Sunday , 16 August 2026

CA Mineiro vs CA Paranaense, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 5 Apr 2026 · 20:30 UTC ARENA MRV 29,356 HT 45' · FT 45'
Gustavo Scarpa 80' 2–0
2–1 88' Julimar
Y 19' Juan Aguirre

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs CA ParanaenseSerie A at ARENA MRV.

Match Details

  • Referee Matheus Delgado Candancan (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Neuza Ines Back
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Rocha (Brazil)
7 games this season 🟨 0.3/game 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr CA Paranaense H 2–1 W
02 Apr Chapecoense AF A 4–0 W
21 Mar Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
18 Mar Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
14 Mar EC Vitoria A 0–2 L
11 Mar SC Internacional H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
01 Apr EC Bahia A 0–3 L
29 Mar Botafogo FR H 4–1 W
22 Mar Coritiba FBC H 2–0 W
18 Mar Cruzeiro EC H 2–1 W
15 Mar Fluminense FC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

CA Mineiro CA Paranaense
#11 Position #3
29 Points 41
21 Played 23
8 / 5 / 8 W / D / L 12 / 5 / 6
27 Scored 31
27 Conceded 20
+0 GD +11
1.38 PPG 1.78
38% Win % 52%

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
43% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season

CA Mineiro are 11th (29 pts). CA Paranaense are 3rd (41 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Paranaense
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/
61-75
1/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A
CA Paranaense
Kevin Viveros 14 G 2 A
Stiven Mendoza 5 G
Julimar 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! CA Mineiro welcome CA Paranaense for this crunch clash at ARENA MRV.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 6' Victor Hugo Gomes adds to his 1 season tally! CA Mineiro lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 11' CA Mineiro have won 473 goals from 474 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 16' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Mineiro is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 19' Juan Aguirre picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 24' Lucas Esquivel needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 29' It looks surprising CA Paranaense does not make any changes. Vitor Hugo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 34' CA Paranaense fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 44' CA Mineiro currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' Julimar is replacing Stiven Mendoza for the CA Paranaense side.
  • 51' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 56' CA Mineiro has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with CA Mineiro winning 100% of all matches.
  • 66' Over 66 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 69' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Tomas Cuello is replaced by Dudu on 69 minute.
  • 70' Bernard is replacing Reinier for the CA Mineiro side.
  • 75' CA Paranaense make a change. Derik trudges off to be replaced by Leozinho on 75 minutes.
  • 77' Gustavo Scarpa is replacing Victor Hugo Gomes for the CA Mineiro side.
  • 80' A stunning finish from Gustavo Scarpa — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 85' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Hulk exits the field as Mateo Cassierra enters on 85.
  • 88' What a moment for Julimar! That strike on 88 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 88' The crowd applauds Luiz Gustavo as he leaves the pitch. Bruno Ramos steps in for CA Paranaense.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.39 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 CA Paranaense xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro48% Draw28% CA Paranaense24%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
76%
Draw or CA Paranaense
52%
CA Mineiro or CA Paranaense
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Mineiro31% Draw50% CA Paranaense19%
Actual: CA Mineiro win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
11.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push CA Paranaense covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
37%
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.