Friday , 16 October 2026

America FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

3 – 4
Full Time
Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 22:00 UTC Independencia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

America FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Independencia.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Gremio FBPA H 3–4 L
25 Oct CA Paranaense A 2–3 L
22 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
18 Oct Botafogo FR H 1–2 L
08 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–3 L
01 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct America FC A 4–3 W
26 Oct CR Flamengo H 3–2 W
21 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 0–3 L
18 Oct CA Paranaense H 1–2 L
08 Oct SC Internacional A 2–3 L
30 Sep Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.79 America FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: America FC or Gremio FBPA 74% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
America FC37% Draw26% Gremio FBPA37%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

America FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
63%
America FC or Gremio FBPA
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
America FC30% Draw40% Gremio FBPA30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 0
4.6%
1 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 2
4.5%
0 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
4.1%

Asian Handicap — America FC

Handicap America FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 18% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 18% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

America FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.