Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC Europa-Park Stadion 34,700 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Mats Hummels
Lucas Holer 45+2' 1–1
Nicolas Hofler 45+6' 2–1
2–2 60' Donyell Malen
2–3 88' Mats Hummels
2–4 90+3' Marco Reus

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Europa-Park Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 2–4 L
02 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 0–5 L
26 Aug SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W
19 Aug TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W
13 Aug SV Oberachern A 2–0 W
27 May Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep SC Freiburg A 4–2 W
01 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
26 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–1 D
19 Aug 1. FC Köln H 1–0 W
12 Aug TSV SCHOTT Mainz A 6–1 W
27 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–2 D

Season Stats

SC Freiburg Borussia Dortmund
#3 Position #1
10 Points 12
4 Played 4
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 0
12 Scored 9
3 Conceded 2
+9 GD +7
2.50 PPG 3.00
75% Win % 100%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
81% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

SC Freiburg are 3rd (10 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.07 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg24% Draw24% Borussia Dortmund52%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
49%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
76%
SC Freiburg or Borussia Dortmund
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg18% Draw41% Borussia Dortmund41%
Actual: SC Freiburg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5.4%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 22% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 17% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.