Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Atalanta BC
2 – 1
Full Time
AC Milan
Fri 6 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Gewiss Stadium 22,606 HT 45' · FT 45'
Charles De Ketelaere 12' 1–0
1–1 22' Alvaro Morata
Ademola Lookman 87' 2–1
Charles De Ketelaere 55' Y
Raoul Bellanova 71' Y
Y 75' Paulo Fonseca

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan — Serie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi
6 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 3.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

7
8
9
Atalanta BC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan 2024-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta BC 2023-12-09 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan 2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC 2022-08-21 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan

Recent Form

Atalanta BC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec AC Milan H 2–1 W
02 Dec AS Roma A 2–0 W
26 Nov BSC Young Boys A 6–1 W
23 Nov Parma Calcio 1913 A 3–1 W
10 Nov Udinese Calcio H 2–1 W
06 Nov VfB Stuttgart A 2–0 W
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Empoli FC H 3–0 W
26 Nov SK Slovan Bratislava A 3–2 W
23 Nov Juventus FC H 0–0 D
09 Nov Cagliari Calcio A 3–3 D
05 Nov Real Madrid CF A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC AC Milan
#7 Position #5
59 Points 70
38 Played 38
15 / 14 / 9 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
51 Scored 53
36 Conceded 35
+15 GD +18
1.55 PPG 1.84
39% Win % 53%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Gewiss Stadium as Atalanta BC face off against AC Milan in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' AC Milan come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' Atalanta BC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 12' Against the run of play, Charles De Ketelaere has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 17' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gian Piero Gasperini might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 22' The deadlock is broken! Alvaro Morata gets on the scoresheet on 22 minutes.
  • 27' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 32' With 0 assists to his name this season, Samuel Chukwueze is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 37' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 38' AC Milan ring the changes. Christian Pulisic has done his job and it is now time for Ruben Loftus-Cheek to step up.
  • 43' Marco Carnesecchi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 48' Isak Hien has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 266 appearances.
  • 53' USA international Yunus Musah has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 55' Charles De Ketelaere is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
  • 60' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Atalanta BC and AC Milan are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 65' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atalanta BC that had 525 games and scored 714 goals.
  • 70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rafael Leao, as he is very good at scoring at Gewiss Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 71' Atalanta BC receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 75' It’s gonna be a card for Paulo Fonseca.
  • 76' Mario Pasalic makes way for Mateo Retegui at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Atalanta BC.
  • 78' Tammy Abraham gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Alvaro Morata and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 87' Ademola Lookman adds to his 1 season tally! Atalanta BC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Atalanta BC. Matteo Ruggeri is replaced by Giorgio Scalvini.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Atalanta BC 2-1 AC Milan.

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gian Piero Gasperini

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paulo Fonseca

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Duvan Zapata 3
Ademola Lookman 3
Rafael Leao 3
Josip Ilicic 3
Mario Pasalic 2
Junior Messias 2
Alejandro Gomez 2
Franck Kessie 2

Head to Head

2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan 2024-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta BC 2023-12-09 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan 2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC 2022-08-21 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan

Atalanta BC Form

2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan W 2024-12-02 AS Roma 0–2 Atalanta BC W 2024-11-26 BSC Young Boys 1–6 Atalanta BC W 2024-11-23 Parma Calcio 1913 1–3 Atalanta BC W 2024-11-10 Atalanta BC 2–1 Udinese Calcio W 2024-11-06 VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Atalanta BC W

AC Milan Form

2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan L 2024-11-30 AC Milan 3–0 Empoli FC W 2024-11-26 SK Slovan Bratislava 2–3 AC Milan W 2024-11-23 AC Milan 0–0 Juventus FC D 2024-11-09 Cagliari Calcio 3–3 AC Milan D 2024-11-05 Real Madrid CF 1–3 AC Milan W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.51 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC46% Draw26% AC Milan28%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
72%
Draw or AC Milan
54%
Atalanta BC or AC Milan
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC30% Draw46% AC Milan24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.