Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs SS Lazio, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
2 0
Full Time
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 16:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
Christian Pulisic 60' 1–0
Noah Okafor 88' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs SS LazioSerie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Massa
  • Assistant 1 Valerio Vecchi
  • Assistant 2
10 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 10.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep SS Lazio H 2–0 W
27 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 3–1 W
23 Sep Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
19 Sep Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
16 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 1–5 L
01 Sep AS Roma A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep AC Milan A 0–2 L
27 Sep Torino FC H 2–0 W
23 Sep AC Monza H 1–1 D
19 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid H 1–1 D
16 Sep Juventus FC A 1–3 L
02 Sep SSC Napoli A 2–1 W

Season Stats

AC Milan SS Lazio
#8 Position #12
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). SS Lazio are 12th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, SS Lazio does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Valentin Castellanos has been relatively quiet despite scoring 96 goals in his last 289 appearances.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' Pedro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 25' It looks surprising SS Lazio does not make any changes. Gustav Isaksen has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 29' Ruben Loftus-Cheek makes way for Yunus Musah at the 29 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
  • 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Maurizio Sarri might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 44' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 49' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nicolo Casale made 266 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 51' SS Lazio receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 51.
  • 56' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
  • 60' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Christian Pulisic makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 64' That is a Yellow card for SS Lazio. Alessio Romagnoli will be fuming at that decision.
  • 65' Rafael Leao is having his name booked by the referee on 65.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Matias Vecino. He replaces Nicolo Rovella on 67 minute.
  • 70' Noah Okafor gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Olivier Giroud and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' The SS Lazio bench stirs into life. Felipe Anderson is withdrawn and Pedro gets his opportunity.
  • 80' SS Lazio are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Mattia Zaccagni as he leaves the pitch. Gustav Isaksen steps in for SS Lazio.
  • 83' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Theo Hernandez.
  • 84' The referee has no hesitation. Theo Hernandez is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 84.
  • 86' Mike Maignan picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 88' Noah Okafor has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 88 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.83 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.32 SS Lazio xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan49% Draw37% SS Lazio14%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes18% 0% No82%
Avg goals/match: 1.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 66%
34%
± 1.5 33%
67%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
87%
Draw or SS Lazio
51%
AC Milan or SS Lazio
63%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan25% Draw69% SS Lazio6%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
34.4%
1 – 0
24.8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 2
1.3%
0 – 2
1.3%
3 – 1
1.2%
2 – 2
0.7%
4 – 0
0.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push SS Lazio covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 29% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 10% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
73%
SS Lazio keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.