Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Wed 27 Sep 2023 · 16:30 UTC Unipol Domus HT 45' · FT 45'
Zito Luvumbo 29' 1–0
1–1 40' Noah Okafor
1–2 45+1' Fikayo Tomori
1–3 60' Ruben Loftus-Cheek

Overview

Match Preview

Cagliari Calcio vs AC MilanSerie A at Unipol Domus.

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Assistant 1 Davide Imperiale
  • Assistant 2 Christian Rossi
6 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 3.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep AC Milan H 1–3 L
24 Sep Atalanta BC A 0–2 L
17 Sep Udinese Calcio H 0–0 D
02 Sep Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
28 Aug FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
21 Aug Torino FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 3–1 W
23 Sep Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
19 Sep Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
16 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 1–5 L
01 Sep AS Roma A 2–1 W
26 Aug Torino FC H 4–1 W

Season Stats

Cagliari Calcio AC Milan
#14 Position #5
43 Points 70
38 Played 38
11 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
40 Scored 53
53 Conceded 35
-13 GD +18
1.13 PPG 1.84
29% Win % 53%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Cagliari Calcio is hosting AC Milan for another epic battle.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ibrahim Sulemana is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cagliari Calcio.
  • 10' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Marco Sportiello has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' Cagliari Calcio started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 29' What composure from Zito Luvumbo! The Angola international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' The deadlock is broken! Noah Okafor gets on the scoresheet on 40 minutes.
  • 42' Cagliari Calcio receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 42.
  • 46' Fikayo Tomori adds to his 0 season tally! AC Milan lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 46' Gaetano Oristanio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mateusz Wieteska on 46 minute.
  • 48' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
  • 53' Gabriele Zappa has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 53.
  • 58' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 59' A tactical swap from AC MilanTommaso Pobega on, Yacine Adli off on 59 minutes.
  • 60' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ruben Loftus-Cheek makes it 1-3.
  • 65' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 67' Time for substitution for Cagliari Calcio. Ibrahim Sulemana is replaced by Nicolas Viola.
  • 68' Eldor Shomurodov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Andrea Petagna on 68 minute.
  • 69' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Samuel Chukwueze is replaced by Rafael Leao.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Christian Pulisic as he leaves the pitch. Luka Romero steps in for AC Milan.
  • 75' AC Milan come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 78' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Gaetano Oristanio.
  • 79' Controversy at the stadium! Gaetano Oristanio argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 81' Alessandro Di Pardo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gabriele Zappa at the 81 minute mark.
  • 84' The Cagliari Calcio bench stirs into life. Antoine Makoumbou is withdrawn and Alessandro Deiola gets his opportunity.
  • 89' Cagliari Calcio are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 1-3 the final result. Cagliari Calcio will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96 Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cagliari Calcio21% Draw25% AC Milan54%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw
46%
Draw or AC Milan
79%
Cagliari Calcio or AC Milan
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cagliari Calcio16% Draw45% AC Milan39%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 1
10.6%
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 3
5.9%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
2.8%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap Cagliari Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 44% 56%
+1 44% 23% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
17%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.