Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at City Ground, Nottingham.
- Nottingham Forest FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Aston Villa FC 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Salisbury
- Assistant 1 Lee Betts
- Assistant 2 Natalie Aspinall
3 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 8.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City FC | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal FC | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford FC | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds United FC | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool FC | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton FC | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City AFC | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle United FC | 5 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea FC | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town FC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | Manchester United FC | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland AFC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace FC | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa FC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | AFC Bournemouth | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry City FC | 5 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham FC | 5 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Aston Villa FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Apr | FC Porto | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | FC Midtjylland | A | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Fulham FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Mar | FC Midtjylland | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Apr | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | West Ham United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | Lille OSC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | Manchester United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Mar | Lille OSC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nottingham Forest FC | Aston Villa FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #16 |
| 5 | Points | 4 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 3 |
| 4 | Scored | 4 |
| 5 | Conceded | 9 |
| -1 | GD | -5 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.80 |
| 20% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
Aston Villa FC this season
Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (5 pts). Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nottingham Forest FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nottingham Forest FC
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 1 G | 2 A |
| Dan Ndoye | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at City Ground, Nottingham!
- 5' The travelling Aston Villa FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 11' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Matty Cash.
- 16' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 21' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Andres Garcia suffering a number of foals already.
- 23' GOAL! Murillo fires home to make it 1-0!
- 28' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 33' Omari Hutchinson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 38' The deadlock is broken! Neco Williams gets on the scoresheet on 38 minutes.
- 43' Aston Villa FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Omari Hutchinson. He receives a card.
- 50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nottingham Forest FC and Aston Villa FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Igor Jesus made 348 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 60' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 63' Poor challenge from Murillo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 65' The Nottingham Forest FC bench stirs into life. Omari Hutchinson is withdrawn and Chris Wood gets his opportunity.
- 67' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for John McGinn.
- 72' Nottingham Forest FC currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Douglas Luiz. He replaces Ross Barkley on 77 minute.
- 78' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Lucas Digne by Ian Maatsen on 78 minute.
- 83' Nikola Milenkovic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Aston Villa FC so far.
- 84' Another substitution for Nottingham Forest FC to replace Morgan Gibbs-White by Nicolas Dominguez on 84 minute.
- 87' Tammy Abraham is replacing Ollie Watkins for the Aston Villa FC side.
- 89' Nottingham Forest FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ryan Yates is hanging Igor Jesus on the field on 89 minute.
- 90' The crowd applauds Matty Cash as he leaves the pitch. Andres Garcia steps in for Aston Villa FC.
- It finishes all square. Nottingham Forest FC and Aston Villa FC share the spoils 1-1.
Lineups
Nottingham Forest FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 10
- 6
- 26
- 34
- 31
- 3
- 8
-
21
Omari Hutchinson ↓ Chris Wood 65'
- 5
-
19
Igor Jesus ↓ Ryan Yates 89'
Bench
-
11
Chris Wood ↑ 65'
-
22
Ryan Yates ↑ 89'
- 27
-
16
Nicolas Dominguez ↑ 84'
- 4
- 25
-
14
Dan Ndoye ↑ 89'
- 29
- 24
Aston Villa FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 40
- 27
-
6
Ross Barkley ↓ Douglas Luiz 77'
-
12
Lucas Digne ↓ Ian Maatsen 78'
- 3
-
2
Matty Cash ↓ Andres Garcia 90'
-
11
Ollie Watkins ↓ Tammy Abraham 87'
- 7
- 8
- 14
- 24
Bench
-
18
Tammy Abraham ↑ 87'
-
10
Emiliano Buendia ↑ 78'
- 4
- 31
-
21
Douglas Luiz ↑ 77'
-
22
Ian Maatsen ↑ 78'
- 26
- 64
-
16
Andres Garcia ↑ 90'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| John McGinn | 4 |
| Tammy Abraham | 4 |
| Ollie Watkins | 3 |
| Lewis Grabban | 2 |
| Douglas Luiz | 2 |
| Igor Jesus | 1 |
| Nikola Milenkovic | 1 |
| Alysson | 1 |
Head to Head
Nottingham Forest FC Form
2026-04-12
Nottingham Forest FC
1–1
Aston Villa FC
D
2026-04-09
FC Porto
1–1
Nottingham Forest FC
D
2026-03-22
Tottenham Hotspur FC
0–3
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-03-19
FC Midtjylland
1–5
Nottingham Forest FC
W
2026-03-15
Nottingham Forest FC
0–0
Fulham FC
D
2026-03-12
Nottingham Forest FC
0–1
FC Midtjylland
L
Aston Villa FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14
Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for:
Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
64%
Nottingham Forest FC or Aston Villa FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.1%
1 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
2.9%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC
| Handicap | Nottingham Forest FC covers | Push | Aston Villa FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.