Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
CA Paranaense
1 – 0
Full Time
CA Mineiro
Sat 16 Nov 2024 · 21:30 UTC Arena da Baixada 40,935 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tomas Cuello 28' 1–0
Pablo Felipe 18' Y
Y 27' Gustavo Scarpa
Nikao 59' Y
Y 71' Lyanco

Overview

Match Preview

CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

6
1
11
CA Paranaense 18 games · Avg 2.1 goals CA Mineiro
Last 5 meetings
2024-11-16 CA Paranaense 1–0 CA Mineiro 2023-09-02 CA Paranaense 1–1 CA Mineiro 2023-04-30 CA Mineiro 2–1 CA Paranaense 2022-08-07 CA Mineiro 2–3 CA Paranaense 2022-04-17 CA Paranaense 0–1 CA Mineiro

Recent Form

CA Paranaense
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Nov CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
10 Nov Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
02 Nov EC Vitoria H 1–2 L
26 Oct Cruzeiro EC H 3–0 W
22 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
17 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–5 L
CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Nov CA Paranaense A 0–1 L
13 Nov CR Flamengo A 0–0 D
07 Nov AC Goianiense A 0–1 L
30 Oct CA River Plate A 0–0 D
26 Oct SC Internacional H 1–3 L
23 Oct CA River Plate H 3–0 W

Season Stats

CA Paranaense CA Mineiro
#3 Position #7
49 Points 40
28 Played 27
14 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 9
43 Scored 36
32 Conceded 32
+11 GD +4
1.75 PPG 1.48
50% Win % 41%

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

CA Paranaense are 3rd (49 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Paranaense
Kevin Viveros 18 G 3 A
Stiven Mendoza 5 G 1 A
Leozinho 4 G
Julimar 3 G 1 A
CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. CA Paranaense get us underway at Arena da Baixada.
  • 5' CA Paranaense currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Pablo Felipe has been relatively quiet despite scoring 53 goals in his last 380 appearances.
  • 15' Lucas Esquivel is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Paranaense tonight.
  • 18' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Pablo Felipe.
  • 23' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' Time for substitution for CA Paranaense. Julimar is replaced by Joao Victor.
  • 27' The referee calls foul for Gustavo Scarpa. He receives a card.
  • 28' Tomas Cuello puts CA Paranaense on the lead.
  • 33' CA Mineiro has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 38' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 43' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Paranaense in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past CA Mineiro's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 46' Alisson Santana gets the nod from CA Mineiro. He replaces Rubens and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' CA Mineiro are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 59' Nikao was booked on 59.
  • 61' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Bernard is replaced by Igor Gomes on 61 minute.
  • 66' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 71' Lyanco catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 71.
  • 76' Erick has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 28 cards already picked up this season.
  • 81' CA Paranaense have won 384 goals from 380 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Fernandinho. He replaces Erick on 82 minute.
  • 84' The whistle greets Deyverson as he departs to be replaced by Alan Kardec.
  • 89' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 90' Time for substitution for CA Paranaense. Joao Victor is replaced by Christian.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

CA Paranaense Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Martin Varini

CA Mineiro Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gabriel Milito

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Vitor Roque 4
Hulk 3
Federico Zaracho 2
Igor Rabello 2
Eduardo Vargas 2
Gustavo Scarpa 1
Elias 1
Neto 1

Head to Head

2024-11-16 CA Paranaense 1–0 CA Mineiro 2023-09-02 CA Paranaense 1–1 CA Mineiro 2023-04-30 CA Mineiro 2–1 CA Paranaense 2022-08-07 CA Mineiro 2–3 CA Paranaense 2022-04-17 CA Paranaense 0–1 CA Mineiro

CA Paranaense Form

2024-11-16 CA Paranaense 1–0 CA Mineiro W 2024-11-10 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 CA Paranaense L 2024-11-02 CA Paranaense 1–2 EC Vitoria L 2024-10-26 CA Paranaense 3–0 Cruzeiro EC W 2024-10-22 Fluminense FC 1–0 CA Paranaense L 2024-10-17 SC Corinthians Paulista 5–2 CA Paranaense L

CA Mineiro Form

2024-11-16 CA Paranaense 1–0 CA Mineiro L 2024-11-13 CR Flamengo 0–0 CA Mineiro D 2024-11-07 AC Goianiense 1–0 CA Mineiro L 2024-10-30 CA River Plate 0–0 CA Mineiro D 2024-10-26 CA Mineiro 1–3 SC Internacional L 2024-10-23 CA Mineiro 3–0 CA River Plate W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36 CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Paranaense48% Draw29% CA Mineiro23%
Actual: CA Paranaense win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

CA Paranaense or Draw
76%
Draw or CA Mineiro
52%
CA Paranaense or CA Mineiro
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Paranaense32% Draw51% CA Mineiro17%
Actual: CA Paranaense win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.8%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense

Handicap CA Paranaense covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.