Saturday , 14 November 2026

Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Wed 27 Sep 2023 · 16:30 UTC Unipol Domus HT 45' · FT 45'
Zito Luvumbo 29' 1–0
1–1 40' Noah Okafor
1–2 45+1' Fikayo Tomori
1–3 60' Ruben Loftus-Cheek

Overview

Match Preview

Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A at Unipol Domus.

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Assistant 1 Davide Imperiale
  • Assistant 2 Christian Rossi
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep AC Milan H 1–3 L
24 Sep Atalanta BC A 0–2 L
17 Sep Udinese Calcio H 0–0 D
02 Sep Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
28 Aug FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
21 Aug Torino FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 3–1 W
23 Sep Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
19 Sep Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
16 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 1–5 L
01 Sep AS Roma A 2–1 W
26 Aug Torino FC H 4–1 W

Season Stats

Cagliari Calcio AC Milan
#9 Position #4
16 Points 24
11 Played 11
5 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 7 / 3 / 1
10 Scored 23
15 Conceded 13
-5 GD +10
1.45 PPG 2.18
45% Win % 64%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Cagliari Calcio this season
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Cagliari Calcio are 9th (16 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cagliari Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cagliari Calcio
Daniel Maldini 5 G
Alessandro Romano 1 G
AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. AC Milan kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Samuel Chukwueze has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cagliari Calcio and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' Davide Bartesaghi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cagliari Calcio so far.
  • 25' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 29' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Zito Luvumbo makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gabriele Zappa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 39' Malick Thiaw is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
  • 40' Noah Okafor makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and AC Milan are in front.
  • 42' Mateusz Wieteska picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' Fikayo Tomori has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 46' Another change for Cagliari Calcio made on 46 minute. Mateusz Wieteska leaves to be changed by Gaetano Oristanio.
  • 48' Controversy at the stadium! Ruben Loftus-Cheek argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 53' Poor challenge from Gabriele Zappa. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 58' Luka Romero has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 59' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Yacine Adli by Tommaso Pobega on 59 minute.
  • 60' Ruben Loftus-Cheek does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
  • 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tommaso Pobega made 228 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 67' Ibrahim Sulemana makes way for Nicolas Viola at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cagliari Calcio.
  • 68' Andrea Petagna makes way for Eldor Shomurodov at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cagliari Calcio.
  • 69' The crowd applauds Samuel Chukwueze as he leaves the pitch. Rafael Leao steps in for AC Milan.
  • 70' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Christian Pulisic is withdrawn and Luka Romero gets his opportunity.
  • 75' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 78' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Gaetano Oristanio on 78 minutes.
  • 79' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Gaetano Oristanio.
  • 81' Alessandro Di Pardo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gabriele Zappa on 81 minute.
  • 84' Time for substitution for Cagliari Calcio. Antoine Makoumbou is replaced by Alessandro Deiola.
  • 89' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89 Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cagliari Calcio19% Draw24% AC Milan57%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw
43%
Draw or AC Milan
81%
Cagliari Calcio or AC Milan
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cagliari Calcio14% Draw44% AC Milan42%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
0 – 1
10.9%
0 – 2
10.8%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
0 – 3
6.8%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 4
3.2%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap Cagliari Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 11% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 40% — 60%
+1 40% 24% 36%
+1.5 64% — 36%
+2 64% 19% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
41% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.