Atalanta BC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atalanta BC vs AC Milan — Serie A at Gewiss Stadium.
- Atalanta BC 5 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Federico La Penna
- Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
- Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi
3 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 12.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | AC Milan | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Dec | AS Roma | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | BSC Young Boys | A | 6–1 | W |
| 23 Nov | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Nov | Udinese Calcio | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Nov | VfB Stuttgart | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Atalanta BC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Empoli FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | SK Slovan Bratislava | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Nov | Juventus FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | Cagliari Calcio | A | 3–3 | D |
| 05 Nov | Real Madrid CF | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Atalanta BC | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #5 |
| 6 | Points | 11 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 2 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 0 |
| 5 | Scored | 10 |
| 7 | Conceded | 4 |
| -2 | GD | +6 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 40% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
Atalanta BC this season
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
Atalanta BC are 11th (6 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atalanta BC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atalanta BC
| Ederson | 1 G |
| Giacomo Raspadori | 1 G |
| Nikola Krstovic | 1 G |
| Lazar Samardzic | 1 G |
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Atalanta BC get us underway at Gewiss Stadium.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Yunus Musah has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 12' GOAL! Charles De Ketelaere scores on 12. Assisted by Marten de Roon
- 17' Raoul Bellanova has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 517 appearances.
- 22' Alvaro Morata is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the forward.
- 27' With 0 assists to his name this season, Theo Hernandez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
- 32' Atalanta BC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 37' Netherlands international Tijjani Reijnders has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 38' The whistle greets Christian Pulisic as he departs to be replaced by Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
- 43' Emerson Royal has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 48' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
- 55' It’s a booking for Atalanta BC player. Charles De Ketelaere gets a card.
- 60' Atalanta BC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sead Kolasinac made 416 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 70' Over 70 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 71' Atalanta BC receives a card for a hard tackle on 71.
- 75' A moment of madness from Paulo Fonseca on 75 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- 76' Another change for Atalanta BC made on 76 minute. Mario Pasalic leaves to be changed by Mateo Retegui.
- 78' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tammy Abraham is hanging Alvaro Morata on the field on 78 minute.
- 83' Atalanta BC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 87' What a strike from Ademola Lookman! The score is 2-1.
- 90' The crowd applauds Matteo Ruggeri as he leaves the pitch. Giorgio Scalvini steps in for Atalanta BC.
- 2-1 the final result. AC Milan will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Atalanta BC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 13
- 23
- 11
- 15
-
8
Mario Pasalic ↓ Mateo Retegui 76'
- 16
- 29
- 17
- 22
- 19
- 4
Bench
- 5
- 28
- 31
- 2
- 10
-
32
Mateo Retegui ↑ 76'
- 44
- 24
-
42
Giorgio Scalvini ↑ 90'
- 3
- 6
- 27
Coach
Gian Piero Gasperini
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 22
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Tammy Abraham 78'
- 29
- 16
- 10
- 11
- 19
- 46
- 28
-
80
Yunus Musah ↓ Samuel Chukwueze 90'
Bench
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↑ 78'
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 38'
- 23
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 90'
- 2
- 57
- 17
- 31
- 42
- 73
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josip Ilicic | 3 |
| Duvan Zapata | 3 |
| Ademola Lookman | 3 |
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Ederson | 2 |
| Krzysztof Piatek | 2 |
Head to Head
Atalanta BC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24
Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Atalanta BC or AC Milan 75% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Atalanta BC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Atalanta BC or Draw
61%
Draw or AC Milan
64%
Atalanta BC or AC Milan
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
8%
0 – 2
7.6%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC
| Handicap | Atalanta BC covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 21% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

