Cardiff City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Cardiff City FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Cardiff City Stadium 19,548 HT 45' · FT 45'

Callum Robinson 62' 1–0

Anwar El Ghazi 64' 2–0

2–1 71' Lars-Jorgen Salvesen

Calum Chambers 45' Y

Perry Ng 61' Y

Y 75' Callum Elder

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Cardiff City Stadium.

Cardiff City FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Dean Whitestone
Assistant 1 Daniel Leach
Assistant 2 Richard Woodward

8 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Cardiff City FC 9 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-25 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2024-09-14 Derby County FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2022-05-07 Derby County FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC 2022-03-01 Cardiff City FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-03-02 Cardiff City FC 4–0 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Cardiff City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	Derby County FC	H	2–1	W
21 Jan	Millwall FC	A	2–2	D
18 Jan	Swansea City AFC	H	3–0	W
14 Jan	Watford FC	H	1–1	D
09 Jan	Sheffield United FC	A	1–0	W
04 Jan	Middlesbrough FC	A	1–1	D

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	Cardiff City FC	A	1–2	L
21 Jan	Sunderland AFC	H	0–1	L
18 Jan	Watford FC	H	0–2	L
14 Jan	Leyton Orient FC	A	5–6	L
04 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	0–1	L
01 Jan	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	2–4	L

Season Stats

Cardiff City FC		Derby County FC
#14	Position	#23
18	Points	10
15	Played	15
4 / 6 / 5	W / D / L	2 / 4 / 9
27	Scored	14
27	Conceded	30
+0	GD	-16
1.20	PPG	0.67
27%	Win %	13%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

7% Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season

7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Cardiff City FC are 14th (18 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cardiff City FC

0-15

4/6

16-30

3/5

31-45

9/3

46-60

1/7

61-75

5/2

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Derby County FC

0-15

1/5

16-30

3/6

31-45

2/7

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/4

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cardiff City FC

Jack Moylan	10 G	3 A
Yousef Salech	5 G	1 A
Cian Ashford	2 G	2 A
Rubin Colwill	1 G	1 A

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	3 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	3 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Cardiff City FC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cardiff City FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
10' Cardiff City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
20' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
25' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Joe Ralls has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
30' Derby County FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
35' Derby County FC come into this ranked 22 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
45' The referee has no hesitation. Calum Chambers is booked for Cardiff City FC — card on 45.
50' Derby County FC have won 462 goals from 397 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
55' With 0 assists to his name this season, Eiran Cashin is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
56' Anwar El Ghazi gets the nod from Cardiff City FC. He replaces Chris Willock and will look to change the dynamic.
58' Derby County FC ring the changes. Corey Blackett-Taylor has done his job and it is now time for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing to step up.
61' Cardiff City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
62' Callum Robinson adds to his 2 season tally! Cardiff City FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
64' Against the run of play, Anwar El Ghazi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
66' The whistle greets Alex Robertson as he departs to be replaced by Yousef Salech.
71' Brilliant from the forward! Lars-Jorgen Salvesen makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 71.
75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Callum Elder on 75 minutes.
77' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Marcus Harness comes on to replace Callum Elder.
82' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
84' Will Fish gets the nod from Cardiff City FC. He replaces Callum Robinson and will look to change the dynamic.
86' David Ozoh is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kenzo Goudmijn at the 86 minute mark.
87' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Jerry Yates departs to be replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen.
Full Time. Cardiff City FC beats Derby County FC

Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

19
Yakou Meite ↑ 84'
1
Ethan Horvath
20
Anwar El Ghazi ↑ 56'
3
Manolis Siopis
27
Rubin Colwill
22
Yousef Salech ↑ 66'
2
Will Fish ↑ 84'
49
Luey Giles
56
Luke Pearce

Coach Omer Riza

Derby County FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ David Ozoh 86'
8
Ben Osborn ↓ Kayden Jackson 87'
3
Craig Forsyth
27
Corey Blackett-Taylor ↓ Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 58'
24
Ryan Nyambe
10
Jerry Yates ↓ Thomas Barkhuizen 87'
32
Ebou Adams
20
Callum Elder ↓ Marcus Harness 77'
15
Lars-Jorgen Salvesen
6
Eiran Cashin
1
Jacob Widell Zetterstrom

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kieffer Moore	2
Leandro Bacuna	2
Lee Tomlin	1
Carlton Morris	1
Martyn Waghorn	1
Bobby Clark	1
Yousef Salech	1
Cian Ashford	1

Head to Head

Cardiff City FC Form

2025-01-25 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Derby County FC W 2025-01-21 Millwall FC 2–2 Cardiff City FC D 2025-01-18 Cardiff City FC 3–0 Swansea City AFC W 2025-01-14 Cardiff City FC 1–1 Watford FC D 2025-01-09 Sheffield United FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC W 2025-01-04 Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Cardiff City FC D

Derby County FC Form

2025-01-25 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2025-01-21 Derby County FC 0–1 Sunderland AFC L 2025-01-18 Derby County FC 0–2 Watford FC L 2025-01-14 Leyton Orient FC 6–5 Derby County FC L 2025-01-04 Bristol City FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-01-01 Sheffield Wednesday FC 4–2 Derby County FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.55 Cardiff City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.04 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Cardiff City FC to win 68% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cardiff City FC68% Draw18% Derby County FC14%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.59

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw

87%

Draw or Derby County FC

32%

Cardiff City FC or Derby County FC

82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Cardiff City FC51% Draw37% Derby County FC12%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

1 – 1

8.1%

3 – 1

7.6%

3 – 0

7.4%

1 – 0

6.7%

4 – 1

4.9%

2 – 2

4.7%

4 – 0

4.7%

0 – 0

3 – 2

1 – 2

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap	Cardiff City FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	28%	—	72%
-2	28%	20%	52%
-1.5	48%	—	52%
-1	48%	21%	32%
-0.5	68%	—	32%
+0.5	87%	—	13%
+1	87%	8%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.