CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 35 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Nov | EC Vitoria | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov | CA Paranaense | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Nov | AC Goianiense | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Oct | CA River Plate | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Oct | CA River Plate | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | CA Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #7 |
| 54 | Points | 51 |
| 34 | Played | 35 |
| 15 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 14 / 9 / 12 |
| 51 | Scored | 44 |
| 43 | Conceded | 40 |
| +8 | GD | +4 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 1.46 |
| 44% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (51 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 6 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
CA Mineiro
| Bernard | 5 G | 4 A |
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and CA Paranaense launch into their encounter with CA Mineiro.
- 5' CA Paranaense currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 18' Controversy at the stadium! Pablo Felipe argues furiously but the card stands.
- 23' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Paranaense in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past CA Mineiro's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 25' The whistle greets Julimar as he departs to be replaced by Joao Victor.
- 27' The referee calls foul for Gustavo Scarpa. He receives a card.
- 28' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tomas Cuello makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Paranaense needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 38' CA Paranaense are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CA Mineiro backline.
- 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CA Paranaense and CA Mineiro are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 46' Alisson Santana is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rubens at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gustavo Scarpa, as he is very good at scoring at Arena da Baixada with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 56' CA Mineiro are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 59' Nikao was booked on 59.
- 61' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Bernard is withdrawn and Igor Gomes gets his opportunity.
- 66' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 71' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lyanco.
- 76' CA Mineiro fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 81' Everson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CA Mineiro so far.
- 82' Fresh legs for CA Paranaense! Fernandinho comes on to replace Erick.
- 84' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Deyverson is withdrawn and Alan Kardec gets his opportunity.
- 89' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 90' The whistle greets Joao Victor as he departs to be replaced by Christian.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for CA Mineiro.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3
- 44
- 11
-
92
Pablo Felipe ↓ Fernando 82'
- 28
- 29
-
26
Erick ↓ Fernandinho 82'
-
20
Julimar ↓ Joao Victor 25'
- 37
- 45
- 41
Bench
-
5
Fernandinho ↑ 82'
- 10
- 88
- 8
- 90
- 24
- 43
-
6
Fernando ↑ 82'
- 15
-
57
Joao Victor ↑ 25'
- 7
- 30
Coach
Martin Varini
CA Mineiro Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 22
-
9
Deyverson ↓ Alan Kardec 84'
- 6
-
20
Bernard ↓ Igor Gomes 61'
- 5
- 2
- 21
-
26
Renzo Saravia ↓ Mariano 61'
- 18
- 7
-
44
Rubens ↓ Alisson Santana 46'
Bench
-
17
Igor Gomes ↑ 61'
- 16
-
10
Paulinho ↑ 46'
- 4
-
25
Mariano ↑ 61'
- 3
- 31
-
14
Alan Kardec ↑ 84'
- 27
-
45
Alisson Santana ↑ 46'
- 30
- 39
Coach
Gabriel Milito
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vitor Roque | 4 |
| Hulk | 3 |
| Eduardo Vargas | 2 |
| Federico Zaracho | 2 |
| Igor Rabello | 2 |
| Pablo Felipe | 1 |
| Nikao | 1 |
| Tomas Cuello | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Paranaense win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
75%
Draw or CA Mineiro
54%
CA Paranaense or CA Mineiro
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Paranaense win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
13.1%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
9%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 2
1.8%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 23% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 16% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

