Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs AFC Wimbledon, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Fri 1 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs AFC WimbledonLeague One .

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Parsons (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Aug AFC Wimbledon H 1–0 W
03 May West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–5 L
26 Apr Coventry City FC H 1–0 W
21 Apr Bristol City FC H 3–1 W
18 Apr Derby County FC A 1–0 W
12 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Aug Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
30 Nov Dagenham & Redbridge FC H 1–2 L
03 Nov Milton Keynes Dons FC A 2–0 W
06 Jan Ipswich Town FC H 1–3 L
04 Dec Ramsgate FC H 5–0 W
04 Nov Cheltenham Town FC H 5–1 W

Season Stats

Luton Town FC AFC Wimbledon
#7 Position #19
74 Points 53
46 Played 46
21 / 11 / 14 W / D / L 15 / 8 / 23
68 Scored 51
56 Conceded 72
+12 GD -21
1.61 PPG 1.15
46% Win % 33%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Luton Town FC are 7th (74 pts). AFC Wimbledon are 19th (53 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Luton Town FC to score. At the same time, AFC Wimbledon does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • Another three points for Luton Town FC.

Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

AFC Wimbledon Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.64 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 AFC Wimbledon xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC to win 56% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC56% Draw26% AFC Wimbledon18%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
82%
Draw or AFC Wimbledon
44%
Luton Town FC or AFC Wimbledon
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC38% Draw48% AFC Wimbledon14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 0
11.1%
0 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
6%
0 – 1
6%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push AFC Wimbledon covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 25% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
44%
AFC Wimbledon keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.