Monday , 12 October 2026

Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2026-27
Sat 29 Aug 2026 · 11:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Joseph Opoku
0–2 44' Ji-sung Eom
0–3 90+1' Ronald

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug Swansea City AFC H 0–3 L
22 Aug Cardiff City FC H 2–2 D
15 Aug Charlton Athletic FC A 1–2 L
02 May Sheffield United FC H 1–2 L
25 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–2 W
21 Apr Norwich City FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug Derby County FC A 3–0 W
22 Aug Sheffield United FC H 0–0 D
15 Aug Stoke City FC A 2–1 W
02 May Charlton Athletic FC H 3–1 W
25 Apr Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
21 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Derby County FC Swansea City AFC
#22 Position #1
5 Points 17
8 Played 8
1 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 5 / 2 / 1
7 Scored 13
14 Conceded 6
-7 GD +7
0.63 PPG 2.13
13% Win % 63%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
44% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season

Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Swansea City AFC are 1st (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Swansea City AFC
Adam Idah 4 G 1 A
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 3 G
Ji-sung Eom 2 G 2 A
Joseph Opoku 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Derby County FC is hosting Swansea City AFC for another epic battle.
  • 2' Joseph Opoku has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 2 minutes.
  • 7' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 12' Ryan Hedges has been relatively quiet despite scoring 20 goals in his last 392 appearances.
  • 17' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Swansea City AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 22' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Alex Mowatt has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 24' The supporters are chanting for Moussa Kounfolo Yeo. He replaces Joseph Opoku on 24 minute.
  • 29' Derby County FC currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 34' Swansea City AFC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 39' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Swansea City AFC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 44' Ji-sung Eom has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 44 minutes.
  • 46' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Max Johnston is withdrawn and Joe Ward gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' Derby County FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Swansea City AFC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 61' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 65' Swansea City AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Zan Vipotnik is hanging Adam Idah on the field on 65 minute.
  • 69' That is a card for Derby County FC. Sondre Langas will be fuming at that decision.
  • 70' Filip Bilbija is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lars-Jorgen Salvesen at the 70 minute mark.
  • 73' Controversy at the stadium! Marko Stamenic argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 78' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Alex Mowatt by Owen Eames on 78 minute.
  • 80' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Dion Sanderson.
  • 81' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lewis Travis on 81 minutes.
  • 84' Elijah Just picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 85' Fresh legs for Swansea City AFC! Ronald comes on to replace Ji-sung Eom.
  • 90' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Swansea City AFC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.71 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.95 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Swansea City AFC to win 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC17% Draw24% Swansea City AFC59%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
41%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
83%
Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC11% Draw44% Swansea City AFC45%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13%
0 – 2
13%
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
6%
1 – 0
4.2%
0 – 4
4%
2 – 1
3.3%
2 – 2
3.3%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% — 97%
-1 3% 8% 88%
-0.5 12% — 88%
+0.5 35% — 65%
+1 35% 25% 40%
+1.5 60% — 40%
+2 60% 20% 20%
+2.5 80% — 20%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
49% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.