Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 23 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marco Reus 68' 1–0
Y 24' Vaclav Cerny

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
19 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–2 L
16 Sep SC Freiburg A 4–2 W
01 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
26 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–1 D
19 Aug 1. FC Koln H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
16 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–1 W
02 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–3 L
26 Aug 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W
19 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
13 Aug TuS Makkabi Berlin A 6–0 W

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Borussia Dortmund and VfL Wolfsburg get this one started.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Niko Kovać will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' Borussia Dortmund seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 24' The referee calls foul for Vaclav Cerny. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 29' Borussia Dortmund have won 804 goals from 523 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. Edin Terzić might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 39' VfL Wolfsburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 44' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 49' Borussia Dortmund are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 54' Mats Hummels has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 59' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jakub Kaminski is clearly more than just a goal scorer for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 63' Fresh legs for Borussia Dortmund! Donyell Malen comes on to replace Jamie Bynoe-Gittens.
  • 65' It is a substitution in VfL Wolfsburg team. Vaclav Cerny is replaced by Jakub Kaminski on 65 minute.
  • 68' Magnificent from Marco Reus! That is 96 goals in 523 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 73' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Borussia Dortmund needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 78' Aster Vranckx is replacing Mattias Svanberg for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
  • 83' The Borussia Dortmund bench stirs into life. Marco Reus is withdrawn and Emre Can gets his opportunity.
  • 88' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Patrick Wimmer comes on to replace Lovro Majer.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.71 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund53% Draw25% VfL Wolfsburg22%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
78%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
47%
Borussia Dortmund or VfL Wolfsburg
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund37% Draw45% VfL Wolfsburg18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.