Tuesday , 1 September 2026

America FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

3 4
Full Time
Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 22:00 UTC Independencia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

America FC vs Gremio FBPASerie A at Independencia.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Gremio FBPA H 3–4 L
25 Oct CA Paranaense A 2–3 L
22 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D
18 Oct Botafogo FR H 1–2 L
08 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–3 L
01 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct America FC A 4–3 W
26 Oct CR Flamengo H 3–2 W
21 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 0–3 L
18 Oct CA Paranaense H 1–2 L
08 Oct SC Internacional A 2–3 L
30 Sep Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Independencia that hosts another battle between America FC and Gremio FBPA.
  • 3' Brilliant from the ! Rodriguinho makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 3.
  • 8' A quiet spell here at Independencia. America FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 13' Gremio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 17' What composure from Reinaldo! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 20' The deadlock is broken! Everton gets on the scoresheet on 20 minutes.
  • 25' The travelling Gremio FBPA supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' America FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Gremio FBPA's shape.
  • 35' Gonzalo Mastriani doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 46' The whistle greets Marlon as he departs to be replaced by Nicolas Vichiatto.
  • 49' Goal! Gonzalo Mastriani scores his 19 goal in 380 matches.
  • 52' Fabio is replacing Lucas Besozzi for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 57' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 62' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 63' Nicolas Vichiatto makes way for Eder Ferreira at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from America FC.
  • 68' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 71' Goal! Luis Suarez scores his 145 goal in 513 matches.
  • 73' The America FC bench stirs into life. Martin Benitez is withdrawn and Breno gets his opportunity.
  • 75' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Joao Pedro Pepe.
  • 78' The deadlock is broken! Franco Cristaldo gets on the scoresheet on 78 minutes.
  • 80' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Franco Cristaldo departs to be replaced by Geromel.
  • 84' Time for substitution for America FC. Danilo Avelar is replaced by Juan Cazares.
  • 87' The whistle greets Luis Suarez as he departs to be replaced by Joao Pedro Galvao.
  • 88' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 88 minute. Joao Pedro Pepe leaves to be changed by Josue Souza.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Gabriel Chapeco argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-4 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.79 America FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: America FC or Gremio FBPA 74% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
America FC37% Draw26% Gremio FBPA37%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

America FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
63%
America FC or Gremio FBPA
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
America FC30% Draw40% Gremio FBPA30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 0
4.6%
1 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 2
4.5%
0 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
4.1%

Asian Handicap — America FC

Handicap America FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 18% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 18% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

America FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.