Sunday , 16 August 2026

US Lecce vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
2 3
Full Time
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 17:00 UTC Stadio Via del Mare 25,753 HT 45' · FT 45'
Nikola Krstovic 7' 1–0
Nikola Krstovic 59' 2–0
2–1 68' Antonino Gallo og
2–2 73' Christian Pulisic pen
2–3 81' Christian Pulisic

Overview

Match Preview

US Lecce vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Via del Mare.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Assistant 1 Vittorio Di Gioia
  • Assistant 2 Francesca Di Monte (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar AC Milan H 2–3 L
28 Feb ACF Fiorentina A 0–1 L
21 Feb Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
16 Feb AC Monza A 0–0 D
09 Feb Bologna FC 1909 H 0–0 D
31 Jan Parma Calcio 1913 A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar US Lecce A 3–2 W
02 Mar SS Lazio H 1–2 L
27 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
22 Feb Torino FC A 1–2 L
18 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–1 D
15 Feb Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

US Lecce AC Milan
#20 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Lecce are 20th (0 pts). AC Milan are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. US Lecce host AC Milan — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Christian Pulisic, a USA , has 14 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 7' Nikola Krstovic is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 12' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 22' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both US Lecce and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 32' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 37' AC Milan have won 600 goals from 515 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 42' That looks like a foul for a card for Medon Berisha.
  • 46' AC Milan make a change. Alex Jimenez trudges off to be replaced by Rafael Leao on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 56' A tactical swap from US LecceBalthazar Pierret on, Medon Berisha off on 56 minutes.
  • 59' Brilliant from the ! Nikola Krstovic makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 59.
  • 62' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Santiago Gimenez is replaced by Tammy Abraham on 62 minute.
  • 67' Santiago Gimenez has been relatively quiet despite scoring 67 goals in his last 322 appearances.
  • 68' What a moment for Antonino Gallo! That strike on 68 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 73' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Christian Pulisic makes it 3-1.
  • 74' THorir Johann Helgason makes way for Ylber Ramadani at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from US Lecce.
  • 79' THorir Johann Helgason has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 81' Christian Pulisic doubles the advantage! 3-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 82' Ante Rebic gets the nod from US Lecce. He replaces Lassana Coulibaly and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' Gaby Jean has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 88' That looks like a foul for a card for Tammy Abraham.
  • 90' Nikola Krstovic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.62 US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Draw 77% + Under 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce23% Draw34% AC Milan43%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 51%
49%
± 2.5 24%
76%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

US Lecce or Draw
57%
Draw or AC Milan
77%
US Lecce or AC Milan
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Lecce13% Draw59% AC Milan28%
Actual: US Lecce win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
20.9%
0 – 1
18.4%
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.5%
2 – 2
2.2%
0 – 4
1%

Asian Handicap — US Lecce

Handicap US Lecce covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 14% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 26% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 13% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

US Lecce keeps clean sheet
35%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
54%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.