Cardiff City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Cardiff City FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Cardiff City Stadium 19,548 HT 45' · FT 45'

Callum Robinson 62' 1–0

Anwar El Ghazi 64' 2–0

2–1 71' Lars-Jorgen Salvesen

Calum Chambers 45' Y

Perry Ng 61' Y

Y 75' Callum Elder

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Cardiff City Stadium.

Cardiff City FC 8 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Dean Whitestone
Assistant 1 Daniel Leach
Assistant 2 Richard Woodward

3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	8	17
2	West Ham United FC	8	15
3	Middlesbrough FC	8	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	7	14
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	8	13
7	Stoke City FC	8	13
8	Bristol City FC	8	13
9	Charlton Athletic FC	8	12
10	Birmingham City FC	8	11
11	Millwall FC	8	11
12	Lincoln City FC	8	11
13	Southampton FC	8	10
14	Wrexham AFC	8	10
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	8	10
16	Blackburn Rovers FC	8	9
17	Norwich City FC	8	9
18	Sheffield United FC	8	9
19	Portsmouth FC	7	8
20	Watford FC	8	8
21	Cardiff City FC	8	7
22	Derby County FC	8	5
23	Preston North End FC	8	4
24	Burnley FC	8	4

Head-to-Head

Cardiff City FC 9 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-25 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2024-09-14 Derby County FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2022-05-07 Derby County FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC 2022-03-01 Cardiff City FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-03-02 Cardiff City FC 4–0 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Cardiff City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	Derby County FC	H	2–1	W
21 Jan	Millwall FC	A	2–2	D
18 Jan	Swansea City AFC	H	3–0	W
14 Jan	Watford FC	H	1–1	D
09 Jan	Sheffield United FC	A	1–0	W
04 Jan	Middlesbrough FC	A	1–1	D

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	Cardiff City FC	A	1–2	L
21 Jan	Sunderland AFC	H	0–1	L
18 Jan	Watford FC	H	0–2	L
14 Jan	Leyton Orient FC	A	5–6	L
04 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	0–1	L
01 Jan	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	2–4	L

Season Stats

Cardiff City FC		Derby County FC
#21	Position	#22
7	Points	5
8	Played	8
1 / 4 / 3	W / D / L	1 / 2 / 5
10	Scored	7
12	Conceded	14
-2	GD	-7
0.88	PPG	0.63
13%	Win %	13%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season

13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Cardiff City FC are 21st (7 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cardiff City FC

0-15

2/3

16-30

2/3

31-45

2/2

46-60

–/3

61-75

3/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Derby County FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/2

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cardiff City FC

Jack Moylan	3 G	1 A
Yousef Salech	2 G	1 A
Cian Ashford	2 G	1 A
Rubin Colwill	1 G	1 A

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	2 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	2 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Cardiff City FC vs Derby County FC — let the football do the talking.
5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jerry Yates made 57 appearances and scored 70 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cardiff City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
25' It’s high time Omer Riza made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
30' Andy Rinomhota has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 385 appearances.
35' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
45' It’s gonna be a card for Calum Chambers.
50' It is a cagey affair so far. Cardiff City FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 4-4-2.
55' The 30-year-old Ebou Adams has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
56' Anwar El Ghazi is replacing Chris Willock for the Cardiff City FC side.
58' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Corey Blackett-Taylor and will look to change the dynamic.
61' That is a card for Cardiff City FC. Perry Ng will be fuming at that decision.
62' Magnificent from Callum Robinson! That is 53 goals in 386 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
64' Goal! Anwar El Ghazi scores his 35 goal in 361 matches.
66' Cardiff City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yousef Salech is hanging Alex Robertson on the field on 66 minute.
71' GOAL! Lars-Jorgen Salvesen scores on 71. Assisted by Jerry Yates
75' The referee shows Derby County FC player a card on 75.
77' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Callum Elder is withdrawn and Marcus Harness gets his opportunity.
82' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
84' Callum Robinson makes way for Will Fish at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cardiff City FC.
86' Derby County FC ring the changes. Kenzo Goudmijn has done his job and it is now time for David Ozoh to step up.
87' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Jerry Yates is withdrawn and Thomas Barkhuizen gets his opportunity.
Another three points for Cardiff City FC.

Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

19
Yakou Meite ↑ 84'
1
Ethan Horvath
20
Anwar El Ghazi ↑ 56'
3
Manolis Siopis
27
Rubin Colwill
22
Yousef Salech ↑ 66'
2
Will Fish ↑ 84'
49
Luey Giles
56
Luke Pearce

Coach Omer Riza

Derby County FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ David Ozoh 86'
8
Ben Osborn ↓ Kayden Jackson 87'
3
Craig Forsyth
27
Corey Blackett-Taylor ↓ Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 58'
24
Ryan Nyambe
10
Jerry Yates ↓ Thomas Barkhuizen 87'
32
Ebou Adams
20
Callum Elder ↓ Marcus Harness 77'
15
Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
6
Eiran Cashin
1
Jacob Widell Zetterstrom

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kieffer Moore	2
Leandro Bacuna	2
Junior Hoilett	1
Anwar El Ghazi	1
Lee Tomlin	1
Carlton Morris	1
Martyn Waghorn	1
Bobby Clark	1

Head to Head

Cardiff City FC Form

2025-01-25 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Derby County FC W 2025-01-21 Millwall FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC D 2025-01-18 Cardiff City FC 3–0 Swansea City AFC W 2025-01-14 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Watford FC D 2025-01-09 Sheffield United FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC W 2025-01-04 Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Cardiff City FC D

Derby County FC Form

2025-01-25 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2025-01-21 Derby County FC 0–1 Sunderland AFC L 2025-01-18 Derby County FC 0–2 Watford FC L 2025-01-14 Leyton Orient FC 6–5 Derby County FC L 2025-01-04 Bristol City FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-01-01 Sheffield Wednesday FC 4–2 Derby County FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.01 Cardiff City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.93 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Cardiff City FC to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cardiff City FC63% Draw22% Derby County FC15%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.94

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw

85%

Draw or Derby County FC

37%

Cardiff City FC or Derby County FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Cardiff City FC44% Draw42% Derby County FC14%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.7%

2 – 0

10.5%

1 – 0

10%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

3 – 0

6.9%

3 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

4.5%

1 – 2

4.4%

0 – 1

4.2%

4 – 0

3.5%

4 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap	Cardiff City FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	19%	62%
-1.5	38%	—	62%
-1	38%	23%	39%
-0.5	61%	—	39%
+0.5	84%	—	16%
+1	84%	10%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.