Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
AC Milan
2 – 0
Full Time
Atalanta BC
Sun 26 Feb 2023 · 19:45 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'
Rafael Leao 27' Y
Y 27' Rafael Toloi
Rafael Leao 28' Y
Y 28' Rafael Toloi
Y 58' Gian Piero Gasperini
Malick Thiaw 66' Y
Rade Krunic 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Referee Pasquale De Meo
  • Referee Eugenio Abbattista
  • Referee Valerio Vecchi
  • Referee Simone Sozza
14 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 4.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

9
8
7
AC Milan 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Atalanta BC
Last 5 meetings
2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC 2022-08-21 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2022-05-15 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC 2021-10-03 Atalanta BC 2–3 AC Milan 2021-05-23 Atalanta BC 0–2 AC Milan

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Atalanta BC H 2–0 W
18 Feb AC Monza A 1–0 W
14 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–0 W
10 Feb Torino FC H 1–0 W
05 Feb FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
29 Jan US Sassuolo Calcio H 2–5 L
Atalanta BC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb AC Milan A 0–2 L
19 Feb US Lecce H 1–2 L
11 Feb SS Lazio A 2–0 W
04 Feb US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–1 L
28 Jan UC Sampdoria H 2–0 W
22 Jan Juventus FC A 3–3 D

Season Stats

AC Milan Atalanta BC
#5 Position #7
70 Points 59
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 15 / 14 / 9
53 Scored 51
35 Conceded 36
+18 GD +15
1.84 PPG 1.55
53% Win % 39%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at San Siro. AC Milan are looking to make home advantage count against Atalanta BC.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Atalanta BC backline.
  • 20' AC Milan are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Atalanta BC's shape.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 26' What composure from Theo Hernandez! The France international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 27' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Rafael Leao on 27 minutes.
  • 28' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Rafael Leao on 28 minutes.
  • 33' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
  • 38' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 43' Ederson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 48' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 48 minutes.
  • 53' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gian Piero Gasperini on 58.
  • 63' Jeremie Boga gets the nod from Atalanta BC. He replaces Ederson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 66' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 66.
  • 69' Luis Muriel is replacing Ademola Lookman for the Atalanta BC side.
  • 74' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Olivier Giroud is replaced by Zlatan Ibrahimovic on 74 minute.
  • 79' It’s high time Gian Piero Gasperini made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 84' Matteo Ruggeri is ready to make an impact after coming on for Davide Zappacosta at the 84 minute mark.
  • 86' GOAL! Junior Messias scores on 86. Assisted by Rafael Leao
  • 87' The deadlock is broken! Junior Messias gets on the scoresheet on 87 minutes.
  • 88' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ante Rebic is hanging Rafael Leao on the field on 88 minute.
  • 89' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Junior Messias by Alexis Saelemaekers on 89 minute.
  • 90' Rade Krunic was booked on 90.
  • Another three points for AC Milan.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

Atalanta BC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gian Piero Gasperini

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Josip Ilicic 3
Duvan Zapata 3
Ademola Lookman 3
Rafael Leao 3
Ederson 2
Krzysztof Piatek 2
Luis Muriel 2
Mario Pasalic 2

Head to Head

2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC 2022-08-21 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2022-05-15 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC 2021-10-03 Atalanta BC 2–3 AC Milan 2021-05-23 Atalanta BC 0–2 AC Milan

AC Milan Form

2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC W 2023-02-18 AC Monza 0–1 AC Milan W 2023-02-14 AC Milan 1–0 Tottenham Hotspur FC W 2023-02-10 AC Milan 1–0 Torino FC W 2023-02-05 FC Internazionale Milano 1–0 AC Milan L 2023-01-29 AC Milan 2–5 US Sassuolo Calcio L

Atalanta BC Form

2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC L 2023-02-19 Atalanta BC 1–2 US Lecce L 2023-02-11 SS Lazio 0–2 Atalanta BC W 2023-02-04 US Sassuolo Calcio 1–0 Atalanta BC L 2023-01-28 Atalanta BC 2–0 UC Sampdoria W 2023-01-22 Juventus FC 3–3 Atalanta BC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan54% Draw26% Atalanta BC20%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
80%
Draw or Atalanta BC
46%
AC Milan or Atalanta BC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan34% Draw49% Atalanta BC17%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.