Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
2 – 1
Full Time
Fri 6 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Gewiss Stadium 22,606 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 22' Alvaro Morata
Ademola Lookman 87' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan — Serie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec AC Milan H 2–1 W
02 Dec AS Roma A 2–0 W
26 Nov BSC Young Boys A 6–1 W
23 Nov Parma Calcio 1913 A 3–1 W
10 Nov Udinese Calcio H 2–1 W
06 Nov VfB Stuttgart A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Empoli FC H 3–0 W
26 Nov SK Slovan Bratislava A 3–2 W
23 Nov Juventus FC H 0–0 D
09 Nov Cagliari Calcio A 3–3 D
05 Nov Real Madrid CF A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC AC Milan
#11 Position #5
6 Points 11
5 Played 5
2 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
5 Scored 10
7 Conceded 4
-2 GD +6
1.20 PPG 2.20
40% Win % 60%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Atalanta BC are 11th (6 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atalanta BC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Atalanta BC get us underway at Gewiss Stadium.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Yunus Musah has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 12' GOAL! Charles De Ketelaere scores on 12. Assisted by Marten de Roon
  • 17' Raoul Bellanova has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 517 appearances.
  • 22' Alvaro Morata is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the forward.
  • 27' With 0 assists to his name this season, Theo Hernandez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 32' Atalanta BC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 37' Netherlands international Tijjani Reijnders has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 38' The whistle greets Christian Pulisic as he departs to be replaced by Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
  • 43' Emerson Royal has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 48' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
  • 55' It’s a booking for Atalanta BC player. Charles De Ketelaere gets a card.
  • 60' Atalanta BC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sead Kolasinac made 416 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' Over 70 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 71' Atalanta BC receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 75' A moment of madness from Paulo Fonseca on 75 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • 76' Another change for Atalanta BC made on 76 minute. Mario Pasalic leaves to be changed by Mateo Retegui.
  • 78' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tammy Abraham is hanging Alvaro Morata on the field on 78 minute.
  • 83' Atalanta BC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 87' What a strike from Ademola Lookman! The score is 2-1.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Matteo Ruggeri as he leaves the pitch. Giorgio Scalvini steps in for Atalanta BC.
  • 2-1 the final result. AC Milan will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Atalanta BC or AC Milan 75% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC36% Draw25% AC Milan39%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
61%
Draw or AC Milan
64%
Atalanta BC or AC Milan
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC21% Draw44% AC Milan35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
8%
0 – 2
7.6%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 21% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.