Sunday , 16 August 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 23 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marco Reus 68' 1–0
Y 24' Vaclav Cerny

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL WolfsburgBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 1.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
19 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–2 L
16 Sep SC Freiburg A 4–2 W
01 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
26 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–1 D
19 Aug 1. FC Köln H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
16 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–1 W
02 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–3 L
26 Aug 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
19 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
13 Aug TuS Makkabi Berlin A 6–0 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund VfL Wolfsburg
#8 Position #1
0 Points 29
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 19
0 Scored 45
0 Conceded 69
+0 GD -24
PPG 0.85
Win % 21%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Borussia Dortmund launch into their encounter with VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Borussia Dortmund is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Borussia Dortmund seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' Borussia Dortmund currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 24' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Vaclav Cerny.
  • 29' Patrick Wimmer has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 34' Borussia Dortmund started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 34.
  • 39' Borussia Dortmund are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against VfL Wolfsburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 44' VfL Wolfsburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 49' Both keepers have barely been tested. Borussia Dortmund and VfL Wolfsburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 54' Maxence Lacroix has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 59' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 63' The Borussia Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Jamie Bynoe-Gittens departs to be replaced by Donyell Malen.
  • 65' Jakub Kaminski is replacing Vaclav Cerny for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
  • 68' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Marco Reus makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 73' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfL Wolfsburg that had 471 games and scored 479 goals.
  • 78' The whistle greets Mattias Svanberg as he departs to be replaced by Aster Vranckx.
  • 83' Emre Can gets the nod from Borussia Dortmund. He replaces Marco Reus and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' VfL Wolfsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Patrick Wimmer is hanging Lovro Majer on the field on 88 minute.
  • It finishes all square. Borussia Dortmund and VfL Wolfsburg share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.06 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.53 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 78% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund50% Draw33% VfL Wolfsburg17%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.59
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 48%
52%
± 2.5 22%
78%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
82%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
50%
Borussia Dortmund or VfL Wolfsburg
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund29% Draw60% VfL Wolfsburg11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
22.9%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3%
0 – 2
2.5%
3 – 1
2.3%
2 – 2
1.8%
4 – 0
1%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 27% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 13% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
59%
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.