Thursday , 2 July 2026

CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
CA Paranaense
1 – 0
Full Time
CA Mineiro
Sat 16 Nov 2024 · 21:30 UTC Arena da Baixada 40,935 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tomas Cuello 28' 1–0
Pablo Felipe 18' Y
Y 27' Gustavo Scarpa
Nikao 59' Y
Y 71' Lyanco

Overview

Match Preview

CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

6
1
11
CA Paranaense 18 games · Avg 2.1 goals CA Mineiro
Last 5 meetings
2024-11-16 CA Paranaense 1–0 CA Mineiro 2023-09-02 CA Paranaense 1–1 CA Mineiro 2023-04-30 CA Mineiro 2–1 CA Paranaense 2022-08-07 CA Mineiro 2–3 CA Paranaense 2022-04-17 CA Paranaense 0–1 CA Mineiro

Recent Form

CA Paranaense
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Nov CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
10 Nov Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
02 Nov EC Vitoria H 1–2 L
26 Oct Cruzeiro EC H 3–0 W
22 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
17 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–5 L
CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Nov CA Paranaense A 0–1 L
13 Nov CR Flamengo A 0–0 D
07 Nov AC Goianiense A 0–1 L
30 Oct CA River Plate A 0–0 D
26 Oct SC Internacional H 1–3 L
23 Oct CA River Plate H 3–0 W

Season Stats

CA Paranaense CA Mineiro
#4 Position #9
30 Points 24
18 Played 18
9 / 3 / 6 W / D / L 7 / 3 / 8
24 Scored 22
18 Conceded 23
+6 GD -1
1.67 PPG 1.33
50% Win % 39%

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

CA Paranaense are 4th (30 pts). CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Paranaense
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Paranaense
Kevin Viveros 11 G 1 A
Stiven Mendoza 5 G
Julimar 3 G 1 A
CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' CA Paranaense have won 371 goals from 373 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fausto Vera suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' CA Paranaense is showing some good football. However, CA Paranaense are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 18' The referee calls foul for Pablo Felipe. He receives a card.
  • 23' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' Joao Victor is replacing Julimar for the CA Paranaense side.
  • 27' The referee has no hesitation. Gustavo Scarpa is booked for CA Mineiro — card on 27.
  • 28' A goal from the Argentina international Tomas Cuello! He fires home on 28 to make it 1-0!
  • 33' CA Paranaense started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
  • 38' Gabriel is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CA Paranaense so far.
  • 43' Julimar has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 46' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Rubens is replaced by Alisson Santana on 46 minute.
  • 51' Thiago Heleno has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 59' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nikao on 59.
  • 61' Igor Gomes has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bernard on 61 minute.
  • 66' CA Mineiro come into this ranked 10 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 71' CA Mineiro receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 76' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 81' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Paranaense is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 82' Another change for CA Paranaense made on 82 minute. Erick leaves to be changed by Fernandinho.
  • 84' A tactical swap from CA Mineiro — Alan Kardec on, Deyverson off on 84 minutes.
  • 89' It looks surprising CA Mineiro does not make any changes. Nikao has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' Christian is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joao Victor at the 90 minute mark.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

CA Paranaense Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Martin Varini

CA Mineiro Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gabriel Milito

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Vitor Roque 4
Hulk 3
Eduardo Vargas 2
Federico Zaracho 2
Igor Rabello 2
Tomas Cuello 1
Leo Silva 1
Christian 1

Head to Head

2024-11-16 CA Paranaense 1–0 CA Mineiro 2023-09-02 CA Paranaense 1–1 CA Mineiro 2023-04-30 CA Mineiro 2–1 CA Paranaense 2022-08-07 CA Mineiro 2–3 CA Paranaense 2022-04-17 CA Paranaense 0–1 CA Mineiro

CA Paranaense Form

2024-11-16 CA Paranaense 1–0 CA Mineiro W 2024-11-10 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 CA Paranaense L 2024-11-02 CA Paranaense 1–2 EC Vitoria L 2024-10-26 CA Paranaense 3–0 Cruzeiro EC W 2024-10-22 Fluminense FC 1–0 CA Paranaense L 2024-10-17 SC Corinthians Paulista 5–2 CA Paranaense L

CA Mineiro Form

2024-11-16 CA Paranaense 1–0 CA Mineiro L 2024-11-13 CR Flamengo 0–0 CA Mineiro D 2024-11-07 AC Goianiense 1–0 CA Mineiro L 2024-10-30 CA River Plate 0–0 CA Mineiro D 2024-10-26 CA Mineiro 1–3 SC Internacional L 2024-10-23 CA Mineiro 3–0 CA River Plate W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31 CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Paranaense49% Draw30% CA Mineiro21%
Actual: CA Paranaense win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

CA Paranaense or Draw
78%
Draw or CA Mineiro
51%
CA Paranaense or CA Mineiro
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Paranaense32% Draw53% CA Mineiro15%
Actual: CA Paranaense win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
1.5%

Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense

Handicap CA Paranaense covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 25% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.