Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
AC Milan
2 – 2
Full Time
ACF Fiorentina
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 72,451 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Malick Thiaw og
0–2 10' Moise Kean
Tammy Abraham 23' 1–2
Luka Jovic 64' 2–2
Y 31' Pablo Mari
Y 41' Dodo
Theo Hernandez 41' Y
Kyle Walker 45' Y
Rafael Leao 58' Y
Christian Pulisic 58' Y
Y 66' David De Gea

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Giovanni Ayroldi
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Giorgio Peretti
3 games this season 🟨 6.3/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Roma 5 13
2 FC Internazionale Milano 5 13
3 SS Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Calcio 5 12
5 AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Calcio 5 10
7 Juventus FC 5 10
8 Como 1907 5 10
9 SSC Napoli 5 7
10 US Sassuolo Calcio 5 7
11 Atalanta BC 5 6
12 US Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Calcio 5 4
14 Torino FC 5 4
15 Parma Calcio 1913 5 4
16 AC Monza 5 4
17 ACF Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna FC 1909 5 2
19 Genoa CFC 5 1
20 Venezia FC 5 0

Head-to-Head

11
5
8
AC Milan 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals ACF Fiorentina
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina 2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan 2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 2–2 D
30 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
15 Mar Como 1907 H 2–1 W
08 Mar US Lecce A 3–2 W
02 Mar SS Lazio H 1–2 L
27 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
ACF Fiorentina
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr AC Milan A 2–2 D
30 Mar Atalanta BC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Juventus FC H 3–0 W
09 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
28 Feb US Lecce H 1–0 W
23 Feb Hellas Verona FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

AC Milan ACF Fiorentina
#5 Position #17
11 Points 4
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
10 Scored 6
4 Conceded 12
+6 GD -6
2.20 PPG 0.80
60% Win % 20%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A
ACF Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 G
Mateo Pellegrino 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, ACF Fiorentina does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dodo made 398 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 7' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Malick Thiaw makes it 1-0.
  • 10' What composure from Moise Kean! The Italy international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 15' AC Milan currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 23' Goal! Tammy Abraham scores his 93 goal in 358 matches.
  • 24' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luka Jovic is hanging Yunus Musah on the field on 24 minute.
  • 29' Nicolo Fagioli has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 31' Pablo Mari has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 31.
  • 36' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 41' That looks like a foul for a card for Dodo.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kyle Walker on 45 minutes.
  • 50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 55' Tammy Abraham makes way for Santiago Gimenez at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 58' The referee has no hesitation. Rafael Leao is booked for AC Milan — card on 58.
  • 59' Another substitution for ACF Fiorentina to replace Albert Gudmundsson by Lucas Beltran on 59 minute.
  • 64' Luka Jovic has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 64 minutes.
  • 66' A moment of madness from David De Gea on 66 minutes earns him a card. ACF Fiorentina will be frustrated.
  • 71' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 517 games and scored 603 goals.
  • 72' Pietro Comuzzo is replacing Marin Pongracic for the ACF Fiorentina side.
  • 77' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 80' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Christian Pulisic by Samuel Chukwueze on 80 minute.
  • 85' David De Gea has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 411 appearances.
  • 88' Another change for ACF Fiorentina made on 88 minute. Rolando Mandragora leaves to be changed by Yacine Adli.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergio Conceicao

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Raffaele Palladino

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 4
Zlatan Ibrahimovic 3
Dusan Vlahovic 3
Erick Pulgar 3
Theo Hernandez 2
Franck Kessie 2
Hakan Calhanoglu 2
Alfred Duncan 2

Head to Head

2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina 2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan 2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan

AC Milan Form

2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D 2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan L 2025-03-15 AC Milan 2–1 Como 1907 W 2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan W 2025-03-02 AC Milan 1–2 SS Lazio L 2025-02-27 Bologna FC 1909 2–1 AC Milan L

ACF Fiorentina Form

2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D 2025-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Atalanta BC W 2025-03-16 ACF Fiorentina 3–0 Juventus FC W 2025-03-09 SSC Napoli 2–1 ACF Fiorentina L 2025-02-28 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 US Lecce W 2025-02-23 Hellas Verona FC 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.75 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + AC Milan to win 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan63% Draw20% ACF Fiorentina17%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
83%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
37%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan53% Draw35% ACF Fiorentina12%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
7.8%
3 – 0
7.5%
1 – 1
7.2%
1 – 0
5.9%
4 – 1
5.4%
4 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.4%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 31% — 69%
-2 31% 20% 49%
-1.5 51% — 49%
-1 51% 20% 29%
-0.5 71% — 29%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.