Saturday , 14 November 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 23 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marco Reus 68' 1–0
Y 24' Vaclav Cerny

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
9 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 11.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
19 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–2 L
16 Sep SC Freiburg A 4–2 W
01 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
26 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–1 D
19 Aug 1. FC Köln H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
16 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–1 W
02 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–3 L
26 Aug 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
19 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
13 Aug TuS Makkabi Berlin A 6–0 W

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Felix Kalu Nmecha 4 G
Sehrou Guirassy 3 G 2 A
Fabio Silva 3 G 2 A
Maximilian Beier 2 G 2 A
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. VfL Wolfsburg kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Borussia Dortmund must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' A quiet spell here at Signal Iduna Park. Borussia Dortmund seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 24' The referee calls foul for Vaclav Cerny. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 29' Both keepers have barely been tested. Borussia Dortmund and VfL Wolfsburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 34' VfL Wolfsburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 44' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 49' Borussia Dortmund is showing some good football. However, Borussia Dortmund are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 54' England international Jamie Bynoe-Gittens has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 59' VfL Wolfsburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 63' Borussia Dortmund ring the changes. Jamie Bynoe-Gittens has done his job and it is now time for Donyell Malen to step up.
  • 65' The crowd applauds Vaclav Cerny as he leaves the pitch. Jakub Kaminski steps in for VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 68' GOAL! Marco Reus fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 73' It is a cagey affair so far. Borussia Dortmund in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past VfL Wolfsburg's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 78' The whistle greets Mattias Svanberg as he departs to be replaced by Aster Vranckx.
  • 83' The Borussia Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Marco Reus departs to be replaced by Emre Can.
  • 88' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Lovro Majer is replaced by Patrick Wimmer.
  • Another three points for Borussia Dortmund.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.71 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund53% Draw25% VfL Wolfsburg22%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
78%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
47%
Borussia Dortmund or VfL Wolfsburg
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund37% Draw45% VfL Wolfsburg18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.