Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs SS Lazio, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
2 0
Full Time
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 16:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
Christian Pulisic 60' 1–0
Noah Okafor 88' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs SS LazioSerie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Massa
  • Assistant 1 Valerio Vecchi
  • Assistant 2
11 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 8.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep SS Lazio H 2–0 W
27 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 3–1 W
23 Sep Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
19 Sep Newcastle United FC H 0–0 D
16 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 1–5 L
01 Sep AS Roma A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep AC Milan A 0–2 L
27 Sep Torino FC H 2–0 W
23 Sep AC Monza H 1–1 D
19 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid H 1–1 D
16 Sep Juventus FC A 1–3 L
02 Sep SSC Napoli A 2–1 W

Season Stats

AC Milan SS Lazio
#5 Position #9
70 Points 54
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 14 / 12 / 12
53 Scored 41
35 Conceded 40
+18 GD +1
1.84 PPG 1.42
53% Win % 37%

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). SS Lazio are 9th (54 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Giuseppe Meazza. Ninety minutes of football awaits between AC Milan and SS Lazio.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. SS Lazio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' It’s high time Maurizio Sarri made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' Nicolo Rovella has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 29' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Ruben Loftus-Cheek exits the field as Yunus Musah enters on 29.
  • 34' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and SS Lazio are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 39' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 44' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 49' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 51' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Adam Marusic.
  • 56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 60' What composure from Christian Pulisic! The USA international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 64' SS Lazio player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 65' The referee has no hesitation. Rafael Leao is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 65.
  • 67' Another change for SS Lazio made on 67 minute. Nicolo Rovella leaves to be changed by Matias Vecino.
  • 70' AC Milan make a change. Olivier Giroud trudges off to be replaced by Noah Okafor on 70 minutes.
  • 75' The SS Lazio bench stirs into life. Felipe Anderson is withdrawn and Pedro gets his opportunity.
  • 80' SS Lazio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 82' Time for substitution for SS Lazio. Mattia Zaccagni is replaced by Gustav Isaksen.
  • 83' Theo Hernandez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 83.
  • 84' The referee has no hesitation. Theo Hernandez is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 84.
  • 86' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Mike Maignan on 86 minutes.
  • 88' Noah Okafor makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and AC Milan are in front.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AC Milan to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.53 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71 SS Lazio xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan57% Draw26% SS Lazio17%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
84%
Draw or SS Lazio
43%
AC Milan or SS Lazio
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan37% Draw50% SS Lazio13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.3%
0 – 0
12.8%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
3.9%
2 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
2.3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push SS Lazio covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 26% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
49%
SS Lazio keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.