Thursday , 2 July 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Fri 29 Sep 2023 · 18:30 UTC PreZero Arena 30,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Niclas Fullkrug
Andrej Kramaric pen 25' 1–1
1–2 45+3' Marco Reus
1–3 90+5' Julian Ryerson

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
18 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 4.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 1–3 L
23 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–0 W
16 Sep 1. FC Koln A 3–1 W
02 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
26 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–2 W
19 Aug SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–1 W
23 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
19 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–2 L
16 Sep SC Freiburg A 4–2 W
01 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
26 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–1 D

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Borussia Dortmund
#5 Position #2
61 Points 73
34 Played 34
18 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
65 Scored 70
52 Conceded 34
+13 GD +36
1.79 PPG 2.15
53% Win % 65%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.06 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim26% Draw24% Borussia Dortmund50%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
51%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
74%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Borussia Dortmund
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim21% Draw40% Borussia Dortmund39%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
0 – 1
6.1%
0 – 0
4.7%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 21% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 16% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
14%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.