Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs Newcastle United FC, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Tue 19 Sep 2023 · 16:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Newcastle United FCChampions League at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Inigo Prieto Lopez (Spain)
9 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 3.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
AC Milan 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Newcastle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
16 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 1–5 L
01 Sep AS Roma A 2–1 W
26 Aug Torino FC H 4–1 W
21 Aug Bologna FC 1909 A 2–0 W
04 Jun Hellas Verona FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep AC Milan A 0–0 D
16 Sep Brentford FC H 1–0 W
02 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–3 L
27 Aug Liverpool FC H 1–2 L
19 Aug Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
12 Aug Aston Villa FC H 5–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Giuseppe Meazza will turn into a battlefield for AC Milan and Newcastle United FC.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Callum Wilson, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Marco Sportiello needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alexander Isak suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' Samuel Chukwueze has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 45 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 41' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Davide Calabria gets a Yellow card.
  • 46' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Davide Calabria is replaced by Alessandro Florenzi on 46 minute.
  • 49' The referee shows Newcastle United FC player a Yellow card on 49.
  • 54' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Fikayo Tomori has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 59' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 61' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Samuel Chukwueze is replaced by Christian Pulisic on 61 minute.
  • 63' The Newcastle United FC manager makes a substitution. Jacob Murphy departs to be replaced by Callum Wilson.
  • 68' Newcastle United FC is showing some good football. However, Newcastle United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 72' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Ruben Loftus-Cheek departs to be replaced by Yunus Musah.
  • 77' Newcastle United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 77.
  • 80' Another change for AC Milan made on 80 minute. Mike Maignan leaves to be changed by Marco Sportiello.
  • 81' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Mike Maignan is replaced by Marco Sportiello.
  • 82' The referee shows AC Milan player a Yellow card on 82.
  • 83' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Olivier Giroud.
  • 88' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Rade Krunic. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Harvey Barnes. He replaces Alexander Isak on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 0-0.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan47% Draw32% Newcastle United FC21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
79%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
53%
AC Milan or Newcastle United FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan29% Draw57% Newcastle United FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
17.4%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 26% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
52%
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.