Thursday , 2 July 2026

US Lecce vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
US Lecce
2 – 3
Full Time
AC Milan
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 17:00 UTC Stadio Via del Mare 25,753 HT 45' · FT 45'
Nikola Krstovic 7' 1–0
Nikola Krstovic 59' 2–0
2–1 68' Antonino Gallo og
2–2 73' Christian Pulisic pen
2–3 81' Christian Pulisic
Medon Berisha 42' Y
Y 88' Tammy Abraham
Nikola Krstovic 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

US Lecce vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Via del Mare.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Assistant 1 Vittorio Di Gioia
  • Assistant 2 Francesca Di Monte (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 3.7 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

3
7
US Lecce 10 games · Avg 3.3 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan 2024-09-27 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce 2024-04-06 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce 2023-11-11 US Lecce 2–2 AC Milan 2023-04-23 AC Milan 2–0 US Lecce

Recent Form

US Lecce
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar AC Milan H 2–3 L
28 Feb ACF Fiorentina A 0–1 L
21 Feb Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
16 Feb AC Monza A 0–0 D
09 Feb Bologna FC 1909 H 0–0 D
31 Jan Parma Calcio 1913 A 3–1 W
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar US Lecce A 3–2 W
02 Mar SS Lazio H 1–2 L
27 Feb Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
22 Feb Torino FC A 1–2 L
18 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–1 D
15 Feb Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

US Lecce AC Milan
#17 Position #5
38 Points 70
38 Played 38
10 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
28 Scored 53
50 Conceded 35
-22 GD +18
1.00 PPG 1.84
26% Win % 53%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for US Lecce to score. At the same time, AC Milan does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 7' The deadlock is broken! Nikola Krstovic gets on the scoresheet on 7 minutes.
  • 12' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 17' Marco Sportiello is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
  • 22' AC Milan have won 600 goals from 515 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 27' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 32' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 37' AC Milan come into this ranked 9 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 42' Medon Berisha catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 42.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Rafael Leao. He replaces Alex Jimenez on 46 minute.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' US Lecce ring the changes. Medon Berisha has done his job and it is now time for Balthazar Pierret to step up.
  • 59' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nikola Krstovic makes it 2-0.
  • 62' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Santiago Gimenez is replaced by Tammy Abraham on 62 minute.
  • 67' Tammy Abraham has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 68' Against the run of play, Antonino Gallo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 73' Goal! Christian Pulisic scores his 68 goal in 521 matches.
  • 74' The whistle greets THorir Johann Helgason as he departs to be replaced by Ylber Ramadani.
  • 79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 81' Christian Pulisic does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
  • 82' Ante Rebic is replacing Lassana Coulibaly for the US Lecce side.
  • 87' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both US Lecce and AC Milan are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 88' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 88.
  • 90' It’s a booking for US Lecce player. Nikola Krstovic gets a card.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for US Lecce.

Lineups

US Lecce Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marco Giampaolo

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Sergio Conceicao

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 5
Christian Pulisic 4
Davide Calabria 2
Nikola Krstovic 2
Theo Hernandez 2
Olivier Giroud 2
Ante Rebic 1
Lameck Banda 1

Head to Head

2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan 2024-09-27 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce 2024-04-06 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce 2023-11-11 US Lecce 2–2 AC Milan 2023-04-23 AC Milan 2–0 US Lecce

US Lecce Form

2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan L 2025-02-28 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 US Lecce L 2025-02-21 US Lecce 0–1 Udinese Calcio L 2025-02-16 AC Monza 0–0 US Lecce D 2025-02-09 US Lecce 0–0 Bologna FC 1909 D 2025-01-31 Parma Calcio 1913 1–3 US Lecce W

AC Milan Form

2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan W 2025-03-02 AC Milan 1–2 SS Lazio L 2025-02-27 Bologna FC 1909 2–1 AC Milan L 2025-02-22 Torino FC 2–1 AC Milan L 2025-02-18 AC Milan 1–1 Feyenoord Rotterdam D 2025-02-15 AC Milan 1–0 Hellas Verona FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce22% Draw26% AC Milan52%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

US Lecce or Draw
49%
Draw or AC Milan
78%
US Lecce or AC Milan
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Lecce15% Draw45% AC Milan40%
Actual: US Lecce win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 1
10.8%
0 – 2
10.2%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 3
6%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
2.8%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — US Lecce

Handicap US Lecce covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 12% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 24% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

US Lecce keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
40% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.