Saturday , 24 October 2026

Aarhus GF vs KKS Lech Poznan, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION

Tue 21 Jul 2026 · 17:00 UTC Ceres Park HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 29' Mikael Ishak
0–2 42' Patrik Walemark
Kristian Arnstad 55' 1–2
1–3 61' Terry Yegbe
1–4 65' Patrik Walemark

Overview

Match Preview

Aarhus GF vs KKS Lech Poznan — Champions League Q at Ceres Park.

Head-to-Head

1
1
Aarhus GF 2 games · Avg 5.0 goals KKS Lech Poznan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jul KKS Lech Poznan H 1–4 L
17 Sep NS Mura A 0–3 L
27 Aug Esport Honka H 5–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jul Aarhus GF A 4–1 W
12 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–1 D
06 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–3 L
30 Jul Breidablik UBK A 1–0 W
22 Jul Breidablik UBK H 7–1 W
12 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK A 1–5 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Aarhus GF this season
0% Clean Sheets
KKS Lech Poznan this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aarhus GF
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
KKS Lech Poznan
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aarhus GF
Kristian Arnstad 2 G 1 A
KKS Lech Poznan
Patrik Walemark 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Aarhus GF kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aarhus GF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Aarhus GF are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against KKS Lech Poznań's shape.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' It looks surprising KKS Lech Poznań does not make any changes. Frederik Emmery Sogaard has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' The 29-year-old Filip Jagiello has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 29' Goal! Mikael Ishak scores his 25 goal in 108 matches.
  • 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Niels Frederiksen will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 37' The referee has no hesitation. Jesper Hansen is booked for Aarhus GF — card on 37.
  • 40' Aarhus GF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mads Christiansen is hanging Sebastian Jorgensen on the field on 40 minute.
  • 42' What a strike from Patrik Walemark! The score is 0-2.
  • 45' Terry Yegbe picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' That looks like a foul for a card for Radoslaw Murawski.
  • 53' Radoslaw Murawski was booked on 53.
  • 54' Another change for KKS Lech Poznan made on 54 minute. Radoslaw Murawski leaves to be changed by Filip Jagiello.
  • 55' Magnificent from Kristian Arnstad! That is 2 goals in 398 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 60' Yannick Agnero needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 61' GOAL! Terry Yegbe fires home to make it 1-3!
  • 65' Patrik Walemark adds to his 2 season tally! KKS Lech Poznan lead 1-4 — and this changes everything.
  • 66' KKS Lech Poznan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yannick Agnero is hanging Mikael Ishak on the field on 66 minute.
  • 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 76' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 81' The energy levels are beginning to show. Niels Frederiksen might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 86' Magnus Knudsen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Aarhus GF tonight.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Aarhus GF 1-4 KKS Lech Poznań.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 Aarhus GF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15 KKS Lech Poznan xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aarhus GF28% Draw25% KKS Lech Poznan47%
Actual: KKS Lech Poznan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Aarhus GF or Draw
53%
Draw or KKS Lech Poznan
72%
Aarhus GF or KKS Lech Poznan
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aarhus GF22% Draw39% KKS Lech Poznan39%
Actual: KKS Lech Poznan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 3
6.2%
2 – 1
6.1%
0 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 3
4.2%
0 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Aarhus GF

Handicap Aarhus GF covers Push KKS Lech Poznan covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 14% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 20% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Aarhus GF keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
KKS Lech Poznan keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.