US Lecce vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Doveri
- Assistant 1 Vittorio Di Gioia
- Assistant 2 Francesca Di Monte (Italy)
3 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 4.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | AC Milan | H | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Feb | ACF Fiorentina | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Udinese Calcio | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Feb | AC Monza | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Feb | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Jan | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | US Lecce | A | 3–2 | W |
| 02 Mar | SS Lazio | H | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Feb | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Torino FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Feb | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | Hellas Verona FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| US Lecce | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #5 |
| 6 | Points | 11 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 2 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 0 |
| 5 | Scored | 10 |
| 10 | Conceded | 4 |
| -5 | GD | +6 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 40% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
US Lecce are 12th (6 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
US Lecce
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Stadio Via del Mare will turn into a battlefield for US Lecce and AC Milan.
- 5' Joao Felix has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 7' Nikola Krstovic makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and US Lecce are in front.
- 12' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 17' Warren Bondo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for US Lecce so far.
- 22' Rafael Leao, a Portugal , has 38 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 27' US Lecce is showing some good football. However, US Lecce are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 32' US Lecce are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 37' US Lecce are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 42' A moment of madness from Medon Berisha on 42 minutes earns him a card. US Lecce will be frustrated.
- 46' The crowd applauds Alex Jimenez as he leaves the pitch. Rafael Leao steps in for AC Milan.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. US Lecce must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 56' Balthazar Pierret is replacing Medon Berisha for the US Lecce side.
- 59' Goal! Nikola Krstovic scores his 21 goal in 3 matches.
- 62' AC Milan make a change. Santiago Gimenez trudges off to be replaced by Tammy Abraham on 62 minutes.
- 67' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 68' What a strike from Antonino Gallo! The score is 3-0.
- 73' What composure from Christian Pulisic! The USA international strokes it home. 3-1.
- 74' A change in the US Lecce ranks — THorir Johann Helgason exits the field as Ylber Ramadani enters on 74.
- 79' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 81' Christian Pulisic with the second goal in the match!
- 82' Lassana Coulibaly makes way for Ante Rebic at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from US Lecce.
- 87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
- 88' A moment of madness from Tammy Abraham on 88 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- 90' A moment of madness from Nikola Krstovic on 90 minutes earns him a card. US Lecce will be frustrated.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. AC Milan take all three points.
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 12
- 25
-
29
Lassana Coulibaly ↓ Ante Rebic 82'
-
7
Tete Morente ↓ Lameck Banda 82'
- 14
- 50
- 9
- 30
- 19
- 6
- 5
Bench
- 99
- 1
-
3
Ante Rebic ↑ 82'
-
22
Lameck Banda ↑ 82'
- 8
-
75
Balthazar Pierret ↑ 56'
- 37
-
20
Ylber Ramadani ↑ 74'
- 10
- 77
-
17
Danilo Veiga ↑ 74'
- 32
- 4
- 23
- 44
Coach
Marco Giampaolo
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
-
32
Kyle Walker ↓ Youssouf Fofana 74'
- 11
- 19
- 57
- 46
- 28
-
80
Yunus Musah ↓ Riccardo Sottil 74'
-
38
Warren Bondo ↓ Joao Felix 62'
- 7
-
20
Alex Jimenez ↓ Rafael Leao 46'
Bench
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↑ 62'
- 23
-
29
Youssouf Fofana ↑ 74'
-
10
Rafael Leao ↑ 46'
- 9
- 21
- 24
-
99
Riccardo Sottil ↑ 74'
-
79
Joao Felix ↑ 62'
- 42
- 69
- 33
- 96
Coach
Sergio Conceicao
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 5 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Marco Mancosu | 1 |
| Theo Hernandez | 1 |
Head to Head
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.4
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + AC Milan to win 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
40%
Draw or AC Milan
82%
US Lecce or AC Milan
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: US Lecce win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
1 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
8.2%
0 – 3
7.9%
1 – 3
7.4%
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 4
4.7%
1 – 4
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
Actual
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -0.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| +0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +1 | 32% | 22% | 47% |
| +1.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +2 | 53% | 20% | 26% |
| +2.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.