Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 8 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 May | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Apr | Norwich City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug | Derby County FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | Stoke City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 May | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Apr | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #1 |
| 5 | Points | 17 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 1 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 1 |
| 7 | Scored | 13 |
| 14 | Conceded | 6 |
| -7 | GD | +7 |
| 0.63 | PPG | 2.13 |
| 13% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
44%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Swansea City AFC are 1st (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 4 G | 1 A |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 3 G | |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Derby County FC is hosting Swansea City AFC for another epic battle.
- 2' Joseph Opoku has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 2 minutes.
- 7' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 12' Ryan Hedges has been relatively quiet despite scoring 20 goals in his last 392 appearances.
- 17' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Swansea City AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 22' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Alex Mowatt has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 24' The supporters are chanting for Moussa Kounfolo Yeo. He replaces Joseph Opoku on 24 minute.
- 29' Derby County FC currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 34' Swansea City AFC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 39' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Swansea City AFC's compact 4-3-3.
- 44' Ji-sung Eom has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 44 minutes.
- 46' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Max Johnston is withdrawn and Joe Ward gets his opportunity.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 56' Derby County FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Swansea City AFC's 4-3-3 shape.
- 61' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 65' Swansea City AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Zan Vipotnik is hanging Adam Idah on the field on 65 minute.
- 69' That is a card for Derby County FC. Sondre Langas will be fuming at that decision.
- 70' Filip Bilbija is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lars-Jorgen Salvesen at the 70 minute mark.
- 73' Controversy at the stadium! Marko Stamenic argues furiously but the card stands.
- 78' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Alex Mowatt by Owen Eames on 78 minute.
- 80' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Dion Sanderson.
- 81' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lewis Travis on 81 minutes.
- 84' Elijah Just picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 85' Fresh legs for Swansea City AFC! Ronald comes on to replace Ji-sung Eom.
- 90' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Swansea City AFC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 18
-
26
Ryan Hedges ↓ Rhian Brewster 46'
-
20
Alex Mowatt ↓ Owen Eames 78'
- 33
- 27
- 15
- 28
- 8
- 1
- 6
-
22
Max Johnston ↓ Joe Ward 46'
Bench
- 3
- 24
-
23
Joe Ward ↑ 46'
-
11
Samuel Szmodics ↑ 46'
- 31
-
10
Rhian Brewster ↑ 46'
-
13
Filip Bilbija ↑ 70'
- 29
-
37
Owen Eames ↑ 78'
Swansea City AFC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
4
Jay Fulton ↓ Stephen Eustaquio 65'
- 22
- 2
- 14
- 23
-
33
Adam Idah ↓ Zan Vipotnik 65'
- 6
- 26
-
10
Ji-sung Eom ↓ Ronald 85'
- 30
-
7
Melker Widell ↓ Elijah Just 65'
Bench
- 1
-
46
Stephen Eustaquio ↑ 65'
- 3
-
9
Zan Vipotnik ↑ 65'
-
49
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo ↑ 24'
-
35
Ronald ↑ 85'
- 20
-
8
Elijah Just ↑ 65'
- 44
- 50
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 4 |
| Harry Wilson | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Ronald | 2 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 |
| Fikayo Tomori | 1 |
| Connor Roberts | 1 |
| Morgan Whittaker | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2026-08-29
Derby County FC
0–3
Swansea City AFC
L
2026-08-22
Derby County FC
2–2
Cardiff City FC
D
2026-08-15
Charlton Athletic FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2026-05-02
Derby County FC
1–2
Sheffield United FC
L
2026-04-25
Queens Park Rangers FC
2–3
Derby County FC
W
2026-04-21
Norwich City FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
Swansea City AFC Form
2026-08-29
Derby County FC
0–3
Swansea City AFC
W
2026-08-22
Swansea City AFC
0–0
Sheffield United FC
D
2026-08-15
Stoke City FC
1–2
Swansea City AFC
W
2026-05-02
Swansea City AFC
3–1
Charlton Athletic FC
W
2026-04-25
Norwich City FC
1–1
Swansea City AFC
D
2026-04-21
Queens Park Rangers FC
1–2
Swansea City AFC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.71
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.95
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Swansea City AFC to win 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Swansea City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
41%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
83%
Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Swansea City AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13%
0 – 2
13%
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
6%
1 – 0
4.2%
0 – 4
4%
2 – 1
3.3%
2 – 2
3.3%
1 – 4
3%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 8% | 88% |
| -0.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| +0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +1 | 35% | 25% | 40% |
| +1.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +2 | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
49%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

