Sunday , 16 August 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs AC Milan, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Wed 4 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC Signal Iduna Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs AC MilanChampions League at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Szymon Marciniak
  • Assistant 1 Pawel Sokolnicki
  • Assistant 2 Tomasz Listkiewicz
14 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Borussia Dortmund 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals AC Milan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct AC Milan H 0–0 D
29 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–1 W
23 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
19 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–2 L
16 Sep SC Freiburg A 4–2 W
01 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 0–0 D
30 Sep SS Lazio H 2–0 W
27 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 3–1 W
23 Sep Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
19 Sep Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
16 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 1–5 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 4 G 3 A
Karim Adeyemi 3 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Signal Iduna Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Borussia Dortmund and AC Milan.
  • 5' USA international Christian Pulisic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 19' Nico Schlotterbeck picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 23' The referee shows AC Milan player a Yellow card on 23.
  • 25' Poor challenge from Emre Can. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 40' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. Borussia Dortmund must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 50' Borussia Dortmund have won 798 goals from 521 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 55' Borussia Dortmund are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 58' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Tommaso Pobega is replaced by Yacine Adli on 58 minute.
  • 63' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alessandro Florenzi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Borussia Dortmund.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Karim Adeyemi. He replaces Julian Brandt on 64 minute.
  • 69' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alessandro Florenzi is hanging Davide Calabria on the field on 69 minute.
  • 70' AC Milan make a change. Olivier Giroud trudges off to be replaced by Noah Okafor on 70 minutes.
  • 72' Another change for Borussia Dortmund made on 72 minute. Marco Reus leaves to be changed by Felix Kalu Nmecha.
  • 77' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Edin Terzic will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 81' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Mats Hummels.
  • 85' Borussia Dortmund make a change. Niclas Fullkrug trudges off to be replaced by Youssoufa Moukoko on 85 minutes.
  • 88' Poor challenge from Yunus Musah. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • The points are shared — Borussia Dortmund 0-0 AC Milan. Honours even.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.99 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Borussia Dortmund or Draw 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund40% Draw33% AC Milan27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
73%
Draw or AC Milan
60%
Borussia Dortmund or AC Milan
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund24% Draw58% AC Milan18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
15.2%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
2.7%
3 – 0
2.6%
3 – 1
2.2%
1 – 3
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 23% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 18% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
46%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.