Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cardiff City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Cardiff City FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Derby County FC
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Cardiff City Stadium 19,548 HT 45' · FT 45'
Callum Robinson 62' 1–0
Anwar El Ghazi 64' 2–0
2–1 71' Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
Calum Chambers 45' Y
Perry Ng 61' Y
Y 75' Callum Elder

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Cardiff City Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Assistant 1 Daniel Leach
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

5
2
1
Cardiff City FC 8 games · Avg 2.1 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-25 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2024-09-14 Derby County FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2022-05-07 Derby County FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC 2022-03-01 Cardiff City FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-03-02 Cardiff City FC 4–0 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Cardiff City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Derby County FC H 2–1 W
21 Jan Millwall FC A 2–2 D
18 Jan Swansea City AFC H 3–0 W
14 Jan Watford FC H 1–1 D
09 Jan Sheffield United FC A 1–0 W
04 Jan Middlesbrough FC A 1–1 D
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
21 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L
18 Jan Watford FC H 0–2 L
14 Jan Leyton Orient FC A 5–6 L
04 Jan Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Cardiff City Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cardiff City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 40' It looks surprising Cardiff City FC does not make any changes. Jesper Daland has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Calum Chambers.
  • 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kayden Jackson made 358 appearances and scored 32 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 55' Corey Blackett-Taylor has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 56' Anwar El Ghazi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Chris Willock on 56 minute.
  • 58' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Corey Blackett-Taylor departs to be replaced by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing.
  • 61' It’s gonna be a card for Perry Ng.
  • 62' Goal! Callum Robinson scores his 53 goal in 378 matches.
  • 64' GOAL! Anwar El Ghazi scores on 64. Assisted by Callum Robinson
  • 66' It is a substitution in Cardiff City FC team. Alex Robertson is replaced by Yousef Salech on 66 minute.
  • 71' Goal! Lars-Jorgen Salvesen scores his 2 goal in 14 matches.
  • 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Callum Elder on 75.
  • 77' Marcus Harness is replacing Callum Elder for the Derby County FC side.
  • 82' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 84' Will Fish is replacing Callum Robinson for the Cardiff City FC side.
  • 86' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Kenzo Goudmijn departs to be replaced by David Ozoh.
  • 87' Thomas Barkhuizen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jerry Yates on 87 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Cardiff City FC players.

Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Omer Riza

Derby County FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kieffer Moore 2
Leandro Bacuna 2
Martyn Waghorn 1
Will Vaulks 1
Uche Ikpeazu 1
Jordan Hugill 1
Scott Malone 1
Kenzo Goudmijn 1

Head to Head

2025-01-25 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2024-09-14 Derby County FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2022-05-07 Derby County FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC 2022-03-01 Cardiff City FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-03-02 Cardiff City FC 4–0 Derby County FC

Cardiff City FC Form

2025-01-25 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Derby County FC W 2025-01-21 Millwall FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC D 2025-01-18 Cardiff City FC 3–0 Swansea City AFC W 2025-01-14 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Watford FC D 2025-01-09 Sheffield United FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC W 2025-01-04 Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Cardiff City FC D

Derby County FC Form

2025-01-25 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2025-01-21 Derby County FC 0–1 Sunderland AFC L 2025-01-18 Derby County FC 0–2 Watford FC L 2025-01-14 Leyton Orient FC 6–5 Derby County FC L 2025-01-04 Bristol City FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-01-01 Sheffield Wednesday FC 4–2 Derby County FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.79 Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Cardiff City FC to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC58% Draw24% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Derby County FC
42%
Cardiff City FC or Derby County FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC38% Draw45% Derby County FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap Cardiff City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.