Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
AC Milan
2 – 2
Full Time
ACF Fiorentina
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 72,451 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Malick Thiaw og
0–2 10' Moise Kean
Tammy Abraham 23' 1–2
Luka Jovic 64' 2–2
Y 31' Pablo Mari
Y 41' Dodo
Theo Hernandez 41' Y
Kyle Walker 45' Y
Rafael Leao 58' Y
Christian Pulisic 58' Y
Y 66' David De Gea

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Giovanni Ayroldi
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Giorgio Peretti

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 US Cremonese 38 34
2 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
3 AC Pisa 1909 38 18
4 FC Internazionale Milano 0 0
5 SSC Napoli 0 0
6 AS Roma 0 0
7 Como 1907 0 0
8 AC Milan 0 0
9 Juventus FC 0 0
10 Atalanta BC 0 0
11 Bologna FC 1909 0 0
12 SS Lazio 0 0
13 Udinese Calcio 0 0
14 US Sassuolo Calcio 0 0
15 Torino FC 0 0
16 Parma Calcio 1913 0 0
17 Cagliari Calcio 0 0
18 ACF Fiorentina 0 0
19 Genoa CFC 0 0
20 US Lecce 0 0
21 AC Monza 0 0
22 Venezia FC 0 0
23 Frosinone Calcio 0 0

Head-to-Head

11
5
8
AC Milan 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals ACF Fiorentina
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina 2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan 2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 2–2 D
30 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
15 Mar Como 1907 H 2–1 W
08 Mar US Lecce A 3–2 W
02 Mar SS Lazio H 1–2 L
27 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
ACF Fiorentina
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr AC Milan A 2–2 D
30 Mar Atalanta BC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Juventus FC H 3–0 W
09 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
28 Feb US Lecce H 1–0 W
23 Feb Hellas Verona FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

AC Milan ACF Fiorentina
#8 Position #18
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
– PPG –
– Win % –

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 18th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, ACF Fiorentina does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Moise Kean needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 27 Yellow cards this season.
  • 7' Brilliant from the ! Malick Thiaw makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 7.
  • 10' The deadlock is broken! Moise Kean gets on the scoresheet on 10 minutes.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. ACF Fiorentina needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Theo Hernandez suffering a number of foals already.
  • 23' Tammy Abraham has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 23 minutes.
  • 24' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Yunus Musah departs to be replaced by Luka Jovic.
  • 29' ACF Fiorentina is showing some good football. However, ACF Fiorentina are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 31' The referee has no hesitation. Pablo Mari is booked for ACF Fiorentina — card on 31.
  • 36' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 41' The referee calls foul for Dodo. He receives a card.
  • 45' Kyle Walker is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 50' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
  • 55' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Santiago Gimenez is hanging Tammy Abraham on the field on 55 minute.
  • 58' A moment of madness from Rafael Leao on 58 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • 59' Albert Gudmundsson makes way for Lucas Beltran at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from ACF Fiorentina.
  • 64' GOAL! Luka Jovic scores on 64. Assisted by Fikayo Tomori
  • 66' That is a card for ACF Fiorentina. David De Gea will be fuming at that decision.
  • 71' ACF Fiorentina are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 72' ACF Fiorentina make a change. Marin Pongracic trudges off to be replaced by Pietro Comuzzo on 72 minutes.
  • 77' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 80' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Samuel Chukwueze is hanging Christian Pulisic on the field on 80 minute.
  • 85' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 88' Yacine Adli has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rolando Mandragora on 88 minute.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergio Conceicao

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Raffaele Palladino

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 4
Erick Pulgar 3
Zlatan Ibrahimovic 3
Dusan Vlahovic 3
Theo Hernandez 2
Franck Kessie 2
Hakan Calhanoglu 2
Alfred Duncan 2

Head to Head

2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina 2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan 2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan

AC Milan Form

2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D 2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan L 2025-03-15 AC Milan 2–1 Como 1907 W 2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan W 2025-03-02 AC Milan 1–2 SS Lazio L 2025-02-27 Bologna FC 1909 2–1 AC Milan L

ACF Fiorentina Form

2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D 2025-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Atalanta BC W 2025-03-16 ACF Fiorentina 3–0 Juventus FC W 2025-03-09 SSC Napoli 2–1 ACF Fiorentina L 2025-02-28 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 US Lecce W 2025-02-23 Hellas Verona FC 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.85 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 78% + AC Milan or Draw 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan36% Draw35% ACF Fiorentina29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 48%
52%
± 2.5 22%
78%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
72%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
64%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan21% Draw61% ACF Fiorentina18%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23%
1 – 0
15.6%
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 1
13.6%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
1.9%
3 – 1
1.6%
0 – 3
1.3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 9% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 22% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 19% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
48% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
43% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.