Sunday , 16 August 2026

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
2 1
Full Time
Fri 6 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Gewiss Stadium 22,606 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 22' Alvaro Morata
Ademola Lookman 87' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs AC MilanSerie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec AC Milan H 2–1 W
02 Dec AS Roma A 2–0 W
26 Nov BSC Young Boys A 6–1 W
23 Nov Parma Calcio 1913 A 3–1 W
10 Nov Udinese Calcio H 2–1 W
06 Nov VfB Stuttgart A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Empoli FC H 3–0 W
26 Nov SK Slovan Bratislava A 3–2 W
23 Nov Juventus FC H 0–0 D
09 Nov Cagliari Calcio A 3–3 D
05 Nov Real Madrid CF A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC AC Milan
#10 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 10th (0 pts). AC Milan are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Gewiss Stadium that hosts another battle between Atalanta BC and AC Milan.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atalanta BC and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 12' Atalanta BC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Charles De Ketelaere on 12.
  • 17' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 22' Magnificent from Alvaro Morata! That is 125 goals in 409 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 27' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 32' Mario Pasalic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 37' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Atalanta BC and AC Milan are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 38' A tactical swap from AC MilanRuben Loftus-Cheek on, Christian Pulisic off on 38 minutes.
  • 43' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Atalanta BC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 48' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 53' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Charles De Ketelaere on 55.
  • 60' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 65' Marco Carnesecchi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 70' With 0 assists to his name this season, Isak Hien is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Atalanta BC.
  • 71' Raoul Bellanova is having his name booked by the referee on 71.
  • 75' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Paulo Fonseca on 75 minutes.
  • 76' Another substitution for Atalanta BC to replace Mario Pasalic by Mateo Retegui on 76 minute.
  • 78' AC Milan ring the changes. Alvaro Morata has done his job and it is now time for Tammy Abraham to step up.
  • 83' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 87' What composure from Ademola Lookman! The Nigeria international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 90' Another change for Atalanta BC made on 90 minute. Matteo Ruggeri leaves to be changed by Giorgio Scalvini.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.92 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Atalanta BC or Draw 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC42% Draw33% AC Milan25%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
75%
Draw or AC Milan
58%
Atalanta BC or AC Milan
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC23% Draw59% AC Milan18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.3%
1 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 1
12.8%
2 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
2.6%
3 – 0
2.2%
3 – 1
1.9%
1 – 3
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 22% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 19% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
45%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.