Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
AC Milan
0 – 1
Full Time
Atalanta BC
Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 72,745 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 62' Ederson
Y 56' Juan Cuadrado

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Piccinini
  • Assistant 1 Davide Imperiale
  • Assistant 2 Andrea Zingarelli
11 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 6.5 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

9
8
7
AC Milan 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Atalanta BC
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-20 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta BC 2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan 2024-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta BC 2023-12-09 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan 2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
11 Apr Udinese Calcio A 4–0 W
05 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 2–2 D
30 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
15 Mar Como 1907 H 2–1 W
08 Mar US Lecce A 3–2 W
Atalanta BC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr AC Milan A 1–0 W
13 Apr Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
06 Apr SS Lazio H 0–1 L
30 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 0–1 L
16 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
09 Mar Juventus FC A 4–0 W

Season Stats

AC Milan Atalanta BC
#5 Position #7
70 Points 59
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 15 / 14 / 9
53 Scored 51
35 Conceded 36
+18 GD +15
1.84 PPG 1.55
53% Win % 39%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Giuseppe Meazza!
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' Alex Jimenez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Atalanta BC so far.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atalanta BC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 45' The 26-year-old Ederson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 55' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' The referee shows Atalanta BC player a card on 56.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Matteo Ruggeri. He replaces Juan Cuadrado on 59 minute.
  • 62' Against the run of play, Ederson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 67' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 72' AC Milan are deployed in a 3-4-3 today, looking to exploit space against Atalanta BC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 75' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Riccardo Sottil comes on to replace Christian Pulisic.
  • 80' Atalanta BC make a change. Mario Pasalic trudges off to be replaced by Charles De Ketelaere on 80 minutes.
  • 83' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Santiago Gimenez is hanging Fikayo Tomori on the field on 83 minute.
  • 88' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Rafael Toloi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 90' Another change for Atalanta BC made on 90 minute. Mateo Retegui leaves to be changed by Ibrahim Sulemana.
  • Full Time. Atalanta BC beats AC Milan

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergio Conceicao

Atalanta BC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gian Piero Gasperini

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 3
Josip Ilicic 3
Duvan Zapata 3
Ademola Lookman 3
Franck Kessie 2
Hakan Calhanoglu 2
Theo Hernandez 2
Ederson 2

Head to Head

2025-04-20 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta BC 2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan 2024-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta BC 2023-12-09 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan 2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC

AC Milan Form

2025-04-20 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta BC L 2025-04-11 Udinese Calcio 0–4 AC Milan W 2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D 2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan L 2025-03-15 AC Milan 2–1 Como 1907 W 2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan W

Atalanta BC Form

2025-04-20 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta BC W 2025-04-13 Atalanta BC 2–0 Bologna FC 1909 W 2025-04-06 Atalanta BC 0–1 SS Lazio L 2025-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Atalanta BC L 2025-03-16 Atalanta BC 0–2 FC Internazionale Milano L 2025-03-09 Juventus FC 0–4 Atalanta BC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.1 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Atalanta BC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan33% Draw31% Atalanta BC36%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
64%
Draw or Atalanta BC
67%
AC Milan or Atalanta BC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan23% Draw51% Atalanta BC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.