CA Mineiro vs CA Paranaense, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs CA Paranaense — Serie A at ARENA MRV.
- CA Mineiro 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
- CA Paranaense 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Matheus Delgado Candancan (Brazil)
- Assistant 1 Neuza Ines Back
- Assistant 2 Alessandro Rocha (Brazil)
8 games this season
🟨 0.8/game
⚽ 4.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | CA Paranaense | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | Chapecoense AF | A | 4–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Fluminense FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Mar | São Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | EC Vitoria | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Mar | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | CA Mineiro | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Apr | EC Bahia | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | Botafogo FR | H | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Coritiba FBC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Cruzeiro EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Fluminense FC | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | CA Paranaense | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #5 |
| 50 | Points | 54 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 15 / 9 / 10 |
| 44 | Scored | 51 |
| 40 | Conceded | 43 |
| +4 | GD | +8 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.59 |
| 41% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
29%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (50 pts). CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Paranaense
0-15
7/6
16-30
5/6
31-45
6/4
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/6
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Bernard | 5 G | 4 A |
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 2 A |
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 21 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 6 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 5 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! CA Mineiro vs CA Paranaense — let the football do the talking.
- 5' CA Mineiro looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Gustavo Scarpa scoring 1 goals.
- 6' GOAL! Victor Hugo Gomes scores on 6.
- 11' The 31-year-old Gaston Benavidez has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 16' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 19' Juan Aguirre picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 24' CA Mineiro are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against CA Paranaense's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 29' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 34' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 39' CA Paranaense fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 44' CA Paranaense are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 46' CA Paranaense manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Julimar is hanging Stiven Mendoza on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with CA Mineiro winning 50% of all matches.
- 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and CA Paranaense are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 61' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 66' Dudu has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 69' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Tomas Cuello is withdrawn and Dudu gets his opportunity.
- 70' Time for substitution for CA Mineiro. Reinier is replaced by Bernard.
- 75' The CA Paranaense bench stirs into life. Derik is withdrawn and Leozinho gets his opportunity.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Gustavo Scarpa. He replaces Victor Hugo Gomes on 77 minute.
- 80' Gustavo Scarpa adds to his 1 season tally! CA Mineiro lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 85' Mateo Cassierra is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hulk at the 85 minute mark.
- 88' Against the run of play, Julimar has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 88' The CA Paranaense manager makes a substitution. Luiz Gustavo departs to be replaced by Bruno Ramos.
- Full Time. CA Mineiro beats CA Paranaense
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
- 16
- 14
-
28
Tomas Cuello ↓ Dudu 69'
- 19
- 4
- 21
- 2
-
7
Hulk ↓ Mateo Cassierra 85'
- 30
-
25
Tomas Perez ↓ Mamady Cisse 70'
Bench
- 17
-
92
Dudu ↑ 69'
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↑ 77'
-
11
Bernard ↑ 70'
-
9
Mateo Cassierra ↑ 85'
- 13
- 23
- 1
- 5
- 3
- 36
-
39
Mamady Cisse ↑ 70'
Coach
Eduardo Domínguez
CA Paranaense Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
16
Jadson ↓ Juan Portilla 46'
- 23
-
7
Stiven Mendoza ↓ Julimar 46'
-
14
Luiz Gustavo ↓ Bruno Ramos 88'
- 37
- 29
- 6
- 33
-
53
Dudu ↓ Joao Victor 46'
- 4
- 9
Bench
- 3
- 10
-
20
Julimar ↑ 46'
- 1
- 11
-
8
Joao Victor ↑ 46'
- 5
- 2
-
48
Bruno Ramos ↑ 88'
-
27
Juan Portilla ↑ 46'
- 70
-
21
Leozinho ↑ 75'
Coach
Odair Hellmann
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vitor Roque | 4 |
| Hulk | 3 |
| Federico Zaracho | 2 |
| Igor Rabello | 2 |
| Eduardo Vargas | 2 |
| Neto | 1 |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 1 |
| Ricardo Oliveira | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.59
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
CA Paranaense xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
78%
Draw or CA Paranaense
48%
CA Mineiro or CA Paranaense
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Mineiro win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | CA Paranaense covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 23% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

