Wednesday , 30 September 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Fri 29 Sep 2023 · 18:30 UTC PreZero Arena 30,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Niclas Fullkrug
Andrej Kramaric pen 25' 1–1
1–2 45+3' Marco Reus
1–3 90+5' Julian Ryerson

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 1–3 L
23 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–0 W
16 Sep 1. FC Köln A 3–1 W
02 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
26 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–2 W
19 Aug SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–1 W
23 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
19 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–2 L
16 Sep SC Freiburg A 4–2 W
01 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
26 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–1 D

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Borussia Dortmund
#14 Position #1
3 Points 12
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 0
7 Scored 9
10 Conceded 2
-3 GD +7
0.75 PPG 3.00
25% Win % 100%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
Tim Lemperle 1 G
Leon Avdullahu 1 G
Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.96 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.54 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Borussia Dortmund to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim17% Draw21% Borussia Dortmund62%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
38%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
83%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Borussia Dortmund
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim12% Draw37% Borussia Dortmund51%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 1
8.1%
0 – 3
8%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 1
7.4%
0 – 4
5.1%
1 – 4
4.9%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% — 96%
-1 4% 8% 88%
-0.5 12% — 88%
+0.5 30% — 70%
+1 30% 21% 49%
+1.5 51% — 49%
+2 51% 20% 29%
+2.5 71% — 29%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
39% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.