Cruzeiro EC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 31 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 31 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 31 | 67 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 31 | 66 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 31 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 31 | 51 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro EC | 31 | 51 |
| 6 | CA Mineiro | 31 | 50 |
| 7 | EC Bahia | 31 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 31 | 45 |
| 9 | São Paulo FC | 31 | 42 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 31 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 31 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 31 | 39 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 31 | 37 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 31 | 36 |
| 15 | CR Vasco da Gama | 30 | 35 |
| 16 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 31 | 33 |
| 17 | SC Internacional | 31 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 31 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 31 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 30 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct | São Paulo FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | EC Vitoria | A | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Santos FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | CA Paranaense | H | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | CR Flamengo | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #9 |
| 51 | Points | 42 |
| 31 | Played | 31 |
| 15 / 6 / 10 | W / D / L | 12 / 6 / 13 |
| 50 | Scored | 36 |
| 46 | Conceded | 35 |
| +4 | GD | +1 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 48% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
29%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
Cruzeiro EC are 5th (51 pts). São Paulo FC are 9th (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/4
16-30
4/8
31-45
8/6
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/2
76+
12/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Kaio Jorge | 11 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 6 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Cruzeiro EC welcome Sao Paulo FC for this crunch clash at Mineirao.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Lucas Romero is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cruzeiro EC so far.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Sao Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 21' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 24' Cruzeiro EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 24.
- 29' The home supporters are growing impatient. Cruzeiro EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 34' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 39' Cruzeiro EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 44' The Brazil Kaio Jorge breaks the deadlock on 44 minutes. 1-0!
- 46' Another substitution for Cruzeiro EC to replace Lucas Romero by ze Lucas on 46 minute.
- 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 56' Robert Arboleda is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cruzeiro EC tonight.
- 57' Brilliant from the ! ze Lucas makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 57.
- 59' Another change for Cruzeiro EC made on 59 minute. Gabriel Rojas leaves to be changed by Matias Vina.
- 63' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Ferreira is replaced by Joao Victor on 63 minute.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Pedrinho. He replaces Pablo Maia on 64 minute.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Keny Arroyo. He replaces Bruno Rodrigues on 68 minute.
- 72' Cruzeiro EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 72.
- 77' Sao Paulo FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 77.
- 78' Djhordney gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Damian Bobadilla and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Cruzeiro EC and Sao Paulo FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 85' A change in the Cruzeiro EC ranks — Gerson exits the field as Matheus Henrique enters on 85.
- 86' A tactical swap from Cruzeiro EC — Luciano Rodriguez on, Kaio Jorge off on 86 minutes.
- With this win, Cruzeiro EC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
29
Lucas Romero ↓ ze Lucas 46'
- 12
- 10
-
8
Gerson ↓ Matheus Henrique 85'
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Luciano Rodriguez 86'
-
27
Gabriel Rojas ↓ Matias Vina 59'
-
9
Bruno Rodrigues ↓ Keny Arroyo 68'
- 43
- 81
- 34
- 38
Bench
- 16
-
7
Matheus Henrique ↑ 85'
- 1
- 23
-
6
Matias Vina ↑ 59'
- 11
- 20
-
97
Luciano Rodriguez ↑ 86'
- 2
-
99
Keny Arroyo ↑ 68'
-
5
ze Lucas ↑ 46'
Coach
Artur Jorge
São Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 37
- 18
- 9
- 2
-
8
Marcos Antonio ↓ Newton 64'
-
35
Jose Sabino ↓ Ferreira 46'
-
29
Pablo Maia ↓ Pedrinho 64'
- 31
-
16
Damian Bobadilla ↓ Djhordney 78'
- 32
Bench
Coach
Dorival Júnior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ferreira | 4 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Kaio Jorge | 2 |
| Thiago Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 1 |
| Lucas Moura | 1 |
| William da Silva | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.68
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
79%
Draw or São Paulo FC
46%
Cruzeiro EC or São Paulo FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
11.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9.2%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 24% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

