Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SSC Napoli vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
SSC Napoli
2 – 1
Full Time
AC Milan
Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 18:45 UTC Diego Armando Maradona 52,836 HT 45' · FT 45'
Matteo Politano 2' 1–0
Romelu Lukaku 19' 2–0
2–1 84' Luka Jovic
Romelu Lukaku 40' Y
Y 90' Alex Jimenez

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Napoli vs AC Milan — Serie A at Diego Armando Maradona.

Match Details

  • Referee Simone Sozza
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 15.7 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Roma 5 13
2 FC Internazionale Milano 5 13
3 SS Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Calcio 5 12
5 AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Calcio 5 10
7 Juventus FC 5 10
8 Como 1907 5 10
9 SSC Napoli 5 7
10 US Sassuolo Calcio 5 7
11 Atalanta BC 5 6
12 US Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Calcio 5 4
14 Torino FC 5 4
15 Parma Calcio 1913 5 4
16 AC Monza 5 4
17 ACF Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna FC 1909 5 2
19 Genoa CFC 5 1
20 Venezia FC 5 0

Head-to-Head

7
5
6
SSC Napoli 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan 2024-10-29 AC Milan 0–2 SSC Napoli 2024-02-11 AC Milan 1–0 SSC Napoli 2023-10-29 SSC Napoli 2–2 AC Milan 2023-04-18 SSC Napoli 1–1 AC Milan

Recent Form

SSC Napoli
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar AC Milan H 2–1 W
16 Mar Venezia FC A 0–0 D
09 Mar ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
01 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 1–1 D
23 Feb Como 1907 A 1–2 L
15 Feb SS Lazio A 2–2 D
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
15 Mar Como 1907 H 2–1 W
08 Mar US Lecce A 3–2 W
02 Mar SS Lazio H 1–2 L
27 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
22 Feb Torino FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

SSC Napoli AC Milan
#9 Position #5
7 Points 11
5 Played 5
2 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
7 Scored 10
6 Conceded 4
+1 GD +6
1.40 PPG 2.20
40% Win % 60%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
SSC Napoli this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

SSC Napoli are 9th (7 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SSC Napoli
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SSC Napoli
Rasmus Hojlund 2 G
Kevin De Bruyne 1 G 1 A
Matteo Politano 1 G
Antonio Vergara 1 G
AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SSC Napoli to score. At the same time, AC Milan does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 2' Matteo Politano makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and SSC Napoli are in front.
  • 7' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 12' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 17' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 19' The Belgium forward Romelu Lukaku breaks the deadlock on 19 minutes. 2-0!
  • 24' AC Milan come into this ranked 9 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 29' Youssouf Fofana has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SSC Napoli that had 511 games and scored 645 goals.
  • 39' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 40' That is a card for SSC Napoli. Romelu Lukaku will be fuming at that decision.
  • 45' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tijjani Reijnders suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' AC Milan make a change. Warren Bondo trudges off to be replaced by Rafael Leao on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 55' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Joao Felix is withdrawn and Samuel Chukwueze gets his opportunity.
  • 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SSC Napoli needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 65' Philip Billing is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andre Zambo Anguissa at the 65 minute mark.
  • 70' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 75' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 80' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luka Jovic is hanging Christian Pulisic on the field on 80 minute.
  • 81' The SSC Napoli bench stirs into life. Stanislav Lobotka is withdrawn and Juan Jesus gets his opportunity.
  • 84' Magnificent from Luka Jovic! That is 56 goals in 518 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 86' A tactical swap from SSC Napoli — Pasquale Mazzocchi on, Matteo Politano off on 86 minutes.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Alex Jimenez.
  • It finishes all square. SSC Napoli and AC Milan share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

SSC Napoli Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Matteo Politano 5
Olivier Giroud 5
Dries Mertens 3
Romelu Lukaku 2
Giacomo Bonaventura 2
Rafael Leao 2
Theo Hernandez 2
Piotr Zielinski 2

Head to Head

2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan 2024-10-29 AC Milan 0–2 SSC Napoli 2024-02-11 AC Milan 1–0 SSC Napoli 2023-10-29 SSC Napoli 2–2 AC Milan 2023-04-18 SSC Napoli 1–1 AC Milan

SSC Napoli Form

2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan W 2025-03-16 Venezia FC 0–0 SSC Napoli D 2025-03-09 SSC Napoli 2–1 ACF Fiorentina W 2025-03-01 SSC Napoli 1–1 FC Internazionale Milano D 2025-02-23 Como 1907 2–1 SSC Napoli L 2025-02-15 SS Lazio 2–2 SSC Napoli D

AC Milan Form

2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan L 2025-03-15 AC Milan 2–1 Como 1907 W 2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan W 2025-03-02 AC Milan 1–2 SS Lazio L 2025-02-27 Bologna FC 1909 2–1 AC Milan L 2025-02-22 Torino FC 2–1 AC Milan L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32 SSC Napoli xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: SSC Napoli or AC Milan 74% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Napoli41% Draw26% AC Milan33%
Actual: SSC Napoli win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

SSC Napoli or Draw
67%
Draw or AC Milan
59%
SSC Napoli or AC Milan
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SSC Napoli26% Draw47% AC Milan27%
Actual: SSC Napoli win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.7%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli

Handicap SSC Napoli covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.