Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fortaleza EC vs America FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 8 Oct 2023 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs America FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct America FC H 3–2 W
30 Sep Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
21 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 2–1 W
14 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–1 W
03 Sep Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
27 Aug Coritiba FBC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–3 L
01 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
25 Sep CR Vasco da Gama H 0–1 L
20 Sep RB Bragantino H 0–2 L
15 Sep Cuiaba EC A 2–2 D
03 Sep Santos FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Castelao. Fortaleza EC are looking to make home advantage count against America FC.
  • 5' America FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' Fortaleza EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 16' Emanuel Britez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 16.
  • 17' Emanuel Britez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 17.
  • 18' The Uruguay Gonzalo Mastriani breaks the deadlock on 18 minutes. 0-1!
  • 23' What a moment for Gonzalo Mastriani! That strike on 23 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 28' It looks like no one’s ball. America FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 31' Juan Lucero is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 36' Fortaleza EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined America FC backline.
  • 41' It’s a booking for America FC player. Ricardo Silva Potiguar gets a Yellow card.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Thiago Galhardo comes on to replace Jose Welison.
  • 51' Fortaleza EC have won 352 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 53' Poor challenge from Imanol Machuca. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 56' A stunning finish from Imanol Machuca — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 61' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 63' Time for substitution for America FC. Rodriguinho is replaced by Javier Mendez.
  • 68' Sensational shot from Bruno Pacheco. Fortaleza EC is back in the lead.
  • 70' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Silvio Romero comes on to replace Juan Lucero.
  • 71' Marlon has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nicolas Vichiatto on 71 minute.
  • 76' America FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Yago Pikachu as he leaves the pitch. Pedro Augusto steps in for Fortaleza EC.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Gonzalo Mastriani as he leaves the pitch. Adyson steps in for America FC.
  • 84' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fortaleza EC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 88' Tomas Pochettino makes way for Calebe at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fortaleza EC.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 America FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC50% Draw25% America FC25%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
74%
Draw or America FC
50%
Fortaleza EC or America FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC33% Draw45% America FC22%
Actual: America FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push America FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
America FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.