Thursday , 1 October 2026

AC Milan vs Hellas Verona FC, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sat 23 Sep 2023 · 13:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
Rafael Leao 8' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Hellas Verona FC — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marchetti (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Domenico Rocca
  • Assistant 2 Davide Moro (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
19 Sep Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
16 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 1–5 L
01 Sep AS Roma A 2–1 W
26 Aug Torino FC H 4–1 W
21 Aug Bologna FC 1909 A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep AC Milan A 0–1 L
18 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 0–0 D
01 Sep US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–3 L
26 Aug AS Roma H 2–1 W
19 Aug Empoli FC A 1–0 W
04 Jun AC Milan A 1–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Hellas Verona FC xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 57% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan57% Draw25% Hellas Verona FC18%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
82%
Draw or Hellas Verona FC
43%
AC Milan or Hellas Verona FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan37% Draw48% Hellas Verona FC15%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Hellas Verona FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
Hellas Verona FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.