AC Monza vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Monza vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Stadio Brianteo.
- AC Monza 11 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- Atalanta BC 11 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Luca Pairetto
- Assistant 1 Giovanni Baccini
- Assistant 2 Alessio Berti
5 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 9.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May | Atalanta BC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Apr | Juventus FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | SSC Napoli | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | Venezia FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Como 1907 | H | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Mar | Cagliari Calcio | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Monza | Atalanta BC | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #12 |
| 7 | Points | 14 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 2 / 1 / 8 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 5 |
| 17 | Scored | 17 |
| 25 | Conceded | 20 |
| -8 | GD | -3 |
| 0.64 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 18% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
29%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
10%
Clean Sheets
AC Monza this season
AC Monza this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
Atalanta BC this season
AC Monza are 18th (7 pts). Atalanta BC are 12th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Monza
0-15
1/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
4/6
61-75
3/5
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atalanta BC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Monza
| Gustavo Varela | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jay Robinson | 2 G | 1 A |
| Andrea Colpani | 1 G |
Atalanta BC
| Nikola Krstovic | 7 G | 2 A |
| Ederson | 2 G | |
| Giacomo Raspadori | 1 G | |
| Lazar Samardzic | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AC Monza and Atalanta BC get this one started.
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 12' GOAL! Charles De Ketelaere scores on 12. Assisted by Mateo Retegui
- 16' Luca Caldirola makes way for Arvid Brorsson at the 16 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Monza.
- 21' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atalanta BC that had 533 games and scored 728 goals.
- 23' Against the run of play, Charles De Ketelaere has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Odilon Kossounou, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Brianteo with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 33' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 38' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Monza and Atalanta BC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 43' AC Monza is showing some good football. However, AC Monza are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' A tactical swap from AC Monza — Omari Forson on, Gaetano Castrovilli off on 46 minutes.
- 47' The deadlock is broken! Ademola Lookman gets on the scoresheet on 47 minutes.
- 52' Tiago Palacios is having his name booked by the referee on 52.
- 57' AC Monza are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 62' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Samuele Birindelli made 161 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 64' Atalanta BC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mario Pasalic is hanging Charles De Ketelaere on the field on 64 minute.
- 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 71' Isak Hien has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
- 71' The crowd applauds Gianluca Caprari as he leaves the pitch. Samuele Vignato steps in for AC Monza.
- 76' The whistle greets Mateo Retegui as he departs to be replaced by Daniel Maldini.
- 80' Marco Brescianini is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ademola Lookman at the 80 minute mark.
- 81' The referee shows Atalanta BC player a card on 81.
- 86' Italy international Gaetano Castrovilli has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 88' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marco Brescianini makes it 0-4.
- Another three points for Atalanta BC.
Lineups
AC Monza Lineups
3-5-1-1Starting XI
-
5
Luca Caldirola ↓ Arvid Brorsson 16'
- 11
- 21
- 47
- 10
-
13
Pedro Pereira ↓ Stefan Lekovic 46'
- 19
- 42
- 22
- 77
- 7
Bench
- 33
- 37
- 12
- 8
-
80
Samuele Vignato ↑ 71'
-
84
Patrick Ciurria ↑ 76'
-
3
Stefan Lekovic ↑ 46'
- 57
-
20
Omari Forson ↑ 46'
- 69
- 55
- 56
-
2
Arvid Brorsson ↑ 16'
Coach
Alessandro Nesta
Atalanta BC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 13
- 77
- 11
- 15
- 16
-
32
Mateo Retegui ↓ Daniel Maldini 76'
- 29
- 17
-
19
Berat Djimsiti ↓ Juan Cuadrado 76'
-
3
Odilon Kossounou ↓ Rafael Toloi 46'
- 4
Bench
- 28
-
7
Juan Cuadrado ↑ 76'
- 31
-
2
Rafael Toloi ↑ 46'
-
8
Mario Pasalic ↑ 64'
-
44
Marco Brescianini ↑ 80'
-
70
Daniel Maldini ↑ 76'
- 24
- 22
- 6
Coach
Gian Piero Gasperini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ademola Lookman | 3 |
| Rasmus Hojlund | 3 |
| Teun Koopmeiners | 3 |
| Charles De Ketelaere | 3 |
| Gianluca Scamacca | 2 |
| Daniel Maldini | 1 |
| Marlon | 1 |
| Davide Zappacosta | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Monza Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23
AC Monza xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.51
Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.74
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
AC Monza or Draw
40%
Draw or Atalanta BC
81%
AC Monza or Atalanta BC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 1
8.1%
0 – 2
7.5%
1 – 3
7.4%
0 – 3
6.1%
0 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 4
4.7%
2 – 3
4.6%
2 – 1
4.4%
0 – 4
Actual
0 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — AC Monza
| Handicap | AC Monza covers | Push | Atalanta BC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| +0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +1 | 36% | 21% | 43% |
| +1.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +2 | 57% | 19% | 25% |
| +2.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
Clean Sheet
AC Monza keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

