Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
0 – 1
Full Time
Sun 20 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 72,745 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 62' Ederson

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Piccinini
  • Assistant 1 Davide Imperiale
  • Assistant 2 Andrea Zingarelli

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
11 Apr Udinese Calcio A 4–0 W
05 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 2–2 D
30 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
15 Mar Como 1907 H 2–1 W
08 Mar US Lecce A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr AC Milan A 1–0 W
13 Apr Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
06 Apr SS Lazio H 0–1 L
30 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 0–1 L
16 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
09 Mar Juventus FC A 4–0 W

Season Stats

AC Milan Atalanta BC
#5 Position #11
11 Points 6
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 3
10 Scored 5
4 Conceded 7
+6 GD -2
2.20 PPG 1.20
60% Win % 40%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
20% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). Atalanta BC are 11th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atalanta BC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, Atalanta BC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Atalanta BC come into this ranked 3 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' AC Milan have won 603 goals from 517 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luka Jovic made 517 appearances and scored 56 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' With 0 assists to his name this season, Davide Zappacosta is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Atalanta BC.
  • 50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 55' Atalanta BC is showing some good football. However, Atalanta BC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' Atalanta BC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 59' Matteo Ruggeri is replacing Juan Cuadrado for the Atalanta BC side.
  • 62' What a moment for Ederson! That strike on 62 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 67' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 72' Matteo Gabbia has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 75' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Riccardo Sottil is hanging Christian Pulisic on the field on 75 minute.
  • 80' Another substitution for Atalanta BC to replace Mario Pasalic by Charles De Ketelaere on 80 minute.
  • 83' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Santiago Gimenez on, Fikayo Tomori off on 83 minutes.
  • 88' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 90' The Atalanta BC bench stirs into life. Mateo Retegui is withdrawn and Ibrahim Sulemana gets his opportunity.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for AC Milan and Atalanta BC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan46% Draw29% Atalanta BC25%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
74%
Draw or Atalanta BC
54%
AC Milan or Atalanta BC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan35% Draw47% Atalanta BC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
21% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.