Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Club Atletico de Madrid, Champions League 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS

Tue 16 Apr 2024 · 19:00 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Julian Brandt 34' 1–0
Ian Maatsen 39' 2–0
2–1 49' Mats Hummels og
2–2 64' Angel Correa
Niclas Fullkrug 71' 3–2
Marcel Sabitzer 74' 4–2

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Club Atletico de MadridChampions League at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Slavko Vincic
  • Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
  • Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
18 games this season 🟨 3.1/game 10.0 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr Borussia Dortmund A 2–4 L
13 Apr Girona FC H 3–1 W
10 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–1 W
01 Apr Villarreal CF A 2–1 W
17 Mar FC Barcelona H 0–3 L
13 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 5–3 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund Club Atletico de Madrid
#17 Position #14
11 Points 13
8 Played 8
3 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 3
19 Scored 17
17 Conceded 15
+2 GD +2
1.38 PPG 1.63
38% Win % 50%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
6% Clean Sheets
Club Atletico de Madrid this season

Borussia Dortmund are 17th (11 pts). Club Atletico de Madrid are 14th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Club Atletico de Madrid
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.74 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.08 Club Atletico de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund51% Draw21% Club Atletico de Madrid28%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes81% 0% No19%
Avg goals/match: 4.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 85%
15%
± 3.5 69%
31%
± 4.5 51%
49%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
72%
Draw or Club Atletico de Madrid
49%
Borussia Dortmund or Club Atletico de Madrid
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund41% Draw34% Club Atletico de Madrid25%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
6.3%
3 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
1 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
4.4%
3 – 3
4%
4 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push Club Atletico de Madrid covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 15% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 18% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 14% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
13%
Club Atletico de Madrid keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.