EC Bahia vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 32 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 32 games · 43 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 32 | 70 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 32 | 54 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro EC | 32 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense FC | 32 | 51 |
| 6 | CA Mineiro | 32 | 50 |
| 7 | EC Bahia | 32 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 32 | 46 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo FC | 32 | 43 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 32 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 32 | 39 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 31 | 38 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 32 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 32 | 37 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 32 | 35 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 32 | 34 |
| 18 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 32 | 33 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 32 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 31 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | CA Paranaense | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Clube do Remo | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #9 |
| 50 | Points | 43 |
| 32 | Played | 32 |
| 13 / 11 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 13 |
| 45 | Scored | 37 |
| 40 | Conceded | 36 |
| +5 | GD | +1 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.34 |
| 41% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
34%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
25%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
EC Bahia are 7th (50 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 9th (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
9/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/6
76+
7/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
4/4
31-45
6/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 6 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Ferreira | 2 |
| Clayson | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Robert Arboleda | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
1.24
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or São Paulo FC 71%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
65%
Draw or São Paulo FC
64%
EC Bahia or São Paulo FC
71%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.7%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 20% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
28%
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.