Cruzeiro EC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 28 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | São Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Aug | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Aug | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Aug | Botafogo FR | A | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Jul | Ceará SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | SC Recife | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Aug | EC Vitoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Aug | SC Internacional | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | Fluminense FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #11 |
| 45 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 13 / 6 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 42 | Scored | 32 |
| 40 | Conceded | 30 |
| +2 | GD | +2 |
| 1.61 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 46% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
Cruzeiro EC are 6th (45 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 7 G | 1 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Cruzeiro EC and Sao Paulo FC is underway.
- 5' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' Cruzeiro EC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's shape.
- 15' Wanderson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Villalba suffering a number of foals already.
- 23' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Luciano will be fuming at that decision.
- 28' The referee shows Cruzeiro EC player a card on 28.
- 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 38' Cruzeiro EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 46' A change in the Cruzeiro EC ranks — Kaio Jorge exits the field as Gabriel Barbosa enters on 46.
- 51' Jose Sabino has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 56' Sao Paulo FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ferreira scoring 3 goals.
- 61' Rodrigo Huendra is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
- 64' What a moment for Matheus Pereira! That strike on 64 puts his side firmly in control.
- 69' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 70' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Patryck.
- 73' The whistle greets Wanderson as he departs to be replaced by Carlos Eduardo.
- 78' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Luciano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 79' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Luciano is replaced by Juan Dinenno.
- 83' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Patryck exits the field as Wendell enters on 83.
- 86' Cruzeiro EC make a change. Matheus Pereira trudges off to be replaced by Kaua Prates on 86 minutes.
- 87' It’s a booking for Cruzeiro EC player. Lucas Silva gets a card.
- 88' That looks like a foul for a card for Damian Bobadilla.
- The points are shared — Cruzeiro EC 1-0 Sao Paulo FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Luis Sinisterra 86'
- 8
- 1
- 15
- 12
-
10
Matheus Pereira ↓ Kaua Prates 86'
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 46'
-
94
Wanderson ↓ Carlos Eduardo 73'
- 25
- 6
Bench
- 11
-
17
Luis Sinisterra ↑ 86'
- 5
-
9
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 46'
- 7
-
21
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 73'
- 77
- 14
- 34
- 41
- 70
-
36
Kaua Prates ↑ 86'
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Luciano ↓ Juan Dinenno 79'
- 6
- 28
- 35
- 32
-
11
Ferreira ↓ Gonzalo Tapia 79'
- 36
-
29
Pablo Maia ↓ Henrique Fabiano 83'
- 23
- 15
- 21
Bench
- 33
-
18
Wendell ↑ 83'
- 50
- 12
- 43
-
37
Henrique Fabiano ↑ 83'
-
19
Juan Dinenno ↑ 79'
- 34
- 56
- 42
-
14
Gonzalo Tapia ↑ 79'
- 45
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ferreira | 4 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Thiago Neves | 2 |
| Luciano | 1 |
| Lucas Moura | 1 |
| William da Silva | 1 |
| Christian | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Cruzeiro EC or São Paulo FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
68%
Draw or São Paulo FC
61%
Cruzeiro EC or São Paulo FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 0
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 20% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

