Saturday , 14 November 2026

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Atalanta BC
2 – 1
Full Time
AC Milan
Fri 6 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Gewiss Stadium 22,606 HT 45' · FT 45'
Charles De Ketelaere 12' 1–0
1–1 22' Alvaro Morata
Ademola Lookman 87' 2–1
Charles De Ketelaere 55' Y
Raoul Bellanova 71' Y
Y 75' Paulo Fonseca

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan — Serie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SS Lazio 11 29
2 FC Internazionale Milano 11 28
3 AS Roma 11 27
4 AC Milan 11 24
5 Como 1907 11 23
6 Frosinone Calcio 11 20
7 Juventus FC 11 18
8 Bologna FC 1909 11 17
9 Cagliari Calcio 11 16
10 SSC Napoli 11 15
11 Torino FC 11 14
12 Atalanta BC 11 14
13 Genoa CFC 11 13
14 US Lecce 11 10
15 ACF Fiorentina 11 9
16 Parma Calcio 1913 11 8
17 US Sassuolo Calcio 11 8
18 AC Monza 11 7
19 Venezia FC 11 6
20 Udinese Calcio 11 5

Head-to-Head

7
8
10
Atalanta BC 25 games · Avg 2.8 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan 2024-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta BC 2023-12-09 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan 2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC 2022-08-21 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan

Recent Form

Atalanta BC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec AC Milan H 2–1 W
02 Dec AS Roma A 2–0 W
26 Nov BSC Young Boys A 6–1 W
23 Nov Parma Calcio 1913 A 3–1 W
10 Nov Udinese Calcio H 2–1 W
06 Nov VfB Stuttgart A 2–0 W
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Empoli FC H 3–0 W
26 Nov SK Slovan Bratislava A 3–2 W
23 Nov Juventus FC H 0–0 D
09 Nov Cagliari Calcio A 3–3 D
05 Nov Real Madrid CF A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC AC Milan
#12 Position #4
14 Points 24
11 Played 11
4 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 7 / 3 / 1
17 Scored 23
20 Conceded 13
-3 GD +10
1.27 PPG 2.18
36% Win % 64%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Atalanta BC are 12th (14 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atalanta BC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atalanta BC
Nikola Krstovic 7 G 2 A
Ederson 2 G
Giacomo Raspadori 1 G
Lazar Samardzic 1 G
AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Atalanta BC get us underway at Gewiss Stadium.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 12' Charles De Ketelaere is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
  • 17' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 22' A goal from the Spain international Alvaro Morata! He fires home on 22 to make it 1-1!
  • 27' AC Milan have won 625 goals from 529 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 32' Atalanta BC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 37' The 31-year-old Mario Pasalic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 38' Ruben Loftus-Cheek has so much to prove this time. He replaces Christian Pulisic on 38 minute.
  • 43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paulo Fonseca will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 48' Yunus Musah is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Atalanta BC tonight.
  • 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 55' The referee has no hesitation. Charles De Ketelaere is booked for Atalanta BC — card on 55.
  • 60' AC Milan looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Adrien Rabiot scoring 1 goals.
  • 65' Supporters expect more eagerness from Isak Hien, as he is very good at scoring at Gewiss Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 70' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 71' A meaty challenge results in booking for Raoul Bellanova on 71.
  • 75' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Paulo Fonseca.
  • 76' Mateo Retegui is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mario Pasalic at the 76 minute mark.
  • 78' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Tammy Abraham on, Alvaro Morata off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 87' A stunning finish from Ademola Lookman — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 90' Time for substitution for Atalanta BC. Matteo Ruggeri is replaced by Giorgio Scalvini.
  • 2-1 the final result. AC Milan will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gian Piero Gasperini

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paulo Fonseca

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Josip Ilicic 3
Duvan Zapata 3
Ademola Lookman 3
Rafael Leao 3
Ederson 2
Krzysztof Piatek 2
Luis Muriel 2
Mario Pasalic 2

Head to Head

2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan 2024-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta BC 2023-12-09 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan 2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC 2022-08-21 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan

Atalanta BC Form

2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan W 2024-12-02 AS Roma 0–2 Atalanta BC W 2024-11-26 BSC Young Boys 1–6 Atalanta BC W 2024-11-23 Parma Calcio 1913 1–3 Atalanta BC W 2024-11-10 Atalanta BC 2–1 Udinese Calcio W 2024-11-06 VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Atalanta BC W

AC Milan Form

2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan L 2024-11-30 AC Milan 3–0 Empoli FC W 2024-11-26 SK Slovan Bratislava 2–3 AC Milan W 2024-11-23 AC Milan 0–0 Juventus FC D 2024-11-09 Cagliari Calcio 3–3 AC Milan D 2024-11-05 Real Madrid CF 1–3 AC Milan W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.6 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Atalanta BC or AC Milan 77% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC39% Draw23% AC Milan38%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
62%
Draw or AC Milan
61%
Atalanta BC or AC Milan
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC25% Draw40% AC Milan35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
5.5%
0 – 2
5.5%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.4%
0 – 0
4.1%
1 – 0
3.9%
3 – 1
3.6%
2 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 16% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 19% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 14% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.