Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Internazionale Milano vs AC Milan, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 16:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
2–1 57' Rafael Leao
Henrikh Mkhitaryan 69' 3–1
Hakan Calhanoglu pen 79' 4–1
Davide Frattesi 90+3' 5–1

Overview

Match Preview

FC Internazionale Milano vs AC MilanSerie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Simone Sozza
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Giallatini
10 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 4.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep AC Milan H 5–1 W
03 Sep ACF Fiorentina H 4–0 W
28 Aug Cagliari Calcio A 2–0 W
19 Aug AC Monza H 2–0 W
10 Jun Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
03 Jun Torino FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 1–5 L
01 Sep AS Roma A 2–1 W
26 Aug Torino FC H 4–1 W
21 Aug Bologna FC 1909 A 2–0 W
04 Jun Hellas Verona FC H 3–1 W
28 May Juventus FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

FC Internazionale Milano AC Milan
#1 Position #5
87 Points 70
38 Played 38
27 / 6 / 5 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
89 Scored 53
35 Conceded 35
+54 GD +18
2.29 PPG 1.84
71% Win % 53%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Internazionale Milano are 1st (87 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.4 FC Internazionale Milano xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: FC Internazionale Milano to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Internazionale Milano65% Draw20% AC Milan15%
Actual: FC Internazionale Milano win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

FC Internazionale Milano or Draw
85%
Draw or AC Milan
35%
FC Internazionale Milano or AC Milan
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Internazionale Milano49% Draw38% AC Milan13%
Actual: FC Internazionale Milano win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
7.4%
0 – 0
4.8%
4 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Internazionale Milano

Handicap FC Internazionale Milano covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 26% 74%
-2 26% 20% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 22% 32%
-0.5 68% 32%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Internazionale Milano keeps clean sheet
38%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.