Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
AC Milan
2 – 0
Full Time
Atalanta BC
Sun 26 Feb 2023 · 19:45 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'
Rafael Leao 27' Y
Y 27' Rafael Toloi
Rafael Leao 28' Y
Y 28' Rafael Toloi
Y 58' Gian Piero Gasperini
Malick Thiaw 66' Y
Rade Krunic 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Referee Pasquale De Meo
  • Referee Eugenio Abbattista
  • Referee Valerio Vecchi
  • Referee Simone Sozza
5 games this season 🟨 4.6/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Roma 5 13
2 FC Internazionale Milano 5 13
3 SS Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Calcio 5 12
5 AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Calcio 5 10
7 Juventus FC 5 10
8 Como 1907 5 10
9 SSC Napoli 5 7
10 US Sassuolo Calcio 5 7
11 Atalanta BC 5 6
12 US Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Calcio 5 4
14 Torino FC 5 4
15 Parma Calcio 1913 5 4
16 AC Monza 5 4
17 ACF Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna FC 1909 5 2
19 Genoa CFC 5 1
20 Venezia FC 5 0

Head-to-Head

9
8
7
AC Milan 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Atalanta BC
Last 5 meetings
2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC 2022-08-21 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2022-05-15 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC 2021-10-03 Atalanta BC 2–3 AC Milan 2021-05-23 Atalanta BC 0–2 AC Milan

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Atalanta BC H 2–0 W
18 Feb AC Monza A 1–0 W
14 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–0 W
10 Feb Torino FC H 1–0 W
05 Feb FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
29 Jan US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–5 L
Atalanta BC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb AC Milan A 0–2 L
19 Feb US Lecce H 1–2 L
11 Feb SS Lazio A 2–0 W
04 Feb US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–1 L
28 Jan UC Sampdoria H 2–0 W
22 Jan Juventus FC A 3–3 D

Season Stats

AC Milan Atalanta BC
#5 Position #11
11 Points 6
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 3
10 Scored 5
4 Conceded 7
+6 GD -2
2.20 PPG 1.20
60% Win % 40%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
20% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). Atalanta BC are 11th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atalanta BC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A
Atalanta BC
Ederson 1 G
Giacomo Raspadori 1 G
Nikola Krstovic 1 G
Lazar Samardzic 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at San Siro!
  • 5' Marten de Roon has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stefano Pioli will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Teun Koopmeiners suffering a number of foals already.
  • 26' Theo Hernandez makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and AC Milan are in front.
  • 27' A moment of madness from Rafael Leao on 27 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • 28' Rafael Leao is having his name booked by the referee on 28.
  • 33' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 38' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 43' Atalanta BC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 48' Jose Luis Palomino has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 527 appearances.
  • 53' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and Atalanta BC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 58' The referee shows Atalanta BC player a Yellow card on 58.
  • 63' Another substitution for Atalanta BC to replace Ederson by Jeremie Boga on 63 minute.
  • 66' Poor challenge from Malick Thiaw. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 69' The Atalanta BC manager makes a substitution. Ademola Lookman departs to be replaced by Luis Muriel.
  • 74' AC Milan ring the changes. Olivier Giroud has done his job and it is now time for Zlatan Ibrahimovic to step up.
  • 79' AC Milan are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Atalanta BC's shape.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Matteo Ruggeri. He replaces Davide Zappacosta on 84 minute.
  • 86' What a moment for Junior Messias! That strike on 86 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 87' Magnificent from Junior Messias! That is 25 goals in 38 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 88' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Rafael Leao departs to be replaced by Ante Rebic.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Alexis Saelemaekers. He replaces Junior Messias on 89 minute.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Rade Krunic is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 90.
  • The final score is 2-0.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

Atalanta BC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gian Piero Gasperini

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Duvan Zapata 3
Ademola Lookman 3
Rafael Leao 3
Josip Ilicic 3
Mario Pasalic 2
Junior Messias 2
Alejandro Gomez 2
Franck Kessie 2

Head to Head

2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC 2022-08-21 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2022-05-15 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC 2021-10-03 Atalanta BC 2–3 AC Milan 2021-05-23 Atalanta BC 0–2 AC Milan

AC Milan Form

2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC W 2023-02-18 AC Monza 0–1 AC Milan W 2023-02-14 AC Milan 1–0 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 2023-02-10 AC Milan 1–0 Torino FC W 2023-02-05 FC Internazionale Milano 1–0 AC Milan L 2023-01-29 AC Milan 2–5 US Sassuolo Calcio L

Atalanta BC Form

2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC L 2023-02-19 Atalanta BC 1–2 US Lecce L 2023-02-11 SS Lazio 0–2 Atalanta BC W 2023-02-04 US Sassuolo Calcio 1–0 Atalanta BC L 2023-01-28 Atalanta BC 2–0 UC Sampdoria W 2023-01-22 Juventus FC 3–3 Atalanta BC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.98 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan66% Draw22% Atalanta BC12%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
87%
Draw or Atalanta BC
34%
AC Milan or Atalanta BC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan47% Draw43% Atalanta BC10%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
13.3%
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 0
8.8%
3 – 0
8.7%
3 – 1
6%
4 – 0
4.3%
0 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
3.1%
1 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 21% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 25% 33%
-0.5 67% — 33%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 8% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.