Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
AC Milan
2 – 2
Full Time
ACF Fiorentina
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 72,451 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Malick Thiaw og
0–2 10' Moise Kean
Tammy Abraham 23' 1–2
Luka Jovic 64' 2–2
Y 31' Pablo Mari
Y 41' Dodo
Theo Hernandez 41' Y
Kyle Walker 45' Y
Rafael Leao 58' Y
Christian Pulisic 58' Y
Y 66' David De Gea

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Giovanni Ayroldi
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Giorgio Peretti
8 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.9 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

11
5
8
AC Milan 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals ACF Fiorentina
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina 2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan 2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 2–2 D
30 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
15 Mar Como 1907 H 2–1 W
08 Mar US Lecce A 3–2 W
02 Mar SS Lazio H 1–2 L
27 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
ACF Fiorentina
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr AC Milan A 2–2 D
30 Mar Atalanta BC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Juventus FC H 3–0 W
09 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
28 Feb US Lecce H 1–0 W
23 Feb Hellas Verona FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

AC Milan ACF Fiorentina
#5 Position #15
70 Points 42
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
53 Scored 41
35 Conceded 50
+18 GD -9
1.84 PPG 1.11
53% Win % 24%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' AC Milan have kicked off against ACF Fiorentina. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Michael Folorunsho has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 7' Malick Thiaw doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 10' A goal from the Italy international Moise Kean! He fires home on 10 to make it 1-1!
  • 15' It’s high time Raffaele Palladino made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' England international Kyle Walker has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 23' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tammy Abraham makes it 2-1.
  • 24' Luka Jovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yunus Musah at the 24 minute mark.
  • 29' Christian Pulisic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for ACF Fiorentina tonight.
  • 31' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Pablo Mari.
  • 36' AC Milan have won 600 goals from 515 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dodo on 41.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kyle Walker on 45.
  • 50' AC Milan currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 55' Santiago Gimenez gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Tammy Abraham and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 58' Rafael Leao has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 58.
  • 59' The whistle greets Albert Gudmundsson as he departs to be replaced by Lucas Beltran.
  • 64' Against the run of play, Luka Jovic has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 66' A meaty challenge results in booking for David De Gea on 66.
  • 71' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ACF Fiorentina that had 456 games and scored 420 goals.
  • 72' Pietro Comuzzo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marin Pongracic at the 72 minute mark.
  • 77' The 27-year-old Youssouf Fofana has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 80' Samuel Chukwueze gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Christian Pulisic and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 88' The whistle greets Rolando Mandragora as he departs to be replaced by Yacine Adli.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergio Conceicao

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Raffaele Palladino

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 4
Zlatan Ibrahimovic 3
Dusan Vlahovic 3
Erick Pulgar 3
Hakan Calhanoglu 2
Alfred Duncan 2
Franck Ribery 2
Theo Hernandez 2

Head to Head

2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina 2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan 2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan

AC Milan Form

2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D 2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan L 2025-03-15 AC Milan 2–1 Como 1907 W 2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan W 2025-03-02 AC Milan 1–2 SS Lazio L 2025-02-27 Bologna FC 1909 2–1 AC Milan L

ACF Fiorentina Form

2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D 2025-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Atalanta BC W 2025-03-16 ACF Fiorentina 3–0 Juventus FC W 2025-03-09 SSC Napoli 2–1 ACF Fiorentina L 2025-02-28 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 US Lecce W 2025-02-23 Hellas Verona FC 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.72 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan48% Draw26% ACF Fiorentina26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
74%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
52%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan36% Draw45% ACF Fiorentina19%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 22% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.