Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Milan vs Newcastle United FC, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Tue 19 Sep 2023 · 16:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Newcastle United FC — Champions League at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Raul Cabanero Martinez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Inigo Prieto Lopez (Spain)
5 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
AC Milan 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Newcastle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
16 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 1–5 L
01 Sep AS Roma A 2–1 W
26 Aug Torino FC H 4–1 W
21 Aug Bologna FC 1909 A 2–0 W
04 Jun Hellas Verona FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep AC Milan A 0–0 D
16 Sep Brentford FC H 1–0 W
02 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–3 L
27 Aug Liverpool FC H 1–2 L
19 Aug Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
12 Aug Aston Villa FC H 5–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. AC Milan host Newcastle United FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Newcastle United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Nick Pope has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Rade Krunic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Olivier Giroud made 417 appearances and scored 99 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and Newcastle United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 41' Davide Calabria was booked on 41.
  • 46' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Davide Calabria departs to be replaced by Alessandro Florenzi.
  • 49' Fabian Schar catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 49.
  • 54' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 59' The travelling Newcastle United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 61' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Christian Pulisic comes on to replace Samuel Chukwueze.
  • 63' It is a substitution in Newcastle United FC team. Jacob Murphy is replaced by Callum Wilson on 63 minute.
  • 68' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 68 minutes.
  • 72' Yunus Musah gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Ruben Loftus-Cheek and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' The energy levels are beginning to show. Stefano Pioli might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 80' The crowd applauds Mike Maignan as he leaves the pitch. Marco Sportiello steps in for AC Milan.
  • 81' AC Milan make a change. Mike Maignan trudges off to be replaced by Marco Sportiello on 81 minutes.
  • 82' Yunus Musah has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 82.
  • 83' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Olivier Giroud.
  • 88' Newcastle United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Rade Krunic.
  • 90' Newcastle United FC make a change. Alexander Isak trudges off to be replaced by Harvey Barnes on 90 minutes.
  • 0-0 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan47% Draw32% Newcastle United FC21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
79%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
53%
AC Milan or Newcastle United FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan29% Draw57% Newcastle United FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
17.4%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 26% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
52% ✓
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.