Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cardiff City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Tue 1 Mar 2022 · 19:45 UTC Cardiff City Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Derby County FC H 1–0 W
26 Feb Fulham FC H 0–1 L
23 Feb Huddersfield Town AFC A 1–2 L
19 Feb Blackpool FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Coventry City FC H 2–0 W
12 Feb Millwall FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
26 Feb Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
23 Feb Millwall FC H 1–2 L
19 Feb Peterborough United FC H 1–0 W
12 Feb Middlesbrough FC A 1–4 L
08 Feb Hull City AFC H 3–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Cardiff City Stadium that hosts another battle between Cardiff City FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' The 34-year-old Ryan Allsop has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joel Bagan made 372 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 26' The referee calls foul for Isaak Davies. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 31' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cardiff City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
  • 41' Over 41 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Derby County FCColin Kazim-Richards on, Krystian Bielik off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 52' The referee has no hesitation. Lee Buchanan is booked for Derby County FC — Yellow card on 52.
  • 57' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 62' Curtis Davies is having his name booked by the referee on 62.
  • 66' Fresh legs for Cardiff City FC! Uche Ikpeazu comes on to replace Jordan Hugill.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Isaak Davies as he leaves the pitch. Mark Harris steps in for Cardiff City FC.
  • 75' Malcolm Ebiowei gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Luke Plange and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' The Cardiff City FC bench stirs into life. Joel Bagan is withdrawn and Alfie Doughty gets his opportunity.
  • 80' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 80.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Jason Knight as he leaves the pitch. Louie Sibley steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 85' What a strike from Uche Ikpeazu! The score is 1-0.
  • 90' Alfie Doughty is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Cardiff City FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.42 Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC53% Draw28% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
47%
Cardiff City FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC34% Draw51% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap Cardiff City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 25% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
47%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.