AC Milan vs SS Lazio, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Davide Massa
- Assistant 1 Valerio Vecchi
- Assistant 2
10 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 10.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 2 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 3 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Internazionale Milano | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SSC Napoli | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Juventus FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atalanta BC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Bologna FC 1909 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | SS Lazio | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Torino FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Cagliari Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | ACF Fiorentina | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | US Lecce | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | AC Monza | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Venezia FC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Frosinone Calcio | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep | SS Lazio | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | Cagliari Calcio | A | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Sep | Hellas Verona FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | Newcastle United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Sep | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 1–5 | L |
| 01 Sep | AS Roma | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep | AC Milan | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | Torino FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | AC Monza | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | Juventus FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | SSC Napoli | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | SS Lazio | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #12 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0 | Played | 0 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 0 | Scored | 0 |
| 0 | Conceded | 0 |
| +0 | GD | +0 |
| – | PPG | – |
| – | Win % | – |
Key Stats
46%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). SS Lazio are 12th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, SS Lazio does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Valentin Castellanos has been relatively quiet despite scoring 96 goals in his last 289 appearances.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 20' Pedro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 25' It looks surprising SS Lazio does not make any changes. Gustav Isaksen has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 29' Ruben Loftus-Cheek makes way for Yunus Musah at the 29 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
- 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Maurizio Sarri might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 44' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 49' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nicolo Casale made 266 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 51' SS Lazio receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 51.
- 56' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 60' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Christian Pulisic makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 64' That is a Yellow card for SS Lazio. Alessio Romagnoli will be fuming at that decision.
- 65' Rafael Leao is having his name booked by the referee on 65.
- 67' The supporters are chanting for Matias Vecino. He replaces Nicolo Rovella on 67 minute.
- 70' Noah Okafor gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Olivier Giroud and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' The SS Lazio bench stirs into life. Felipe Anderson is withdrawn and Pedro gets his opportunity.
- 80' SS Lazio are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 82' The crowd applauds Mattia Zaccagni as he leaves the pitch. Gustav Isaksen steps in for SS Lazio.
- 83' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Theo Hernandez.
- 84' The referee has no hesitation. Theo Hernandez is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 84.
- 86' Mike Maignan picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 88' Noah Okafor has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 88 minutes.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 14
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↓ Noah Okafor 70'
- 8
- 23
-
7
Yacine Adli ↓ Tommaso Pobega 70'
- 16
- 10
- 11
- 19
- 24
- 2
Bench
- 15
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 82'
-
42
Alessandro Florenzi ↑ 70'
- 83
- 57
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 70'
- 28
- 18
-
32
Tommaso Pobega ↑ 70'
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 29'
- 31
- 95
Coach
Stefano Pioli
SS Lazio Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 8
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Pedro 75'
- 20
- 23
- 13
- 77
- 10
- 94
- 19
-
65
Nicolo Rovella ↓ Matias Vecino 67'
- 15
Bench
-
9
Pedro ↑ 75'
- 3
-
5
Matias Vecino ↑ 67'
- 4
-
17
Ciro Immobile ↑ 75'
- 32
- 29
- 33
-
6
Daichi Kamada ↑ 67'
- 35
-
18
Gustav Isaksen ↑ 82'
- 34
Coach
Maurizio Sarri
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joaquin Correa | 4 |
| Ciro Immobile | 4 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
| Mattia Zaccagni | 2 |
| Ante Rebic | 2 |
| Sergej Milinkovic-Savic | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.83
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.32
SS Lazio xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.15
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 1.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 2.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 3.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
| ± 4.5 | 1% |
|
99% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
87%
Draw or SS Lazio
51%
AC Milan or SS Lazio
63%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
34.4%
1 – 0
24.8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 2
1.3%
0 – 2
1.3%
3 – 1
1.2%
2 – 2
0.7%
4 – 0
0.6%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | SS Lazio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 11% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 29% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +1 | 89% | 10% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
73%
✓
SS Lazio keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

