Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 23 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marco Reus 68' 1–0
Y 24' Vaclav Cerny

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
25 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
19 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–2 L
16 Sep SC Freiburg A 4–2 W
01 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
26 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–1 D
19 Aug 1. FC Koln H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
16 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–1 W
02 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–3 L
26 Aug 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W
19 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
13 Aug TuS Makkabi Berlin A 6–0 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund VfL Wolfsburg
#2 Position #16
73 Points 29
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
70 Scored 45
34 Conceded 69
+36 GD -24
2.15 PPG 0.85
65% Win % 21%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Signal Iduna Park as Borussia Dortmund face off against VfL Wolfsburg in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mattias Svanberg is clearly more than just a goal scorer for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 10' It’s high time Niko Kovać made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Borussia Dortmund has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Niko Kovać might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 24' VfL Wolfsburg receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 24.
  • 29' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 34' VfL Wolfsburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 39' Borussia Dortmund started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 39.
  • 44' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 49' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 54' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 59' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Niko Kovać will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 63' Another substitution for Borussia Dortmund to replace Jamie Bynoe-Gittens by Donyell Malen on 63 minute.
  • 65' VfL Wolfsburg make a change. Vaclav Cerny trudges off to be replaced by Jakub Kaminski on 65 minutes.
  • 68' A stunning finish from Marco Reus — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 73' VfL Wolfsburg have won 479 goals from 471 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 78' The VfL Wolfsburg bench stirs into life. Mattias Svanberg is withdrawn and Aster Vranckx gets his opportunity.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Borussia Dortmund. Marco Reus is replaced by Emre Can.
  • 88' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Patrick Wimmer comes on to replace Lovro Majer.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Borussia Dortmund take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.55 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund67% Draw19% VfL Wolfsburg14%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.47
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
86%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
33%
Borussia Dortmund or VfL Wolfsburg
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund52% Draw36% VfL Wolfsburg12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
8.4%
1 – 1
8%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.6%
4 – 0
5.3%
4 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.5%
1 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 30% 70%
-2 30% 21% 50%
-1.5 50% 50%
-1 50% 21% 29%
-0.5 71% 29%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
40%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.