Southampton FC vs Burnley FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 4
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs Burnley FC — FA Cup at St. Mary's Stadium.
- Southampton FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Burnley FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | Newcastle United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Jan | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 16 Jan | Manchester United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Jan | Swansea City AFC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Feb | Oxford United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Portsmouth FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Jan | Leeds United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 17 Jan | Sunderland AFC | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Southampton FC to score. At the same time, Burnley FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Burnley FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' Southampton FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tyler Dibling, as he is very good at scoring at St. Mary's Stadium with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
- 20' Kamal Deen Sulemana has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 30' Joe Bauress has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 355 appearances.
- 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 45' The travelling Burnley FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 51' The referee shows Southampton FC player a card on 51.
- 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Southampton FC in their trying to find a way past Burnley FC's compact .
- 58' Burnley FC make a change. Jonjo Shelvey trudges off to be replaced by Joe Bauress on 58 minutes.
- 59' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Benson Manuel by Marcus Edwards on 59 minute.
- 60' Maxime Esteve gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces CJ Egan-Riley and will look to change the dynamic.
- 65' Southampton FC have won 446 goals from 361 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 67' Paul Onuachu is replacing Tyler Dibling for the Southampton FC side.
- 72' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Maxime Esteve suffering a number of foals already.
- 74' Joe Worrall catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 74.
- 77' Marcus Edwards adds to his 1 season tally! Burnley FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for William Smallbone. He replaces Chimuanya Ugochukwu on 82 minute.
- 83' James Bree is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
- 83' The crowd applauds Jeremy Sarmiento as he leaves the pitch. Nathan Redmond steps in for Burnley FC.
- 86' Southampton FC make a change. Mateus Fernandes trudges off to be replaced by Albert Gronbaek Erlykke on 86 minutes.
- Southampton FC will have plenty to reflect on. Burnley FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 35
- 2
- 14
- 7
- 3
- 34
- 20
- 26
- 18
-
33
Tyler Dibling ↓ Paul Onuachu 67'
Bench
- 10
- 30
- 15
- 16
-
32
Paul Onuachu ↑ 67'
- 37
-
19
Cameron Archer ↑ 86'
-
8
William Smallbone ↑ 82'
-
29
Albert Gronbaek Erlykke ↑ 86'
Burnley FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 35
-
26
Jonjo Shelvey ↓ Joe Bauress 58'
-
10
Benson Manuel ↓ Marcus Edwards 59'
- 4
- 32
- 28
- 7
- 23
-
6
CJ Egan-Riley ↓ Maxime Esteve 60'
- 2
- 12
Bench
-
22
Marcus Edwards ↑ 59'
-
15
Nathan Redmond ↑ 83'
- 24
- 19
- 20
-
5
Maxime Esteve ↑ 60'
- –
- 48
-
41
Joe Bauress ↑ 58'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ashley Barnes | 3 |
| Danny Ings | 3 |
| Maxwel Cornet | 2 |
| Nathan Redmond | 2 |
| Matej Vydra | 2 |
| Valentino Livramento | 1 |
| Jack Cork | 1 |
| Connor Roberts | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.04
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
Burnley FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Burnley FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Burnley FC
70%
Southampton FC or Burnley FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.