Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Wimbledon vs Cardiff City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Tue 19 Aug 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
AFC Wimbledon 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Cardiff City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Cardiff City FC H 0–1 L
16 Aug Reading FC A 2–1 W
09 Aug Lincoln City FC H 2–0 W
01 Aug Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
30 Nov Dagenham & Redbridge FC H 1–2 L
03 Nov Milton Keynes Dons FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug AFC Wimbledon A 1–0 W
16 Aug Rotherham United FC H 3–0 W
07 Aug Port Vale FC A 0–0 D
02 Aug Peterborough United FC H 2–1 W
03 May Norwich City FC A 2–4 L
26 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

AFC Wimbledon Cardiff City FC
#19 Position #2
53 Points 91
46 Played 46
15 / 8 / 23 W / D / L 27 / 10 / 9
51 Scored 90
72 Conceded 50
-21 GD +40
1.15 PPG 1.98
33% Win % 59%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AFC Wimbledon are 19th (53 pts). Cardiff City FC are 2nd (91 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AFC Wimbledon Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.82 AFC Wimbledon xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Wimbledon23% Draw28% Cardiff City FC49%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

AFC Wimbledon or Draw
51%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
77%
AFC Wimbledon or Cardiff City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Wimbledon14% Draw48% Cardiff City FC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 2
11.1%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
6.2%
0 – 3
5.8%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
2.9%
0 – 4
2.4%

Asian Handicap — AFC Wimbledon

Handicap AFC Wimbledon covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 12% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 25% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 17% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

AFC Wimbledon keeps clean sheet
21%
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.