Derby County FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Burnley FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 5 games · 2 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bobby Madley (England)
- Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
- Assistant 2 Matthew Jones
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Swansea City AFC | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Bristol City FC | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Bristol City FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Charlton Athletic FC | 5 | 10 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 5 | 9 |
| 12 | Millwall FC | 5 | 9 |
| 13 | West Ham United FC | 5 | 8 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 5 | 8 |
| 15 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 5 | 8 |
| 16 | Birmingham City FC | 5 | 7 |
| 17 | Wrexham AFC | 5 | 6 |
| 18 | Norwich City FC | 5 | 6 |
| 19 | Stoke City FC | 5 | 6 |
| 20 | Portsmouth FC | 5 | 6 |
| 21 | Sheffield United FC | 5 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 5 | 5 |
| 23 | Lincoln City FC | 5 | 5 |
| 24 | Lincoln City FC | 5 | 5 |
| 25 | Watford FC | 5 | 5 |
| 26 | Southampton FC | 5 | 4 |
| 27 | Derby County FC | 5 | 4 |
| 28 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 5 | 4 |
| 29 | Cardiff City FC | 5 | 3 |
| 30 | Preston North End FC | 5 | 3 |
| 31 | Burnley FC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | Burnley FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Apr | Preston North End FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr | Derby County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Coventry City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Mar | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Mar | Luton Town FC | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Burnley FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #27 | Position | #31 |
| 4 | Points | 2 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 0 / 2 / 3 |
| 5 | Scored | 6 |
| 10 | Conceded | 12 |
| -5 | GD | -6 |
| 0.80 | PPG | 0.40 |
| 20% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
Burnley FC this season
Derby County FC are 27th (4 pts). Burnley FC are 31st (2 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Burnley FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
| Bobby Clark | 1 G | 1 A |
Burnley FC
| Zian Flemming | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Derby County FC launch into their encounter with Burnley FC.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Burnley FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' It’s high time John Eustace made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 33' Derby County FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 33.
- 38' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. Lyle Foster has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 387 games and scored 455 goals.
- 48' Burnley FC have won 406 goals from 344 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 53' It looks like no one’s ball. Burnley FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 58' Jaidon Anthony has been relatively quiet despite scoring 23 goals in his last 336 appearances.
- 63' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Burnley FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 68' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Josh Laurent by Lyle Foster on 68 minute.
- 70' Another change for Derby County FC made on 70 minute. Marcus Harness leaves to be changed by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing.
- 74' Burnley FC ring the changes. Lyle Foster has done his job and it is now time for Hannibal Mejbri to step up.
- 78' Derby County FC ring the changes. Sondre Langas has done his job and it is now time for Kayden Jackson to step up.
- 83' Nathaniel Phillips has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 84' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Marcus Edwards exits the field as Ashley Barnes enters on 84.
- 87' Liam Thompson makes way for Kenzo Goudmijn at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Ebou Adams.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 25
- 3
- 18
- 2
- 10
- 32
- 12
-
16
Liam Thompson ↓ Kenzo Goudmijn 87'
- 1
-
6
Sondre Langas ↓ Kayden Jackson 78'
- 28
Bench
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↑ 87'
- 29
- 33
-
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↑ 70'
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↑ 78'
- 31
- 21
- 7
- 48
Coach
John Eustace
Burnley FC Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 8
-
22
Marcus Edwards ↓ Ashley Barnes 84'
- 14
- 24
- 19
- 11
- 1
- 5
- 23
- 6
-
29
Josh Laurent ↓ Lyle Foster 68'
Bench
-
35
Ashley Barnes ↑ 84'
- 15
- 4
- 32
-
17
Lyle Foster ↑ 68'
- 28
- 7
- 30
- 2
Coach
Scott Parker
H2H
Derby County FC Form
2025-04-08
Derby County FC
0–0
Burnley FC
D
2025-04-05
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-04-02
Derby County FC
2–0
Preston North End FC
W
2025-03-15
Plymouth Argyle FC
2–3
Derby County FC
W
2025-03-11
Derby County FC
2–0
Coventry City FC
W
2025-03-08
Derby County FC
2–1
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Burnley FC
60%
Derby County FC or Burnley FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 22% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

