Saturday , 14 November 2026

SSC Napoli vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
SSC Napoli
2 – 1
Full Time
AC Milan
Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 18:45 UTC Diego Armando Maradona 52,836 HT 45' · FT 45'
Matteo Politano 2' 1–0
Romelu Lukaku 19' 2–0
2–1 84' Luka Jovic
Romelu Lukaku 40' Y
Y 90' Alex Jimenez

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Napoli vs AC Milan — Serie A at Diego Armando Maradona.

Match Details

  • Referee Simone Sozza
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi
6 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 10.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SS Lazio 11 29
2 FC Internazionale Milano 11 28
3 AS Roma 11 27
4 AC Milan 11 24
5 Como 1907 11 23
6 Frosinone Calcio 11 20
7 Juventus FC 11 18
8 Bologna FC 1909 11 17
9 Cagliari Calcio 11 16
10 SSC Napoli 11 15
11 Torino FC 11 14
12 Atalanta BC 11 14
13 Genoa CFC 11 13
14 US Lecce 11 10
15 ACF Fiorentina 11 9
16 Parma Calcio 1913 11 8
17 US Sassuolo Calcio 11 8
18 AC Monza 11 7
19 Venezia FC 11 6
20 Udinese Calcio 11 5

Head-to-Head

7
5
6
SSC Napoli 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan 2024-10-29 AC Milan 0–2 SSC Napoli 2024-02-11 AC Milan 1–0 SSC Napoli 2023-10-29 SSC Napoli 2–2 AC Milan 2023-04-18 SSC Napoli 1–1 AC Milan

Recent Form

SSC Napoli
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar AC Milan H 2–1 W
16 Mar Venezia FC A 0–0 D
09 Mar ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
01 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 1–1 D
23 Feb Como 1907 A 1–2 L
15 Feb SS Lazio A 2–2 D
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
15 Mar Como 1907 H 2–1 W
08 Mar US Lecce A 3–2 W
02 Mar SS Lazio H 1–2 L
27 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
22 Feb Torino FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

SSC Napoli AC Milan
#10 Position #4
15 Points 24
11 Played 11
4 / 3 / 4 W / D / L 7 / 3 / 1
18 Scored 23
14 Conceded 13
+4 GD +10
1.36 PPG 2.18
36% Win % 64%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
SSC Napoli this season
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

SSC Napoli are 10th (15 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SSC Napoli
0-15
1/–
16-30
4/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/3
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SSC Napoli
Kevin De Bruyne 4 G 1 A
Rasmus Hojlund 3 G
Matteo Politano 2 G 3 A
Antonio Vergara 1 G
AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. SSC Napoli host AC Milan — let the battle begin!
  • 2' Magnificent from Matteo Politano! That is 46 goals in 500 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 7' AC Milan have won 627 goals from 530 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 12' Rafael Leao has been relatively quiet despite scoring 79 goals in his last 480 appearances.
  • 17' SSC Napoli are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 19' What composure from Romelu Lukaku! The Belgium international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 24' SSC Napoli are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
  • 29' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SSC Napoli and AC Milan are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 34' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SSC Napoli side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 40' It’s a booking for SSC Napoli player. Romelu Lukaku gets a card.
  • 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' Rafael Leao has so much to prove this time. He replaces Warren Bondo on 46 minute.
  • 51' Giovanni Di Lorenzo, a Italy , has 52 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 55' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Samuel Chukwueze on, Joao Felix off on 55 minutes.
  • 60' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kyle Walker suffering a number of foals already.
  • 65' Another change for SSC Napoli made on 65 minute. Andre Zambo Anguissa leaves to be changed by Philip Billing.
  • 70' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Matteo Gabbia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 75' It is a cagey affair so far. SSC Napoli in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past AC Milan's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 80' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Christian Pulisic exits the field as Luka Jovic enters on 80.
  • 81' Juan Jesus has so much to prove this time. He replaces Stanislav Lobotka on 81 minute.
  • 84' Luka Jovic adds to his 1 season tally! AC Milan lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 86' Fresh legs for SSC Napoli! Pasquale Mazzocchi comes on to replace Matteo Politano.
  • 90' Alex Jimenez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AC Milan.

Lineups

SSC Napoli Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Olivier Giroud 5
Matteo Politano 5
Dries Mertens 3
Giacomo Bonaventura 2
Rafael Leao 2
Theo Hernandez 2
Piotr Zielinski 2
Franck Kessie 2

Head to Head

2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan 2024-10-29 AC Milan 0–2 SSC Napoli 2024-02-11 AC Milan 1–0 SSC Napoli 2023-10-29 SSC Napoli 2–2 AC Milan 2023-04-18 SSC Napoli 1–1 AC Milan

SSC Napoli Form

2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan W 2025-03-16 Venezia FC 0–0 SSC Napoli D 2025-03-09 SSC Napoli 2–1 ACF Fiorentina W 2025-03-01 SSC Napoli 1–1 FC Internazionale Milano D 2025-02-23 Como 1907 2–1 SSC Napoli L 2025-02-15 SS Lazio 2–2 SSC Napoli D

AC Milan Form

2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan L 2025-03-15 AC Milan 2–1 Como 1907 W 2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan W 2025-03-02 AC Milan 1–2 SS Lazio L 2025-02-27 Bologna FC 1909 2–1 AC Milan L 2025-02-22 Torino FC 2–1 AC Milan L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.59 SSC Napoli xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Napoli45% Draw25% AC Milan30%
Actual: SSC Napoli win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

SSC Napoli or Draw
71%
Draw or AC Milan
55%
SSC Napoli or AC Milan
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SSC Napoli30% Draw44% AC Milan26%
Actual: SSC Napoli win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.6%
1 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli

Handicap SSC Napoli covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.