Cruzeiro EC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 34 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | São Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Aug | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jul | Ceará SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | SC Recife | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #10 |
| 60 | Points | 44 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 6 / 10 | W / D / L | 12 / 8 / 14 |
| 55 | Scored | 39 |
| 48 | Conceded | 39 |
| +7 | GD | +0 |
| 1.76 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 53% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
29%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
Cruzeiro EC are 3rd (60 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/8
31-45
10/7
46-60
7/2
61-75
8/2
76+
13/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Kaio Jorge | 14 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 7 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Mineirao that hosts another battle between Cruzeiro EC and Sao Paulo FC.
- 5' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 387 games and scored 422 goals.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' The travelling Sao Paulo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 23' That looks like a foul for a card for Luciano.
- 28' A moment of madness from Lucas Villalba on 28 minutes earns him a card. Cruzeiro EC will be frustrated.
- 33' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 38' William has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 46' Gabriel Barbosa gets the nod from Cruzeiro EC. He replaces Kaio Jorge and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Cedric is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cruzeiro EC.
- 61' Rodrigo Huendra is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
- 64' Matheus Pereira does the damage! The net is bulging and Cruzeiro EC surge ahead!
- 69' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 70' Controversy at the stadium! Patryck argues furiously but the card stands.
- 73' Carlos Eduardo is replacing Wanderson for the Cruzeiro EC side.
- 78' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leonardo Jardim will be considering his options from the bench.
- 79' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Luciano is replaced by Juan Dinenno.
- 83' The whistle greets Patryck as he departs to be replaced by Wendell.
- 86' It is a substitution in Cruzeiro EC team. Matheus Pereira is replaced by Kaua Prates on 86 minute.
- 87' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Silva.
- 88' Damian Bobadilla has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 88.
- Full Time. Cruzeiro EC beats Sao Paulo FC
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Luis Sinisterra 86'
- 8
- 1
- 15
- 12
-
10
Matheus Pereira ↓ Kaua Prates 86'
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 46'
-
94
Wanderson ↓ Carlos Eduardo 73'
- 25
- 6
Bench
- 11
-
17
Luis Sinisterra ↑ 86'
- 5
-
9
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 46'
- 7
-
21
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 73'
- 77
- 14
- 34
- 41
- 70
-
36
Kaua Prates ↑ 86'
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Luciano ↓ Juan Dinenno 79'
- 6
- 28
- 35
- 32
-
11
Ferreira ↓ Gonzalo Tapia 79'
- 36
-
29
Pablo Maia ↓ Henrique Fabiano 83'
- 23
- 15
- 21
Bench
- 33
-
18
Wendell ↑ 83'
- 50
- 12
- 43
-
37
Henrique Fabiano ↑ 83'
-
19
Juan Dinenno ↑ 79'
- 34
- 56
- 42
-
14
Gonzalo Tapia ↑ 79'
- 45
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ferreira | 4 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Kaio Jorge | 2 |
| Thiago Neves | 2 |
| Rafinha | 1 |
| Luciano | 1 |
| Lucas Moura | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.3
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Cruzeiro EC or São Paulo FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
70%
Draw or São Paulo FC
59%
Cruzeiro EC or São Paulo FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

