Thursday , 2 July 2026

PAE Olympiakos SFP vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Champions League · 2025-26
PAE Olympiakos SFP
3 – 4
Full Time
Real Madrid CF
Wed 26 Nov 2025 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PAE Olympiakos SFP vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
19 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 9.5 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Arsenal FC 8 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 21
3 Liverpool FC 8 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur FC 8 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 16
6 Chelsea FC 8 16
7 Sporting Clube de Portugal 8 16
8 Manchester City FC 8 16
9 Real Madrid CF 8 15
10 FC Internazionale Milano 8 15
11 Paris Saint-Germain FC 8 14
12 Newcastle United FC 8 14
13 Juventus FC 8 13
14 Club Atletico de Madrid 8 13
15 Atalanta BC 8 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 11
18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 8 11
19 Club Brugge KV 8 10
20 Galatasaray SK 8 10
21 AS Monaco FC 8 10
22 Qarabag Agdam FK 8 10
23 FK Bodø/Glimt 8 9
24 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 8 9
25 Olympique de Marseille 8 9
26 Paphos FC 8 9
27 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 9
28 PSV 8 8
29 Athletic Club 8 8
30 SSC Napoli 8 8
31 FC København 8 8
32 AFC Ajax 8 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 4
34 SK Slavia Praha 8 3
35 Villarreal CF 8 1
36 FK Kairat 8 1

Head-to-Head

1
PAE Olympiakos SFP 1 games · Avg 7.0 goals Real Madrid CF
Last 5 meetings
2025-11-26 PAE Olympiakos SFP 3–4 Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

PAE Olympiakos SFP
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov Real Madrid CF H 3–4 L
04 Nov PSV H 1–1 D
21 Oct FC Barcelona A 1–6 L
01 Oct Arsenal FC A 0–2 L
17 Sep Paphos FC H 0–0 D
13 Mar FK Bodø/Glimt H 2–1 W
Real Madrid CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Nov PAE Olympiakos SFP A 4–3 W
23 Nov Elche CF A 2–2 D
09 Nov Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 0–0 D
04 Nov Liverpool FC A 0–1 L
01 Nov Valencia CF H 4–0 W
26 Oct FC Barcelona H 2–1 W

Season Stats

PAE Olympiakos SFP Real Madrid CF
#18 Position #9
11 Points 15
8 Played 8
3 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
10 Scored 21
14 Conceded 12
-4 GD +9
1.38 PPG 1.88
38% Win % 63%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
PAE Olympiakos SFP this season
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

PAE Olympiakos SFP are 18th (11 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

PAE Olympiakos SFP Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.77 PAE Olympiakos SFP xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.68 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PAE Olympiakos SFP27% Draw22% Real Madrid CF51%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 64%
36%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

PAE Olympiakos SFP or Draw
49%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
73%
PAE Olympiakos SFP or Real Madrid CF
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PAE Olympiakos SFP22% Draw35% Real Madrid CF43%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 1
6.3%
2 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
1 – 4
4.3%
2 – 4
3.8%
0 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
3 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — PAE Olympiakos SFP

Handicap PAE Olympiakos SFP covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 7% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 12% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 19% 37%
+1.5 63% — 37%
+2 63% 16% 21%
+2.5 79% — 21%

Clean Sheet

PAE Olympiakos SFP keeps clean sheet
8% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.