Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2023-24

Cagliari Calcio

1 – 3

Full Time

AC Milan

Wed 27 Sep 2023 · 16:30 UTC Unipol Domus HT 45' · FT 45'

Zito Luvumbo 29' 1–0

1–1 40' Noah Okafor

1–2 45+1' Fikayo Tomori

1–3 60' Ruben Loftus-Cheek

Mateusz Wieteska 42' Y

Y 48' Ruben Loftus-Cheek

Gabriele Zappa 53' Y

Gaetano Oristanio 78' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A at Unipol Domus.

Cagliari Calcio 5 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Federico La Penna
Assistant 1 Davide Imperiale
Assistant 2 Christian Rossi

3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	13
2	FC Internazionale Milano	5	13
3	SS Lazio	5	13
4	Cagliari Calcio	5	12
5	AC Milan	5	11
6	Frosinone Calcio	5	10
7	Juventus FC	5	10
8	Como 1907	5	10
9	SSC Napoli	5	7
10	US Sassuolo Calcio	5	7
11	Atalanta BC	5	6
12	US Lecce	5	6
13	Udinese Calcio	5	4
14	Torino FC	5	4
15	Parma Calcio 1913	5	4
16	AC Monza	5	4
17	ACF Fiorentina	5	4
18	Bologna FC 1909	5	2
19	Genoa CFC	5	1
20	Venezia FC	5	0

Head-to-Head

Cagliari Calcio 22 games · Avg 3.1 goals AC Milan

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-27 Cagliari Calcio 1–3 AC Milan 2022-03-19 Cagliari Calcio 0–1 AC Milan 2021-08-29 AC Milan 4–1 Cagliari Calcio 2021-05-16 AC Milan 0–0 Cagliari Calcio 2021-01-18 Cagliari Calcio 0–2 AC Milan

Recent Form

Cagliari Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	AC Milan	H	1–3	L
24 Sep	Atalanta BC	A	0–2	L
17 Sep	Udinese Calcio	H	0–0	D
02 Sep	Bologna FC 1909	A	1–2	L
28 Aug	FC Internazionale Milano	H	0–2	L
21 Aug	Torino FC	A	0–0	D

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	Cagliari Calcio	A	3–1	W
23 Sep	Hellas Verona FC	H	1–0	W
19 Sep	Newcastle United FC	H	0–0	D
16 Sep	FC Internazionale Milano	A	1–5	L
01 Sep	AS Roma	A	2–1	W
26 Aug	Torino FC	H	4–1	W

Season Stats

Cagliari Calcio		AC Milan
#4	Position	#5
12	Points	11
5	Played	5
4 / 0 / 1	W / D / L	3 / 2 / 0
5	Scored	10
2	Conceded	4
+3	GD	+6
2.40	PPG	2.20
80%	Win %	60%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
Cagliari Calcio this season

40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Cagliari Calcio are 4th (12 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cagliari Calcio

0-15

–/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

AC Milan

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

8/–

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cagliari Calcio

Daniel Maldini	3 G
Alessandro Romano	1 G

AC Milan

Diego Moreira	3 G
Adrien Rabiot	2 G	2 A
Alphadjo Cisse	2 G
Goncalo Ramos	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Unipol Domus. Cagliari Calcio are looking to make home advantage count against AC Milan.
5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Theo Hernandez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cagliari Calcio.
20' Tijjani Reijnders has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
29' What composure from Zito Luvumbo! The Angola international strokes it home. 1-0.
34' Yacine Adli is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cagliari Calcio tonight.
39' Mateusz Wieteska is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cagliari Calcio so far.
40' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Noah Okafor makes it 1-1.
42' The referee shows Cagliari Calcio player a Yellow card on 42.
46' What a moment for Fikayo Tomori! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
46' Another substitution for Cagliari Calcio to replace Mateusz Wieteska by Gaetano Oristanio on 46 minute.
48' Controversy at the stadium! Ruben Loftus-Cheek argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
53' The referee has no hesitation. Gabriele Zappa is booked for Cagliari Calcio — Yellow card on 53.
58' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cagliari Calcio side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
59' Another change for AC Milan made on 59 minute. Yacine Adli leaves to be changed by Tommaso Pobega.
60' GOAL! Ruben Loftus-Cheek fires home to make it 1-3!
65' It is a cagey affair so far. Cagliari Calcio in their 5-4-1 trying to find a way past AC Milan's compact 4-3-3.
67' Fresh legs for Cagliari Calcio! Nicolas Viola comes on to replace Ibrahim Sulemana.
68' Eldor Shomurodov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Andrea Petagna on 68 minute.
69' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Samuel Chukwueze is replaced by Rafael Leao.
70' Christian Pulisic makes way for Luka Romero at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
75' Samuel Chukwueze, a Nigeria forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Gaetano Oristanio.
79' It’s a booking for Cagliari Calcio player. Gaetano Oristanio gets a Yellow card.
81' Alessandro Di Pardo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gabriele Zappa on 81 minute.
84' The Cagliari Calcio manager makes a substitution. Antoine Makoumbou departs to be replaced by Alessandro Deiola.
89' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AC Milan to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

1
Boris Radunovic
17
Pantelis Chatzidiakos
32
Andrea Petagna ↓ Eldor Shomurodov 68'
27
Tommaso Augello
29
Antoine Makoumbou ↓ Alessandro Deiola 84'
23
Mateusz Wieteska ↓ Gaetano Oristanio 46'
8
Nahitan Nandez
28
Gabriele Zappa ↓ Alessandro Di Pardo 81'
4
Alberto Dossena
77
Zito Luvumbo
25
Ibrahim Sulemana ↓ Nicolas Viola 67'

Bench

Coach Claudio Ranieri

AC Milan Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

14
Tijjani Reijnders ↓ Yunus Musah 59'
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
23
Fikayo Tomori
7
Yacine Adli ↓ Tommaso Pobega 59'
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Luka Romero 70'
19
Theo Hernandez ↓ Davide Bartesaghi 84'
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↓ Rafael Leao 69'
42
Alessandro Florenzi
57
Marco Sportiello
17
Noah Okafor
28
Malick Thiaw

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	4
Rafael Leao	4
Ismael Bennacer	3
Christian Pulisic	2
Olivier Giroud	2
Gabriele Zappa	2
Nadir Zortea	2
Alexis Saelemaekers	1

Head to Head

Cagliari Calcio Form

2023-09-27 Cagliari Calcio 1–3 AC Milan L 2023-09-24 Atalanta BC 2–0 Cagliari Calcio L 2023-09-17 Cagliari Calcio 0–0 Udinese Calcio D 2023-09-02 Bologna FC 1909 2–1 Cagliari Calcio L 2023-08-28 Cagliari Calcio 0–2 FC Internazionale Milano L 2023-08-21 Torino FC 0–0 Cagliari Calcio D

AC Milan Form

2023-09-27 Cagliari Calcio 1–3 AC Milan W 2023-09-23 AC Milan 1–0 Hellas Verona FC W 2023-09-19 AC Milan 0–0 Newcastle United FC D 2023-09-16 FC Internazionale Milano 5–1 AC Milan L 2023-09-01 AS Roma 1–2 AC Milan W 2023-08-26 AC Milan 4–1 Torino FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

0.81 Cagliari Calcio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.3 AC Milan xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cagliari Calcio23% Draw30% AC Milan47%

Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.11

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	62%	38%
± 2.5	35%	65%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw

53%

Draw or AC Milan

77%

Cagliari Calcio or AC Milan

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Cagliari Calcio16% Draw53% AC Milan31%

Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 1

14.5%

0 – 0

14.4%

1 – 1

13.7%

0 – 2

9.8%

1 – 0

8.6%

1 – 2

8.1%

2 – 1

0 – 3

4.2%

2 – 0

3.8%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 2

3.4%

2 – 3

1.6%

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap	Cagliari Calcio covers	Push	AC Milan covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	15%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	24%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	14%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

45% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.