Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 12 Apr 2026 · 13:00 UTC City Ground, Nottingham 30,591 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 23' Murillo og
Neco Williams 38' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at City Ground, Nottingham.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Natalie Aspinall

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Aston Villa FC H 1–1 D
09 Apr FC Porto A 1–1 D
22 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC A 3–0 W
19 Mar FC Midtjylland A 5–1 W
15 Mar Fulham FC H 0–0 D
12 Mar FC Midtjylland H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
09 Apr Bologna FC 1909 A 3–1 W
22 Mar West Ham United FC H 2–0 W
19 Mar Lille OSC H 2–0 W
15 Mar Manchester United FC A 1–3 L
12 Mar Lille OSC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC Aston Villa FC
#23 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Nottingham Forest FC are 23rd (0 pts). Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Nottingham Forest FC have kicked off against Aston Villa FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Nottingham Forest FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Aston Villa FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 11' Matty Cash has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 11.
  • 16' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 21' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Morgan Gibbs-White suffering a number of foals already.
  • 23' Murillo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 23 minutes.
  • 28' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Aston Villa FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 33' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nottingham Forest FC and Aston Villa FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 38' Magnificent from Neco Williams! That is 5 goals in 409 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Aston Villa FC that had 355 games and scored 497 goals.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Nottingham Forest FC player. Omari Hutchinson gets a card.
  • 50' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nottingham Forest FC and Aston Villa FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 63' A meaty challenge results in booking for Murillo on 63.
  • 65' Omari Hutchinson makes way for Chris Wood at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nottingham Forest FC.
  • 67' The referee does not hesitate — a card for John McGinn on 67 minutes.
  • 72' Douglas Luiz has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 199 appearances.
  • 77' Douglas Luiz is replacing Ross Barkley for the Aston Villa FC side.
  • 78' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Lucas Digne has done his job and it is now time for Ian Maatsen to step up.
  • 83' With 0 assists to his name this season, Andres Garcia is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nottingham Forest FC.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Nicolas Dominguez. He replaces Morgan Gibbs-White on 84 minute.
  • 87' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Ollie Watkins has done his job and it is now time for Tammy Abraham to step up.
  • 89' It is a substitution in Nottingham Forest FC team. Igor Jesus is replaced by Ryan Yates on 89 minute.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. Matty Cash is replaced by Andres Garcia on 90 minute.
  • The points are shared — Nottingham Forest FC 1-1 Aston Villa FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.55 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC26% Draw38% Aston Villa FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 40%
60%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
74%
Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC
62%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC13% Draw65% Aston Villa FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28.2%
0 – 1
19.1%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
2.1%
2 – 2
1.5%
1 – 3
1.4%
3 – 0
0.6%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 16% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 24% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
45%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
58%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.