Saturday , 14 November 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs AC Milan, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Wed 4 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC Signal Iduna Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs AC Milan — Champions League at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Szymon Marciniak
  • Assistant 1 Pawel Sokolnicki
  • Assistant 2 Tomasz Listkiewicz
10 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 7.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
Borussia Dortmund 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals AC Milan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct AC Milan H 0–0 D
29 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–1 W
23 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
19 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–2 L
16 Sep SC Freiburg A 4–2 W
01 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 0–0 D
30 Sep SS Lazio H 2–0 W
27 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 3–1 W
23 Sep Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
19 Sep Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
16 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 1–5 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/2
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 4 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.99 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Borussia Dortmund or Draw 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund40% Draw33% AC Milan27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
73%
Draw or AC Milan
60%
Borussia Dortmund or AC Milan
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund24% Draw58% AC Milan18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
15.2%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
2.7%
3 – 0
2.6%
3 – 1
2.2%
1 – 3
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 23% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 18% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.