Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
AC Milan
2 – 2
Full Time
ACF Fiorentina
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 72,451 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Malick Thiaw og
0–2 10' Moise Kean
Tammy Abraham 23' 1–2
Luka Jovic 64' 2–2
Y 31' Pablo Mari
Y 41' Dodo
Theo Hernandez 41' Y
Kyle Walker 45' Y
Rafael Leao 58' Y
Christian Pulisic 58' Y
Y 66' David De Gea

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Giovanni Ayroldi
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Giorgio Peretti
6 games this season 🟨 5.5/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SS Lazio 11 29
2 FC Internazionale Milano 11 28
3 AS Roma 11 27
4 AC Milan 11 24
5 Como 1907 11 23
6 Frosinone Calcio 11 20
7 Juventus FC 11 18
8 Bologna FC 1909 11 17
9 Cagliari Calcio 11 16
10 SSC Napoli 11 15
11 Torino FC 11 14
12 Atalanta BC 11 14
13 Genoa CFC 11 13
14 US Lecce 11 10
15 ACF Fiorentina 11 9
16 Parma Calcio 1913 11 8
17 US Sassuolo Calcio 11 8
18 AC Monza 11 7
19 Venezia FC 11 6
20 Udinese Calcio 11 5

Head-to-Head

11
5
8
AC Milan 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals ACF Fiorentina
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina 2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan 2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 2–2 D
30 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
15 Mar Como 1907 H 2–1 W
08 Mar US Lecce A 3–2 W
02 Mar SS Lazio H 1–2 L
27 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
ACF Fiorentina
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr AC Milan A 2–2 D
30 Mar Atalanta BC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Juventus FC H 3–0 W
09 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
28 Feb US Lecce H 1–0 W
23 Feb Hellas Verona FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

AC Milan ACF Fiorentina
#4 Position #15
24 Points 9
11 Played 11
7 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 6
23 Scored 17
13 Conceded 25
+10 GD -8
2.18 PPG 0.82
64% Win % 18%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
5/3
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A
ACF Fiorentina
Mateo Pellegrino 4 G
Franco Mastantuono 4 G
Alieu Njie 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AC Milan is hosting ACF Fiorentina for another epic battle.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 7' GOAL! Malick Thiaw fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 10' Moise Kean does the damage! The net is bulging and ACF Fiorentina surge ahead!
  • 15' ACF Fiorentina started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 23' Assisted by Christian Pulisic with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tammy Abraham makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 24' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Luka Jovic on, Yunus Musah off on 24 minutes.
  • 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rafael Leao made 480 appearances and scored 79 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 31' Poor challenge from Pablo Mari. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 36' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past ACF Fiorentina's compact 3-5-2.
  • 41' It’s a booking for ACF Fiorentina player. Dodo gets a card.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Kyle Walker.
  • 50' Marin Pongracic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 55' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Tammy Abraham is replaced by Santiago Gimenez.
  • 58' Rafael Leao catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 58.
  • 59' Albert Gudmundsson makes way for Lucas Beltran at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from ACF Fiorentina.
  • 64' A stunning finish from Luka Jovic — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 66' David De Gea is having his name booked by the referee on 66.
  • 71' David De Gea, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Pietro Comuzzo. He replaces Marin Pongracic on 72 minute.
  • 77' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 80' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Christian Pulisic exits the field as Samuel Chukwueze enters on 80.
  • 85' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 88' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Rolando Mandragora departs to be replaced by Yacine Adli.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergio Conceicao

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Raffaele Palladino

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 4
Dusan Vlahovic 3
Erick Pulgar 3
Zlatan Ibrahimovic 3
Hakan Calhanoglu 2
Alfred Duncan 2
Franck Ribery 2
Theo Hernandez 2

Head to Head

2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina 2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan 2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan

AC Milan Form

2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D 2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan L 2025-03-15 AC Milan 2–1 Como 1907 W 2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan W 2025-03-02 AC Milan 1–2 SS Lazio L 2025-02-27 Bologna FC 1909 2–1 AC Milan L

ACF Fiorentina Form

2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D 2025-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Atalanta BC W 2025-03-16 ACF Fiorentina 3–0 Juventus FC W 2025-03-09 SSC Napoli 2–1 ACF Fiorentina L 2025-02-28 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 US Lecce W 2025-02-23 Hellas Verona FC 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.61 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan58% Draw21% ACF Fiorentina21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
79%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
42%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan48% Draw36% ACF Fiorentina16%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 1
7.6%
3 – 1
7.4%
2 – 0
6.9%
3 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
3.7%
4 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 18% 56%
-1.5 44% — 56%
-1 44% 20% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 10% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.