Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atalanta BC vs US Lecce, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
1 1
Full Time
Sun 27 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Gewiss Stadium 21,875 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 29' Jesper Karlsson pen
Mateo Retegui pen 69' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs US LecceSerie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Assistant 1 Marcello Rossi
  • Assistant 2 Dario Cecconi
6 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 3.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr US Lecce H 1–1 D
20 Apr AC Milan A 1–0 W
13 Apr Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
06 Apr SS Lazio H 0–1 L
30 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 0–1 L
16 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Atalanta BC A 1–1 D
19 Apr Como 1907 H 0–3 L
12 Apr Juventus FC A 1–2 L
06 Apr Venezia FC H 1–1 D
29 Mar AS Roma H 0–1 L
14 Mar Genoa CFC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Atalanta BC US Lecce
#7 Position #17
59 Points 38
38 Played 38
15 / 14 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 20
51 Scored 28
36 Conceded 50
+15 GD -22
1.55 PPG 1.00
39% Win % 26%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). US Lecce are 17th (38 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Gewiss Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Ante Rebic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 48 goals in his last 168 appearances.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Santiago Pierotti made 118 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 29' What a moment for Jesper Karlsson! That strike on 29 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 34' Ylber Ramadani is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for US Lecce so far.
  • 39' US Lecce fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 44' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 46' Atalanta BC make a change. Raoul Bellanova trudges off to be replaced by Juan Cuadrado on 46 minutes.
  • 49' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Antonino Gallo.
  • 54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atalanta BC that had 525 games and scored 714 goals.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Odilon Kossounou as he leaves the pitch. Matteo Ruggeri steps in for Atalanta BC.
  • 64' Atalanta BC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Charles De Ketelaere is hanging Mario Pasalic on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' A goal from the Italy international Mateo Retegui! He fires home on 69 to make it 1-1!
  • 70' US Lecce ring the changes. Jesper Karlsson has done his job and it is now time for THorir Johann Helgason to step up.
  • 75' Frederic Guilbert needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 76' US Lecce ring the changes. Santiago Pierotti has done his job and it is now time for Danilo Veiga to step up.
  • 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Davide Zappacosta.
  • 80' Atalanta BC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Daniel Maldini is hanging Mateo Retegui on the field on 80 minute.
  • 84' It is a substitution in US Lecce team. Ante Rebic is replaced by Rares Burnete on 84 minute.
  • 85' Another substitution for US Lecce to replace Balthazar Pierret by Ylber Ramadani on 85 minute.
  • 90' US Lecce are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.59 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 US Lecce xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC56% Draw26% US Lecce18%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
83%
Draw or US Lecce
44%
Atalanta BC or US Lecce
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC39% Draw49% US Lecce12%
Actual: US Lecce win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.2%
2 – 0
12.4%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
6%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2.6%
0 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push US Lecce covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 18% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 26% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 11% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
50%
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.