Saturday , 14 November 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 3 Jan 2026 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Simon Hooper
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 16.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan Nottingham Forest FC H 3–1 W
30 Dec Arsenal FC A 1–4 L
27 Dec Chelsea FC A 2–1 W
21 Dec Manchester United FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec West Ham United FC A 3–2 W
11 Dec FC Basel 1893 A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan Aston Villa FC A 1–3 L
30 Dec Everton FC H 0–2 L
27 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–2 L
22 Dec Fulham FC A 0–1 L
14 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC H 3–0 W
11 Dec FC Utrecht A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Nottingham Forest FC
#10 Position #16
13 Points 9
10 Played 10
3 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 5
14 Scored 9
17 Conceded 13
-3 GD -4
1.30 PPG 0.90
30% Win % 20%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
10% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 16th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
2/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G
Nottingham Forest FC
Liam Delap 3 G
Dan Ndoye 2 G
Morgan Gibbs-White 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Nottingham Forest FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC56% Draw23% Nottingham Forest FC21%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Nottingham Forest FC
44%
Aston Villa FC or Nottingham Forest FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC39% Draw43% Nottingham Forest FC18%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 22% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.