30 Apr Birmingham City FC H 1–1 D
27 Apr Middlesbrough FC A 0–2 L
23 Apr Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
18 Apr Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
15 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Cardiff City FC gets underway.
  • 5' Cardiff City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' Derby County FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' Cardiff City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steve Morison will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' The 24-year-old Cody Drameh has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Cardiff City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' A change in the Cardiff City FC ranks — Oliver Denham exits the field as Rubin Colwill enters on 46.
  • 51' Curtis Davies is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 56' The England Jordan Hugill breaks the deadlock on 56 minutes. 0-1!
  • 59' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Tom Lawrence exits the field as Luke Plange enters on 59.
  • 62' Isaak Davies is ready to make an impact after coming on for Eli King at the 62 minute mark.
  • 65' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Craig Forsyth is replaced by Festy Ebosele.
  • 69' A moment of madness from Perry Ng on 69 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Cardiff City FC will be frustrated.
  • 72' Ryan Allsop makes way for Kelle Roos at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 73' Derby County FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 78' Max Watters is replacing Isaak Davies for the Cardiff City FC side.
  • 81' Cardiff City FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 86' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.03 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Cardiff City FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC30% Draw31% Cardiff City FC39%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
70%
Derby County FC or Cardiff City FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC21% Draw51% Cardiff City FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.9%
0 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 18% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 22% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.