Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
2 0
Full Time
Sun 26 Feb 2023 · 19:45 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Atalanta BCSerie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Referee Pasquale De Meo
  • Referee Eugenio Abbattista
  • Referee Valerio Vecchi
  • Referee Simone Sozza
11 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Atalanta BC H 2–0 W
18 Feb AC Monza A 1–0 W
14 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–0 W
10 Feb Torino FC H 1–0 W
05 Feb FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
29 Jan US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb AC Milan A 0–2 L
19 Feb US Lecce H 1–2 L
11 Feb SS Lazio A 2–0 W
04 Feb US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–1 L
28 Jan UC Sampdoria H 2–0 W
22 Jan Juventus FC A 3–3 D

Season Stats

AC Milan Atalanta BC
#8 Position #10
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). Atalanta BC are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds San Siro will turn into a battlefield for AC Milan and Atalanta BC.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jose Luis Palomino, as he is very good at scoring at San Siro with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Atalanta BC backline.
  • 15' Juan Musso needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 14 Yellow cards this season.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Ederson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 26' What composure from Theo Hernandez! The France international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 27' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Rafael Leao gets a Yellow card.
  • 28' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Rafael Leao.
  • 33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
  • 43' AC Milan are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Atalanta BC's shape.
  • 48' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 53' Davide Zappacosta has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 58' Gian Piero Gasperini is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
  • 63' Jeremie Boga is replacing Ederson for the Atalanta BC side.
  • 66' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Malick Thiaw will be fuming at that decision.
  • 69' Luis Muriel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ademola Lookman at the 69 minute mark.
  • 74' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Olivier Giroud exits the field as Zlatan Ibrahimovic enters on 74.
  • 79' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 84' Atalanta BC make a change. Davide Zappacosta trudges off to be replaced by Matteo Ruggeri on 84 minutes.
  • 86' What composure from Junior Messias! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 87' A stunning finish from Junior Messias — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 88' Rafael Leao makes way for Ante Rebic at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 89' AC Milan ring the changes. Junior Messias has done his job and it is now time for Alexis Saelemaekers to step up.
  • 90' Rade Krunic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
  • With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.87 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.42 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan49% Draw36% Atalanta BC15%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 70%
30%
± 1.5 37%
63%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
85%
Draw or Atalanta BC
51%
AC Milan or Atalanta BC
64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan25% Draw66% Atalanta BC9%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
30.3%
1 – 0
22.5%
1 – 1
11%
0 – 1
9.8%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 2
2.1%
0 – 2
2%
3 – 1
1.4%
2 – 2
1.1%
4 – 0
0.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 28% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 12% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
66%
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.