São Paulo FC vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 28 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | SC Recife | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Dec | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Dec | EC Juventude | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | São Paulo FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | Mirassol FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Dec | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | RB Bragantino | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #6 |
| 36 | Points | 45 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 10 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 13 / 6 / 9 |
| 32 | Scored | 42 |
| 30 | Conceded | 40 |
| +2 | GD | +2 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.61 |
| 37% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 6th (45 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Cruzeiro EC
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 7 G | 1 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Morumbi as Sao Paulo FC face off against Cruzeiro EC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Cruzeiro EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Cruzeiro EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Lucas Silva has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' Cruzeiro EC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 27' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 27.
- 32' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Ferreira suffering a number of foals already.
- 42' Rafael Monteiro is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cruzeiro EC so far.
- 46' Damian Bobadilla is replacing Luciano for the Sao Paulo FC side.
- 51' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kaio Jorge.
- 52' Ferreira is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
- 57' A moment of madness from Enzo Diaz on 57 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
- 61' A meaty challenge results in booking for Andre Silva on 61.
- 65' What a moment for Kaio Jorge! That strike on 65 puts his side firmly in control.
- 66' Dudu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Christian at the 66 minute mark.
- 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 73' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matheus Pereira on 73.
- 77' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryan Rodrigues is hanging Ferreira on the field on 77 minute.
- 78' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Marcos Antonio on 78 minutes.
- 78' Walace has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Silva on 78 minute.
- 81' Lucas Romero is having his name booked by the referee on 81.
- 84' The referee shows Cruzeiro EC player a card on 84.
- 86' Another change for Cruzeiro EC made on 86 minute. Wanderson leaves to be changed by Marquinhos.
- 90' Fabricio Bruno has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 6
- 20
- 28
- 13
- 17
- 11
- 22
- 23
- 48
Bench
- 93
- 2
- 18
- 35
- 32
- 36
- 15
- 21
- 43
- 37
- 49
- 47
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Walace 78'
- 1
- 23
- 15
- 10
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Lautaro Diaz 77'
-
94
Wanderson ↓ Marquinhos 86'
- 25
- 88
- 6
Bench
-
7
Dudu ↑ 66'
- 12
-
5
Walace ↑ 78'
- 9
-
17
Marquinhos ↑ 86'
- 75
-
21
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 86'
-
26
Lautaro Diaz ↑ 77'
- 14
- 41
- 32
- 35
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ferreira | 4 |
| Thiago Neves | 2 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Matheus Pereira | 1 |
| Alexandre Pato | 1 |
| Rafinha | 1 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
São Paulo FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
57%
São Paulo FC or Cruzeiro EC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.4%
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 23% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

