AFC Wimbledon vs Cardiff City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Wimbledon vs Cardiff City FC — League One .
- AFC Wimbledon 46 games · 53 pts (2026/27)
- Cardiff City FC 46 games · 91 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Rock
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | Cardiff City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Reading FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Aug | Lincoln City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Aug | Luton Town FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | Dagenham & Redbridge FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Nov | Milton Keynes Dons FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | AFC Wimbledon | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Rotherham United FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Port Vale FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Aug | Peterborough United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Norwich City FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Apr | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| AFC Wimbledon | Cardiff City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #2 |
| 53 | Points | 91 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 15 / 8 / 23 | W / D / L | 27 / 10 / 9 |
| 51 | Scored | 90 |
| 72 | Conceded | 50 |
| -21 | GD | +40 |
| 1.15 | PPG | 1.98 |
| 33% | Win % | 59% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AFC Wimbledon are 19th (53 pts). Cardiff City FC are 2nd (91 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between AFC Wimbledon and Cardiff City FC is underway.
- Another three points for Cardiff City FC.
Lineups
AFC Wimbledon Lineups
Cardiff City FC Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
AFC Wimbledon Form
Cardiff City FC Form
2025-08-19
AFC Wimbledon
0–1
Cardiff City FC
W
2025-08-16
Cardiff City FC
3–0
Rotherham United FC
W
2025-08-07
Port Vale FC
0–0
Cardiff City FC
D
2025-08-02
Cardiff City FC
2–1
Peterborough United FC
W
2025-05-03
Norwich City FC
4–2
Cardiff City FC
L
2025-04-26
Cardiff City FC
0–0
West Bromwich Albion FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.82
AFC Wimbledon xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61
Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cardiff City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
AFC Wimbledon or Draw
51%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
77%
AFC Wimbledon or Cardiff City FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 2
11.1%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
6.2%
0 – 3
5.8%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
2.9%
0 – 4
2.4%
Asian Handicap — AFC Wimbledon
| Handicap | AFC Wimbledon covers | Push | Cardiff City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 17% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Wimbledon keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
44%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

