Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A at Unipol Domus.
- Cagliari Calcio 38 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Federico La Penna
- Assistant 1 Davide Imperiale
- Assistant 2 Christian Rossi
6 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 3.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | AC Milan | H | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Sep | Atalanta BC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Sep | Udinese Calcio | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Sep | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Aug | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Aug | Torino FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | Cagliari Calcio | A | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | Hellas Verona FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | Newcastle United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Sep | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 1–5 | L |
| 01 Sep | AS Roma | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Aug | Torino FC | H | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Cagliari Calcio | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #5 |
| 43 | Points | 70 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 11 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 20 / 10 / 8 |
| 40 | Scored | 53 |
| 53 | Conceded | 35 |
| -13 | GD | +18 |
| 1.13 | PPG | 1.84 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Cagliari Calcio is hosting AC Milan for another epic battle.
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ibrahim Sulemana is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cagliari Calcio.
- 10' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Marco Sportiello has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' Cagliari Calcio started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
- 29' What composure from Zito Luvumbo! The Angola international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 40' The deadlock is broken! Noah Okafor gets on the scoresheet on 40 minutes.
- 42' Cagliari Calcio receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 42.
- 46' Fikayo Tomori adds to his 0 season tally! AC Milan lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 46' Gaetano Oristanio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mateusz Wieteska on 46 minute.
- 48' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
- 53' Gabriele Zappa has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 53.
- 58' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 59' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Tommaso Pobega on, Yacine Adli off on 59 minutes.
- 60' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ruben Loftus-Cheek makes it 1-3.
- 65' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 67' Time for substitution for Cagliari Calcio. Ibrahim Sulemana is replaced by Nicolas Viola.
- 68' Eldor Shomurodov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Andrea Petagna on 68 minute.
- 69' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Samuel Chukwueze is replaced by Rafael Leao.
- 70' The crowd applauds Christian Pulisic as he leaves the pitch. Luka Romero steps in for AC Milan.
- 75' AC Milan come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 78' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Gaetano Oristanio.
- 79' Controversy at the stadium! Gaetano Oristanio argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 81' Alessandro Di Pardo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gabriele Zappa at the 81 minute mark.
- 84' The Cagliari Calcio bench stirs into life. Antoine Makoumbou is withdrawn and Alessandro Deiola gets his opportunity.
- 89' Cagliari Calcio are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 1-3 the final result. Cagliari Calcio will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Cagliari Calcio Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1
- 17
- 32
- 27
- 29
- 23
- 8
- 28
- 4
- 77
- 25
Bench
- 30
- 18
-
10
Nicolas Viola ↑ 67'
- 22
-
14
Alessandro Deiola ↑ 84'
- 3
-
61
Eldor Shomurodov ↑ 68'
-
99
Alessandro Di Pardo ↑ 81'
- 33
-
19
Gaetano Oristanio ↑ 46'
- 37
- 16
Coach
Claudio Ranieri
AC Milan Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
14
Tijjani Reijnders ↓ Yunus Musah 59'
- 8
- 23
-
7
Yacine Adli ↓ Tommaso Pobega 59'
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Luka Romero 70'
- 19
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↓ Rafael Leao 69'
- 42
- 57
- 17
- 28
Bench
- 9
-
10
Rafael Leao ↑ 69'
- 24
- 83
- 2
-
18
Luka Romero ↑ 70'
-
32
Tommaso Pobega ↑ 59'
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 59'
- 69
- 31
-
95
Davide Bartesaghi ↑ 84'
Coach
Stefano Pioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 4 |
| Ismael Bennacer | 3 |
| Christian Pulisic | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Gabriele Zappa | 2 |
| Nadir Zortea | 2 |
| Lucas Paqueta | 1 |
Head to Head
Cagliari Calcio Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96
Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Cagliari Calcio or Draw
46%
Draw or AC Milan
79%
Cagliari Calcio or AC Milan
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 1
10.6%
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 3
5.9%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
2.8%
2 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio
| Handicap | Cagliari Calcio covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 23% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

