AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at San Siro.
- AC Milan 11 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- Atalanta BC 11 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Maurizio Mariani
- Referee Marco Guida
- Referee Pasquale De Meo
- Referee Eugenio Abbattista
- Referee Valerio Vecchi
- Referee Simone Sozza
7 games this season
🟨 3.7/game
⚽ 11.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Atalanta BC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | AC Monza | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Feb | Tottenham Hotspur FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Feb | Torino FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Feb | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Jan | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 2–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | AC Milan | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Feb | US Lecce | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Feb | SS Lazio | A | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Feb | US Sassuolo Calcio | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jan | UC Sampdoria | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Jan | Juventus FC | A | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | Atalanta BC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 24 | Points | 14 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 7 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 5 |
| 23 | Scored | 17 |
| 13 | Conceded | 20 |
| +10 | GD | -3 |
| 2.18 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 64% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
Atalanta BC this season
AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). Atalanta BC are 12th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atalanta BC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Atalanta BC
| Nikola Krstovic | 7 G | 2 A |
| Ederson | 2 G | |
| Giacomo Raspadori | 1 G | |
| Lazar Samardzic | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between AC Milan and Atalanta BC is underway.
- 5' It looks surprising Atalanta BC does not make any changes. Davide Zappacosta has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Ademola Lookman has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Berat Gjimshiti, as he is very good at scoring at San Siro with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and Atalanta BC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 26' Theo Hernandez makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and AC Milan are in front.
- 27' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 27.
- 28' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Rafael Leao on 28 minutes.
- 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
- 38' Over 38 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 43' Atalanta BC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 48' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their trying to find a way past Atalanta BC's compact .
- 53' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Teun Koopmeiners suffering a number of foals already.
- 58' Atalanta BC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 63' The whistle greets Ederson as he departs to be replaced by Jeremie Boga.
- 66' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Malick Thiaw will be fuming at that decision.
- 69' Luis Muriel is replacing Ademola Lookman for the Atalanta BC side.
- 74' Zlatan Ibrahimovic gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Olivier Giroud and will look to change the dynamic.
- 79' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 84' Matteo Ruggeri is ready to make an impact after coming on for Davide Zappacosta at the 84 minute mark.
- 86' Junior Messias does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
- 87' Magnificent from Junior Messias! That is 27 goals in 38 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 88' Rafael Leao makes way for Ante Rebic at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- 89' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Junior Messias is replaced by Alexis Saelemaekers.
- 90' Rade Krunic is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 10
- 23
- 16
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Ante Rebic 88'
- 19
- 8
- 33
- 20
- 28
- 30
Bench
- 27
- 7
- 5
- 1
-
12
Ante Rebic ↑ 88'
- 24
- 83
- 14
-
11
Zlatan Ibrahimovic ↑ 74'
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↑ 89'
- 40
- 46
-
90
Charles De Ketelaere ↑ 74'
- 32
Coach
Stefano Pioli
Atalanta BC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 77
-
11
Ademola Lookman ↓ Luis Muriel 69'
- 2
- 15
- 19
- 1
- 3
- 17
- 42
-
13
Ederson ↓ Jeremie Boga 63'
Bench
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 69'
- 31
-
6
Jose Luis Palomino ↑ 84'
-
10
Jeremie Boga ↑ 63'
- 57
- 5
- 93
-
22
Matteo Ruggeri ↑ 84'
-
23
Lukas Vorlicky ↑ 84'
- –
Coach
Gian Piero Gasperini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Josip Ilicic | 3 |
| Duvan Zapata | 3 |
| Ademola Lookman | 3 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Ederson | 2 |
| Krzysztof Piatek | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.28
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
85%
Draw or Atalanta BC
35%
AC Milan or Atalanta BC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.3%
3 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
4 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
4.1%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Atalanta BC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 20% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 22% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.