SSC Napoli vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SSC Napoli vs AC Milan — Serie A at Diego Armando Maradona.
- SSC Napoli 38 games · 76 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Simone Sozza
- Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
- Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi
10 games this season
🟨 1.2/game
⚽ 4.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | AC Milan | H | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Mar | Venezia FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | Como 1907 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | SS Lazio | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| SSC Napoli | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #5 |
| 76 | Points | 70 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 23 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 20 / 10 / 8 |
| 58 | Scored | 53 |
| 36 | Conceded | 35 |
| +22 | GD | +18 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.84 |
| 61% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
SSC Napoli are 2nd (76 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Diego Armando Maradona. SSC Napoli are looking to make home advantage count against AC Milan.
- 2' Brilliant from the ! Matteo Politano makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 2.
- 7' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 12' Both keepers have barely been tested. SSC Napoli and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 17' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 19' What a strike from Romelu Lukaku! The score is 2-0.
- 24' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SSC Napoli needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 29' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 34' Samuel Chukwueze is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
- 39' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' It’s a booking for SSC Napoli player. Romelu Lukaku gets a card.
- 45' SSC Napoli started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 46' Warren Bondo makes way for Rafael Leao at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- 51' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 55' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Joao Felix is withdrawn and Samuel Chukwueze gets his opportunity.
- 60' SSC Napoli currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 65' SSC Napoli make a change. Andre Zambo Anguissa trudges off to be replaced by Philip Billing on 65 minutes.
- 70' Uruguay international Mathias Olivera has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 75' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 80' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Luka Jovic on, Christian Pulisic off on 80 minutes.
- 81' The whistle greets Stanislav Lobotka as he departs to be replaced by Juan Jesus.
- 84' Luka Jovic doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 86' The SSC Napoli manager makes a substitution. Matteo Politano departs to be replaced by Pasquale Mazzocchi.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Alex Jimenez.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SSC Napoli players.
Lineups
SSC Napoli Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 11
- 99
-
7
David Neres ↓ Cyril Ngonge 86'
-
68
Stanislav Lobotka ↓ Juan Jesus 81'
- 1
- 21
- 4
- 22
- 17
- 13
- 6
Bench
-
30
Pasquale Mazzocchi ↑ 86'
-
15
Philip Billing ↑ 65'
-
18
Giovanni Simeone ↑ 86'
- 96
- 9
-
26
Cyril Ngonge ↑ 86'
- 81
-
5
Juan Jesus ↑ 81'
- 16
- 29
- 12
- 19
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 90
-
32
Kyle Walker ↓ Alex Jimenez 80'
- 29
- 16
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Luka Jovic 80'
- 19
-
79
Joao Felix ↓ Samuel Chukwueze 55'
- 31
- 46
-
38
Warren Bondo ↓ Rafael Leao 46'
Bench
- 23
-
10
Rafael Leao ↑ 46'
-
9
Luka Jovic ↑ 80'
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 55'
- 24
- 99
- 57
- 28
- 42
-
7
Santiago Gimenez ↑ 55'
-
20
Alex Jimenez ↑ 80'
- 96
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Olivier Giroud | 5 |
| Matteo Politano | 5 |
| Dries Mertens | 3 |
| Giacomo Bonaventura | 2 |
| Rafael Leao | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Piotr Zielinski | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
Head to Head
SSC Napoli Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54
SSC Napoli xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SSC Napoli win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
SSC Napoli or Draw
75%
Draw or AC Milan
51%
SSC Napoli or AC Milan
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SSC Napoli win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli
| Handicap | SSC Napoli covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 22% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.