Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 12 Apr 2026 · 13:00 UTC City Ground, Nottingham 30,591 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 23' Murillo og
Neco Williams 38' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at City Ground, Nottingham.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Salisbury
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Natalie Aspinall

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Aston Villa FC H 1–1 D
09 Apr FC Porto A 1–1 D
22 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC A 3–0 W
19 Mar FC Midtjylland A 5–1 W
15 Mar Fulham FC H 0–0 D
12 Mar FC Midtjylland H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
09 Apr Bologna FC 1909 A 3–1 W
22 Mar West Ham United FC H 2–0 W
19 Mar Lille OSC H 2–0 W
15 Mar Manchester United FC A 1–3 L
12 Mar Lille OSC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC Aston Villa FC
#23 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Nottingham Forest FC are 23rd (0 pts). Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Aston Villa FC get us underway at City Ground, Nottingham.
  • 5' Victor Nilsson-Lindelof is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nottingham Forest FC so far.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Nottingham Forest FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Aston Villa FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 11' Aston Villa FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 16' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Aston Villa FC that had 355 games and scored 497 goals.
  • 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Aston Villa FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 23' What a moment for Murillo! That strike on 23 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 28' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Morgan Rogers suffering a number of foals already.
  • 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 38' A stunning finish from Neco Williams — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 43' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Omari Hutchinson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 55' Andres Garcia has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 60' With 0 assists to his name this season, Matty Cash is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Aston Villa FC.
  • 63' Murillo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 63.
  • 65' Nottingham Forest FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Chris Wood is hanging Omari Hutchinson on the field on 65 minute.
  • 67' A moment of madness from John McGinn on 67 minutes earns him a card. Aston Villa FC will be frustrated.
  • 72' Aston Villa FC come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Aston Villa FCDouglas Luiz on, Ross Barkley off on 77 minutes.
  • 78' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Lucas Digne by Ian Maatsen on 78 minute.
  • 83' Morgan Gibbs-White has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 84' Another substitution for Nottingham Forest FC to replace Morgan Gibbs-White by Nicolas Dominguez on 84 minute.
  • 87' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. Ollie Watkins is replaced by Tammy Abraham on 87 minute.
  • 89' The Nottingham Forest FC manager makes a substitution. Igor Jesus departs to be replaced by Ryan Yates.
  • 90' Andres Garcia is replacing Matty Cash for the Aston Villa FC side.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.55 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC26% Draw38% Aston Villa FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 40%
60%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
74%
Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC
62%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC13% Draw65% Aston Villa FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28.2%
0 – 1
19.1%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
2.1%
2 – 2
1.5%
1 – 3
1.4%
3 – 0
0.6%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 16% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 24% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
45%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
58%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.