US Lecce vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Doveri
- Assistant 1 Vittorio Di Gioia
- Assistant 2 Francesca Di Monte (Italy)
5 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | AC Milan | H | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Feb | ACF Fiorentina | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Udinese Calcio | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Feb | AC Monza | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Feb | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Jan | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | US Lecce | A | 3–2 | W |
| 02 Mar | SS Lazio | H | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Feb | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Torino FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Feb | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | Hellas Verona FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| US Lecce | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #4 |
| 10 | Points | 24 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 3 / 1 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 1 |
| 12 | Scored | 23 |
| 22 | Conceded | 13 |
| -10 | GD | +10 |
| 0.91 | PPG | 2.18 |
| 27% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
US Lecce are 14th (10 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
US Lecce
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/8
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/5
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 2 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | 1 A |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Stadio Via del Mare that hosts another battle between US Lecce and AC Milan.
- 5' The 29-year-old Tammy Abraham has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 7' US Lecce is taking the lead after the goal scored by Nikola Krstovic on 7.
- 12' Federico Baschirotto has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 201 appearances.
- 17' US Lecce is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 22' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 27' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 32' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 37' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 42' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Medon Berisha on 42 minutes.
- 46' Another change for AC Milan made on 46 minute. Alex Jimenez leaves to be changed by Rafael Leao.
- 51' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 56' Time for substitution for US Lecce. Medon Berisha is replaced by Balthazar Pierret.
- 59' The Montenegro Nikola Krstovic breaks the deadlock on 59 minutes. 2-0!
- 62' The whistle greets Santiago Gimenez as he departs to be replaced by Tammy Abraham.
- 67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 68' A goal from the Italy international Antonino Gallo! He fires home on 68 to make it 3-0!
- 73' Christian Pulisic is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
- 74' The US Lecce bench stirs into life. THorir Johann Helgason is withdrawn and Ylber Ramadani gets his opportunity.
- 79' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 81' Christian Pulisic with the second goal in the match!
- 82' A change in the US Lecce ranks — Lassana Coulibaly exits the field as Ante Rebic enters on 82.
- 87' Wladimiro Falcone has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 88' The referee calls foul for Tammy Abraham. He receives a card.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Nikola Krstovic argues furiously but the card stands.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AC Milan players.
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 12
- 25
-
29
Lassana Coulibaly ↓ Ante Rebic 82'
-
7
Tete Morente ↓ Lameck Banda 82'
- 14
- 50
- 9
- 30
- 19
- 6
- 5
Bench
- 99
- 1
-
3
Ante Rebic ↑ 82'
-
22
Lameck Banda ↑ 82'
- 8
-
75
Balthazar Pierret ↑ 56'
- 37
-
20
Ylber Ramadani ↑ 74'
- 10
- 77
-
17
Danilo Veiga ↑ 74'
- 32
- 4
- 23
- 44
Coach
Marco Giampaolo
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
-
32
Kyle Walker ↓ Youssouf Fofana 74'
- 11
- 19
- 57
- 46
- 28
-
80
Yunus Musah ↓ Riccardo Sottil 74'
-
38
Warren Bondo ↓ Joao Felix 62'
- 7
-
20
Alex Jimenez ↓ Rafael Leao 46'
Bench
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↑ 62'
- 23
-
29
Youssouf Fofana ↑ 74'
-
10
Rafael Leao ↑ 46'
- 9
- 21
- 24
-
99
Riccardo Sottil ↑ 74'
-
79
Joao Felix ↑ 62'
- 42
- 69
- 33
- 96
Coach
Sergio Conceicao
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 5 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Alexis Blin | 1 |
| Adrien Rabiot | 1 |
Head to Head
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.1
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.47
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
43%
Draw or AC Milan
80%
US Lecce or AC Milan
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: US Lecce win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.3%
1 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
8.8%
1 – 3
7.3%
0 – 1
7%
0 – 3
6.7%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
4.5%
1 – 4
4.4%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 4
4%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +1 | 36% | 21% | 43% |
| +1.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +2 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +2.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.