Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atalanta BC vs Bologna FC 1909, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 13 Apr 2025 · 10:30 UTC Gewiss Stadium 23,156 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mateo Retegui 3' 1–0
Mario Pasalic 21' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs Bologna FC 1909Serie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi
14 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 4.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
06 Apr SS Lazio H 0–1 L
30 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 0–1 L
16 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
09 Mar Juventus FC A 4–0 W
01 Mar Venezia FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Apr Atalanta BC A 0–2 L
07 Apr SSC Napoli H 1–1 D
29 Mar Venezia FC A 1–0 W
16 Mar SS Lazio H 5–0 W
09 Mar Hellas Verona FC A 2–1 W
02 Mar Cagliari Calcio H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC Bologna FC 1909
#7 Position #8
59 Points 56
38 Played 38
15 / 14 / 9 W / D / L 16 / 8 / 14
51 Scored 49
36 Conceded 46
+15 GD +3
1.55 PPG 1.47
39% Win % 42%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). Bologna FC 1909 are 8th (56 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Bologna FC 1909 xG
I would bet for: Atalanta BC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC40% Draw31% Bologna FC 190929%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
71%
Draw or Bologna FC 1909
60%
Atalanta BC or Bologna FC 1909
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC28% Draw52% Bologna FC 190920%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.6%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push Bologna FC 1909 covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
39%
Bologna FC 1909 keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.