São Paulo FC vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- Cruzeiro EC 34 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Mar | SC Recife | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Dec | Botafogo FR | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Dec | EC Juventude | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr | São Paulo FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | Mirassol FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | EC Juventude | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Dec | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | RB Bragantino | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | Cruzeiro EC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #3 |
| 44 | Points | 60 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 8 / 14 | W / D / L | 18 / 6 / 10 |
| 39 | Scored | 55 |
| 39 | Conceded | 48 |
| +0 | GD | +7 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.76 |
| 35% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
29%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
26%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 3rd (60 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/8
31-45
10/7
46-60
7/2
61-75
8/2
76+
13/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 2 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Cruzeiro EC
| Kaio Jorge | 14 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 7 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Cruzeiro EC get us underway at Morumbi.
- 5' Sao Paulo FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' Rafael Monteiro has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' The 23-year-old Marquinhos has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 27' That looks like a foul for a card for Alisson.
- 32' Over 32 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 37' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 42' It is a cagey affair so far. Sao Paulo FC in their trying to find a way past Cruzeiro EC's compact .
- 46' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 46 minute. Luciano leaves to be changed by Damian Bobadilla.
- 51' Cruzeiro EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 51.
- 52' Ferreira adds to his 4 season tally! Sao Paulo FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 57' It’s gonna be a card for Enzo Diaz.
- 61' Andre Silva was booked on 61.
- 65' What a strike from Kaio Jorge! The score is 1-1.
- 66' The crowd applauds Christian as he leaves the pitch. Dudu steps in for Cruzeiro EC.
- 71' Cruzeiro EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
- 73' That is a card for Cruzeiro EC. Matheus Pereira will be fuming at that decision.
- 77' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Ryan Rodrigues comes on to replace Ferreira.
- 78' The referee has no hesitation. Marcos Antonio is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 78.
- 78' A tactical swap from Cruzeiro EC — Walace on, Lucas Silva off on 78 minutes.
- 81' Lucas Romero is having his name booked by the referee on 81.
- 84' Fagner was booked on 84.
- 86' Another substitution for Cruzeiro EC to replace Wanderson by Marquinhos on 86 minute.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Fabricio Bruno.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 6
- 20
- 28
- 13
- 17
- 11
- 22
- 23
- 48
Bench
- 93
- 2
- 18
- 35
- 32
- 36
- 15
- 21
- 43
- 37
- 49
- 47
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Walace 78'
- 1
- 23
- 15
- 10
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Lautaro Diaz 77'
-
94
Wanderson ↓ Marquinhos 86'
- 25
- 88
- 6
Bench
-
7
Dudu ↑ 66'
- 12
-
5
Walace ↑ 78'
- 9
-
17
Marquinhos ↑ 86'
- 75
-
21
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 86'
-
26
Lautaro Diaz ↑ 77'
- 14
- 41
- 32
- 35
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ferreira | 4 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Kaio Jorge | 2 |
| Thiago Neves | 2 |
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Christian | 1 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Diego Souza | 1 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for:
São Paulo FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
59%
São Paulo FC or Cruzeiro EC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | Cruzeiro EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

